All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.
| Season Rating | | Preseason Rating | |
Pendleton Heights Arabian Round-Up |
Hamilton County |
Wildcat Classic Invitational |
RH Flashrock Invitational |
Hoosier Crossroads Conf. |
Nike Valley Twilight |
Pendleton Heights Sectional |
Delta Regional |
New Haven Semi-State |
State Finals |
|---|
| Date | | |
8/28 |
9/3 |
9/14 |
9/21 |
9/28 |
10/5 |
10/12 |
10/19 |
10/26 |
11/2 |
| Team Rating |
329 | |
359 |
323 |
331 |
294 |
302 |
344 |
551 |
617 |
373 |
308 |
| Team Adjusted Rating | | |
359 |
287 |
331 |
289 |
302 |
344 |
358 |
353 |
373 |
308 |
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating | Preseason Rating |
Pendleton Heights Arabian Round-Up |
Hamilton County |
Wildcat Classic Invitational |
RH Flashrock Invitational |
Hoosier Crossroads Conf. |
Nike Valley Twilight |
Pendleton Heights Sectional |
Delta Regional |
New Haven Semi-State |
State Finals |
|---|
| 30 |
Eric Swinson |
12 |
16:11 |
16:23 |
16:33 |
16:25 |
16:09 |
16:03 |
15:54 |
16:06 |
16:20 |
|
16:20 |
16:14 |
| 66 |
Nolan Satterfield |
10 |
16:27 |
16:31 |
16:24 |
16:07 |
16:29 |
16:16 |
16:31 |
16:36 |
|
|
16:45 |
16:21 |
| 126 |
Will Marquardt |
10 |
16:46 |
16:58 |
16:45 |
|
16:55 |
16:43 |
16:34 |
16:54 |
|
16:52 |
16:45 |
16:48 |
| 240 |
Jack Patrick |
11 |
17:05 |
18:07 |
17:43 |
17:17 |
17:09 |
16:51 |
16:57 |
17:10 |
17:20 |
|
17:35 |
16:58 |
| 334 |
Aj Brisben |
12 |
17:18 |
17:35 |
17:31 |
16:49 |
17:10 |
|
17:32 |
17:36 |
|
17:41 |
17:15 |
17:11 |
| 488 |
Jack Struss |
11 |
17:34 |
17:51 |
17:30 |
17:17 |
17:15 |
17:22 |
|
17:25 |
|
18:54 |
17:23 |
18:44 |
| 494 |
Elliott Robinson |
12 |
17:35 |
17:28 |
18:00 |
18:33 |
17:34 |
18:22 |
17:34 |
17:18 |
|
17:32 |
17:37 |
17:28 |
| 546 |
Will Tuckis |
10 |
17:39 |
17:18 |
17:14 |
17:06 |
18:21 |
17:50 |
17:37 |
17:47 |
17:36 |
|
|
|
| 606 |
Jake Barnett |
12 |
17:45 |
19:13 |
18:13 |
|
17:50 |
17:55 |
17:23 |
|
17:41 |
|
|
|
| 685 |
Connor Wright |
11 |
17:52 |
17:32 |
18:11 |
18:23 |
17:44 |
17:44 |
17:42 |
18:04 |
17:52 |
|
|
|
| 745 |
Luke Pfanstiel |
11 |
17:57 |
17:55 |
17:28 |
17:57 |
17:44 |
18:32 |
17:39 |
18:02 |
18:23 |
|
|
|
| 752 |
Garrett Hicks |
10 |
17:58 |
|
18:17 |
18:59 |
17:55 |
18:05 |
17:51 |
17:41 |
|
|
|
|
| 804 |
Max Anderson |
11 |
18:03 |
18:02 |
17:20 |
|
19:04 |
|
18:10 |
18:01 |
|
17:49 |
|
|
| 805 |
Caleb Lindsay |
10 |
18:03 |
18:22 |
18:28 |
17:39 |
18:02 |
18:03 |
18:11 |
18:01 |
|
|
|
|
| 891 |
Connor Sarkovics |
10 |
18:09 |
|
|
|
18:20 |
18:53 |
18:27 |
18:04 |
|
17:50 |
|
|
| 1,062 |
Ash Caylor |
9 |
18:23 |
|
18:54 |
18:57 |
18:24 |
18:44 |
18:13 |
18:07 |
18:14 |
|
|
|
| 1,156 |
Auggie Isaac |
11 |
18:29 |
18:29 |
18:15 |
18:35 |
18:29 |
18:38 |
18:28 |
18:30 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,161 |
Lucas Rankin |
11 |
18:29 |
17:54 |
17:24 |
21:17 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 1,175 |
Andre Salgado |
12 |
18:30 |
18:14 |
18:42 |
|
|
18:14 |
19:44 |
