Leo
Boys - Girls
2018 - 2019 - 2020
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State Rank #76
New Haven Semi-State Rank: #22
West Noble Regional Rank #10
Northrop Sectional Rank #10
Most Likely Finish 7th place at Sectionals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 0.0%
Advance to Regional 2.9%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.



Season RatingPreseason Rating Huntington North Invitational DeKalb Baron Classic Marion Invitational Bruin Invitational West Noble Invitational New Haven Classic NE8 Conference Northrop Sectional West Noble Regional New Haven Semi-State
Date 8/24 8/31 9/7 9/14 9/21 9/28 10/5 10/12 10/19 10/26
Team Rating 689 812 641 727 738 639 708 698 692
Team Adjusted Rating 812 641 727 738 639 708 698 692
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Huntington North Invitational DeKalb Baron Classic Marion Invitational Bruin Invitational West Noble Invitational New Haven Classic NE8 Conference Northrop Sectional West Noble Regional New Haven Semi-State
343  Tyler Hartleroad 10 17:19 16:59 18:29 17:11 18:08 17:29 17:16 17:31 16:59 17:16 17:07 17:16
451  Jackson Ringwood 11 17:31 18:09 17:52 17:32 17:33 17:42 17:22 17:33 17:42 17:23 17:20
656  Tristian Alcantar 12 17:49 17:09 17:54 17:39 17:13 17:56 17:37 17:47 17:56 18:19
675  Donovin Setser 12 17:52 18:09 17:58 17:42 18:04 17:55 17:32 17:40 17:56 17:50 18:16
900  Joel Fowerbaugh 12 18:10 17:58 17:59 18:01 18:11 18:15 18:16 18:25 18:15 17:56
Aiden Delatorre 10 19:00 19:03 18:51 19:21 18:58 18:50 19:08
Keaton Brown 12 19:08 19:17 19:07 19:25 18:52 19:02 19:08 19:14
Kaleb Berghoff 12 19:23 19:35 19:23 19:29 18:58 19:57 19:19 19:27
Kayden Brown 9 19:35 19:24 19:04 19:43 19:24 20:36




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 0.0% 10.0 284 0.0
Regionals 2.9% 7.2 182 0.0 0.3 1.6 1.0
Sectionals 100% 6.8 188 0.4 2.5 15.5 75.5 6.0 0.2



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team made it.



Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Tyler Hartleroad 25.1% 69.9 25.1% 25.1%
Jackson Ringwood 3.8% 81.1 3.8% 3.8%
Tristian Alcantar 0.0% 71.5 0.0% 0.0%
Donovin Setser 0.0% 85.5 0.0% 0.0%
Joel Fowerbaugh 0.0% 128.5 0.0% 0.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Tyler Hartleroad 99.3% 39.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.6 0.9 1.1 1.4 99.3% 99.3%
Jackson Ringwood 91.9% 47.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 91.7% 91.9%
Tristian Alcantar 37.3% 55.3 35.4% 36.9%
Donovin Setser 28.9% 56.0 26.7% 28.1%
Joel Fowerbaugh 3.6% 59.9 0.7% 1.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Tyler Hartleroad 25.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.1 2.2 2.8 3.6 3.8 4.5 4.7 5.3 5.8 5.9 6.6
Jackson Ringwood 31.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.6 1.0 1.1 1.7 1.9 2.3 2.7
Tristian Alcantar 39.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
Donovin Setser 40.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
Joel Fowerbaugh 48.8