Lake Central
Boys - Girls
2018 - 2019 - 2020
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State Rank #41
New Prairie Semi-State Rank: #8
Crown Point Regional Rank #2
Gavit Sectional Rank #2
Most Likely Finish 9th place at Semi-State
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 18.8%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.




Season RatingPreseason Rating Crown Point Invitational Jack Bransford Classic Rudy Skorupa Invitational Harrison (WL) Invitational Bob Thomas Invitational New Prairie Invitational Culver Academies Invitational Duneland Athletic Conf. Highland Sectional Crown Point Regional New Prairie Semi-State State Finals
Date 8/18 8/24 8/31 9/7 9/14 9/21 9/28 10/5 10/12 10/19 10/26 11/2
Team Rating 484 456 492 470 464 449 542 598 557 600 543 473 537
Team Adjusted Rating 456 492 470 464 449 542 598 557 600 497 473 537
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Crown Point Invitational Jack Bransford Classic Rudy Skorupa Invitational Harrison (WL) Invitational Bob Thomas Invitational New Prairie Invitational Culver Academies Invitational Duneland Athletic Conf. Highland Sectional Crown Point Regional New Prairie Semi-State State Finals
229  Logan Russell 11 17:03 16:38 16:22 16:55 16:29 16:52 16:53 17:25 17:37 17:23 17:26 16:57 16:51 17:08
261  Zakaria Mohiuddin 11 17:08 17:42 16:55 17:16 17:08 16:57 16:57 16:51 17:42 17:19 17:19 17:19 16:59 17:04
272  Vincent Vanderveen 10 17:11 17:44 17:07 17:05 17:00 17:08 16:58 17:37 17:08 17:09 17:19 17:16 17:03 17:22
383  Jordan Duggan 11 17:22 17:03 17:31 17:10 17:16 16:59 17:06 17:01 17:19 17:23 17:42 17:33 18:08
388  Hayden Podlin 11 17:23 18:55 19:17 18:18 17:55 18:14 18:04 18:47 18:01 17:47 17:23 17:32 17:16
680  Cayden Cooper 12 17:52 18:05 17:46 18:13 17:55 17:45 17:54 17:59 17:49 17:51 17:57 17:45 17:57
762  AJ Rhody 11 17:59 18:12 17:41 18:07 17:56 18:10
953  Kaden Smith 9 18:15 18:06 18:46 18:34 18:13 18:04 18:03 18:05 18:10 18:10 18:33 18:35
978  Ethan Shassberger 10 18:17 18:21 18:34 18:27 18:25 18:16 18:16 17:47 18:19
984  Kyle Birgel 11 18:17 18:24 18:30 18:16 18:05 18:25 18:07 18:34 18:12
991  Trey Scheub 10 18:18 18:47 18:14 18:14 18:34 18:04 18:07 17:55 18:40 18:04 18:38 18:30
1,266  Avery Ramos 10 18:37 18:11 18:55 19:05 18:22 18:42 18:20
1,479  Ben Schmitt 10 18:53 19:04 19:16 19:22 19:08 19:00 18:56 18:26 19:00 18:33
1,488  Dylan Lopez 9 18:53 19:10 18:30 18:46 18:48 18:51 19:11 19:01
Warren Chekaluk 12 19:01 19:34 19:50 19:06 18:57 19:26 18:35 18:58 18:55
Braden Johnson 11 19:03 17:00 19:19 19:03 18:57
Jack Wolstenholme 10 19:12 19:37 18:50 19:01 19:26




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.






Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 18.8% 22.8 533 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.7 1.3 2.3 3.7 9.6
Semi-State 100.0% 8.1 231 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.5 5.7 10.8 16.4 20.1 21.9 16.9 3.7 1.4 0.5 0.2 0.1
Regionals 100% 2.3 80 0.5 74.4 23.8 1.1 0.2 0.0
Sectionals 100% 1.0 34 99.5 0.5



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Logan Russell 25.2% 126.6 7.9% 15.1%
Zakaria Mohiuddin 20.7% 136.7 2.4% 6.8%
Vincent Vanderveen 19.8% 141.6 1.2% 3.9%
Jordan Duggan 18.8% 162.7 0.0% 0.4%
Hayden Podlin 18.9% 165.3 0.1% 0.3%
Cayden Cooper 18.8% 194.9 0.0% 0.0%
Kaden Smith 18.8% 204.2 0.0% 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Logan Russell 100.0% 42.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.6 1.0 0.8 1.1 1.1 1.0 1.4 1.4 1.6 0.0% 100.0%
Zakaria Mohiuddin 100% 49.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.8 100.0% 100.0%
Vincent Vanderveen 100% 54.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.4 0.5 100.0% 100.0%
Jordan Duggan 100.0% 69.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0% 99.4%
Hayden Podlin 100.0% 70.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0% 99.4%
Cayden Cooper 100.0% 111.6 0.0% 56.8%
Kaden Smith 100.0% 137.9 0.0% 5.9%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Logan Russell 100% 12.9 0.3 0.6 1.7 2.9 3.6 5.5 7.3 8.2 10.1 10.5 10.9 10.2 9.0 7.2 4.7 3.2 2.0 1.0 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.1 100.0%
Zakaria Mohiuddin 100% 15.1 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.9 1.8 2.8 3.6 4.9 6.1 8.0 9.4 10.5 11.5 10.5 9.1 7.2 4.8 3.3 1.9 1.3 0.6 0.4 100.0%
Vincent Vanderveen 100% 16.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 1.1 1.5 2.4 3.6 4.9 6.0 8.2 10.1 10.7 11.1 11.0 8.7 6.7 5.2 3.1 1.9 1.3 0.7 100.0%
Jordan Duggan 100% 20.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.9 1.6 2.7 3.7 5.0 8.4 10.4 11.6 12.2 10.2 8.8 7.4 5.3 100.0%
Hayden Podlin 100% 20.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.9 1.3 2.4 3.7 5.2 6.9 9.6 11.3 11.9 11.2 9.6 7.1 6.2 100.0%
Cayden Cooper 100% 31.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.8 1.1 1.8 3.1 100.0%
Kaden Smith 100% 41.9 0.0 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Logan Russell 3.9 8.0 19.1 26.5 20.9 12.9 7.4 3.6 1.2 0.3 0.1 0.0
Zakaria Mohiuddin 5.1 2.6 7.8 16.2 21.0 20.5 16.4 9.2 4.5 1.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0
Vincent Vanderveen 5.7 1.3 5.1 10.9 17.6 21.7 19.3 13.6 6.5 2.9 0.8 0.2 0.1 0.0
Jordan Duggan 8.5 0.1 0.3 0.9 2.3 5.7 11.2 18.9 23.0 21.8 9.5 4.3 1.6 0.4 0.2 0.0
Hayden Podlin 8.6 0.1 0.1 0.7 2.1 4.9 10.5 17.9 24.2 22.1 11.2 4.1 1.5 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.0
Cayden Cooper 13.6 0.0 0.3 1.0 6.9 13.4 17.4 18.2 15.5 12.3 8.3 4.4 1.7 0.6 0.1 0.0
Kaden Smith 18.4 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.8 3.9 6.9 11.1 17.4 21.3 19.1 13.6 3.7 0.1