18:07 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,217 |
Noah Haines |
10 |
18:33 |
|
18:32 |
17:58 |
18:45 |
18:17 |
18:29 |
19:30 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,268 |
Colin Brier |
9 |
18:37 |
|
18:50 |
18:29 |
18:38 |
18:38 |
18:31 |
18:46 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,271 |
Andrew Koehler |
10 |
18:37 |
18:20 |
18:48 |
18:53 |
18:29 |
18:15 |
19:41 |
18:28 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,328 |
Tanner Kutoloski |
11 |
18:42 |
|
18:37 |
18:22 |
18:42 |
18:41 |
18:45 |
18:54 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,423 |
Max Kittleson |
10 |
18:48 |
18:45 |
18:49 |
18:49 |
18:49 |
18:35 |
18:55 |
18:55 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,475 |
Grant Dunnuck |
9 |
18:52 |
|
19:13 |
18:41 |
18:52 |
19:01 |
18:53 |
18:47 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,517 |
Anthony Castillo |
11 |
18:55 |
|
19:19 |
19:07 |
18:53 |
19:15 |
18:52 |
18:31 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,591 |
Joey AUGUSTINE |
9 |
18:59 |
|
19:49 |
19:19 |
19:16 |
18:44 |
18:49 |
18:49 |
|
|
|
|
|
Zane Davis |
11 |
19:39 |
18:42 |
20:06 |
19:41 |
19:19 |
18:48 |
19:59 |
19:59 |
|
|
|
|
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
| State Finals |
84.2% |
15.0 |
369 |
0.0 |
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.6 |
0.6 |
1.2 |
2.0 |
2.3 |
3.6 |
4.7 |
6.3 |
6.9 |
8.3 |
8.8 |
8.0 |
7.3 |
7.2 |
5.8 |
4.2 |
3.0 |
2.0 |
0.9 |
0.2 |
| Semi-State |
100% |
5.0 |
170 |
0.1 |
1.9 |
8.7 |
39.7 |
21.5 |
12.4 |
7.3 |
4.2 |
2.2 |
1.4 |
0.5 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Regionals |
100% |
1.9 |
50 |
7.2 |
92.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
1.9 |
44 |
6.9 |
93.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Eric Swinson |
96.3% |
32.7 |
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
0.5 |
0.8 |
0.8 |
1.1 |
1.1 |
1.4 |
1.5 |
1.8 |
1.8 |
2.1 |
2.1 |
2.4 |
2.0 |
2.4 |
2.4 |
2.5 |
2.4 |
76.8% |
94.7% |
| Nolan Satterfield |
85.6% |
61.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
8.8% |
56.0% |
| Will Marquardt |
84.2% |
104.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
7.5% |
| Jack Patrick |
84.2% |
147.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.1% |
| Aj Brisben |
84.2% |
169.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.0% |
| Jack Struss |
84.2% |
188.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.0% |
| Elliott Robinson |
84.2% |
189.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.0% |
| Semi-State | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Eric Swinson |
100% |
9.9 |
0.2 |
1.1 |
3.2 |
6.4 |
6.8 |
6.5 |
6.6 |
7.1 |
6.9 |
6.0 |
5.4 |
5.4 |
5.0 |
4.8 |
4.0 |
3.6 |
3.2 |
2.9 |
2.6 |
2.2 |
2.0 |
1.6 |
1.2 |
1.2 |
0.9 |
|
100.0% |
| Nolan Satterfield |
100% |
21.9 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
1.0 |
1.6 |
1.6 |
2.1 |
2.3 |
2.5 |
2.9 |
3.2 |
3.6 |
3.4 |
3.7 |
4.0 |
4.3 |
4.3 |
