Jefferson
Boys - Girls
2018 - 2019 - 2020
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State Rank #126
New Prairie Semi-State Rank: #24
Harrison (WL) Regional Rank #5
Harrison (WL) Sectional Rank #5
Most Likely Finish 20th place at Semi-State
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 93.9%
Advance to Regional 97.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.



Season RatingPreseason Rating Valley Cross Kickoff Jacob Graf Invitational Harrison 8-Way Harrison (WL) Invitational Wildcat Classic Invitational New Prairie Invitational Harrison (WL) Sectional Benton Central Regional New Prairie Semi-State
Date 8/18 8/24 8/27 9/7 9/14 9/21 10/12 10/19 10/26
Team Rating 910 938 923 900 867 883 888 903 965 1,064
Team Adjusted Rating 901 923 895 843 883 888 877 940 999
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Valley Cross Kickoff Jacob Graf Invitational Harrison 8-Way Harrison (WL) Invitational Wildcat Classic Invitational New Prairie Invitational Harrison (WL) Sectional Benton Central Regional New Prairie Semi-State
724  Jesus Flores-Villagrana 10 17:55 18:16 18:34 19:10 17:53 17:54 18:13 17:38 17:43 17:42
802  Chris Uribe 10 18:03 17:16 17:34 18:06 17:58 17:40 17:56 17:40 18:21 18:20 18:21
998  Ian Morris 12 18:18 18:05 18:18 18:13 18:11 18:23 19:10 17:54 18:22 19:24
1,238  Ian Morris De Oca 12 18:35 18:36
1,252  Leo Crampton 10 18:36 17:48 18:35 18:07 18:57 18:17 18:27 18:23 18:35 18:49 19:16
1,323  Henry Salazar 10 18:41 19:41 19:27 18:37 18:12 18:28 18:20 19:40
1,481  Shane Shively 11 18:53 20:32 19:42 19:06 20:34 18:55 18:59 18:39
1,504  Jahi Montes De Oca 10 18:54 18:42 19:08 18:31 19:01 18:54 19:29 18:35
Jaime Miranda-Velazquez 10 19:01 18:09 18:46 19:00 18:39 18:53 18:37 19:05 19:11 19:09 19:27
Angel Gaeta 10 19:14 18:08 20:10 19:09 18:17 19:22 20:06 20:08 18:54 19:25
Daniel Pierce 12 19:27 19:19 19:22 19:10 19:20 19:53
Luis Martinez 10 19:49 18:30
Ronald Wells 12 20:37 19:55 21:35 18:43 20:22 20:39 20:29 22:19




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 93.9% 19.4 515 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.6 7.3 37.6 47.1
Regionals 97.0% 4.9 138 0.2 16.6 77.1 3.0 0.1
Sectionals 100% 4.9 135 0.3 16.3 80.4 3.0



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team made it.



Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jesus Flores-Villagrana 100% 116.1 100.0% 100.0%
Chris Uribe 99.9% 125.3 98.0% 99.8%
Ian Morris 98.1% 140.8 68.3% 93.1%
Leo Crampton 94.2% 154.5 5.3% 52.3%
Henry Salazar 93.9% 157.7 0.5% 37.9%
Shane Shively 93.9% 163.2 0.2% 11.2%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jesus Flores-Villagrana 100% 20.4 0.1 0.1 0.3 1.1 6.4 7.1 8.0 7.9 7.9 7.9 8.0 7.4 7.2 6.2 5.3 100.0% 100.0%
Chris Uribe 100% 24.1 0.0 0.2 1.4 2.8 3.4 4.2 4.9 5.8 6.3 6.3 7.0 7.2 7.7 100.0% 100.0%
Ian Morris 100% 30.8 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.9 1.3 1.8 2.0 3.0 100.0% 100.0%
Leo Crampton 100% 38.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 100.0% 100.0%
Henry Salazar 100% 40.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0% 100.0%
Shane Shively 100.0% 45.0 99.7% 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jesus Flores-Villagrana 18.9 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.0 9.3 9.5 10.7 10.6 9.7 9.8 9.4 8.5 6.9 5.8 3.8
Chris Uribe 21.8 0.0 0.2 2.0 4.1 5.3 6.7 7.5 7.7 8.9 9.8 10.3 10.7 9.9
Ian Morris 26.8 0.1 0.2 0.4 1.0 1.4 2.1 2.8 4.5 6.6 9.4
Leo Crampton 32.5 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.8
Henry Salazar 33.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2
Shane Shively 35.9