4.2 |
4.3 |
3.9 |
4.0 |
3.7 |
|
100.0% |
| Will Marquardt |
100% |
39.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.7 |
0.7 |
1.0 |
1.1 |
1.2 |
1.5 |
|
100.0% |
| Jack Patrick |
100% |
60.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
100.0% |
| Aj Brisben |
100% |
80.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Jack Struss |
100% |
107.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
99.8% |
| Elliott Robinson |
100% |
108.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
99.7% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Eric Swinson |
100% |
2.9 |
1.3 |
28.9 |
23.1 |
16.2 |
12.9 |
10.8 |
5.1 |
1.3 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Nolan Satterfield |
100% |
6.2 |
|
0.8 |
5.5 |
10.2 |
13.3 |
15.8 |
22.2 |
19.5 |
7.3 |
3.2 |
1.4 |
0.7 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Will Marquardt |
100% |
9.4 |
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.8 |
2.3 |
5.3 |
11.9 |
21.5 |
20.4 |
13.4 |
11.4 |
9.5 |
3.0 |
0.3 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Jack Patrick |
100% |
13.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
1.4 |
4.9 |
9.1 |
10.5 |
15.1 |
25.1 |
22.9 |
7.0 |
2.3 |
0.9 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Aj Brisben |
100% |
15.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
1.0 |
2.1 |
3.9 |
8.0 |
18.8 |
33.4 |
14.2 |
8.5 |
5.0 |
2.4 |
1.2 |
0.6 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
|
100.0% |
| Jack Struss |
100% |
19.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
1.0 |
4.0 |
13.7 |
15.0 |
13.9 |
13.1 |
10.6 |
8.6 |
6.0 |
4.6 |
3.1 |
|
100.0% |
| Elliott Robinson |
100% |
19.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.9 |
3.5 |
11.6 |
14.1 |
14.4 |
13.1 |
11.6 |
9.0 |
6.8 |
4.8 |
3.2 |
|
100.0% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Eric Swinson |
2.4 |
1.3 |
40.1 |
22.3 |
16.1 |
12.3 |
6.0 |
1.5 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Nolan Satterfield |
5.3 |
0.0 |
1.1 |
11.2 |
14.2 |
16.5 |
23.5 |
20.5 |
7.9 |
2.8 |
1.5 |
0.7 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Will Marquardt |
8.4 |
|
|
0.1 |
0.7 |
2.1 |
4.6 |
13.0 |
22.3 |
20.4 |
13.5 |
11.9 |
10.4 |
0.8 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Jack Patrick |
12.0 |
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
1.5 |
5.0 |
10.7 |
12.1 |
18.4 |
40.1 |
8.7 |
2.4 |
0.6 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Aj Brisben |
13.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
1.2 |
3.1 |
5.4 |
12.9 |
47.5 |
14.8 |
9.3 |
3.6 |
1.4 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
| Jack Struss |
16.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
3.3 |
17.6 |
19.7 |
18.6 |
16.8 |
11.3 |
6.5 |
2.8 |
1.3 |
0.8 |
0.4 |
0.1 |
| Elliott Robinson |
16.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.2 |
0.5 |
3.0 |
16.4 |
18.3 |
18.6 |
17.9 |
12.3 |
6.7 |
3.5 |
1.4 |
0.8 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
|
