Lincoln (Cambridge City)
Boys - Girls
2018 - 2019 - 2020
Switch to All-time Team Page

State Rank #102
Shelbyville Semi-State Rank #31
Rushville Regional Rank #6
Connersville Sectional Rank #6
Most Likely Finish 19th place at Semi-State
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 48.7%
Advance to Regional 100.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.



Season RatingPreseason Rating Jeremy Wright Invite Pendleton Heights Arabian Round-Up Wapahani Invitational Union City Invitational Union County Invitational South Adams Invitational Spartan Connersville Invitational Delta Eagle Invitational Tri-Eastern Conference Connersville Sectional Rushville Regional Shelbyville Semi-State
Date 8/24 8/28 9/3 9/7 9/17 9/21 9/24 9/28 10/5 10/12 10/19 10/26
Team Rating 820 702 917 832 819 849 824 791 767 793 834 791 1,195
Team Adjusted Rating 702 860 832 819 849 824 791 767 793 834 791 1,195
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Jeremy Wright Invite Pendleton Heights Arabian Round-Up Wapahani Invitational Union City Invitational Union County Invitational South Adams Invitational Spartan Connersville Invitational Delta Eagle Invitational Tri-Eastern Conference Connersville Sectional Rushville Regional Shelbyville Semi-State
386  Dylan McCullum 12 17:23 17:34 17:11 17:26 17:33 17:33 17:25 17:21 17:22 17:20 17:28 17:29 17:14 17:20
619  Trent Bertsch 12 17:46 17:25 17:43 17:55 17:58 17:47 17:51 17:32 17:46 17:41 17:41 17:37 17:33 19:36
732  Payton McGriff 12 17:56 17:25 17:27 17:52 17:53 17:48 18:12 17:47 18:00 17:56 17:57 17:51 17:51 18:24
826  Blake Smith 10 18:05 17:46 17:14 18:26 17:53 18:06 18:15 18:38 17:47 17:46 17:47 18:22 17:58 19:35
Andon Ross 10 19:10 19:14 19:12 19:05 18:58 19:05 19:03 18:57 19:07 19:11 19:22 21:28
Bryce Pennington 11 20:03 18:21 20:06
Gavin Newton 9 20:06 20:33 19:54 20:03 20:12 20:33 20:57 19:21 20:32 19:39 19:58 20:07
Keaton Southerland 12 20:22 20:12 19:56 20:18 21:11 19:59 19:58 20:38 20:18 20:20 21:42




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 48.7% 18.8 528 0.1 0.6 2.2 8.4 31.9 5.5
Regionals 100% 5.7 154 0.0 0.8 5.7 42.1 30.9 14.1 6.4 0.0
Sectionals 100% 1.4 61 66.7 23.9 9.5 0.0



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team made it.



Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Dylan McCullum 97.7% 102.9 95.6% 97.6%
Trent Bertsch 60.2% 131.9 22.6% 42.2%
Payton McGriff 50.3% 142.9 3.2% 14.8%
Blake Smith 48.8% 151.1 0.3% 4.1%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Dylan McCullum 100% 13.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 2.3 4.0 5.5 6.5 6.0 6.5 6.3 6.1 5.7 5.5 5.4 4.5 4.4 3.9 3.7 2.9 3.2 2.5 2.5 2.0 2.0 100.0%
Trent Bertsch 100% 30.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.3 1.2 1.6 1.9 2.2 2.5 2.4 3.1 3.1 3.2 100.0%
Payton McGriff 100% 36.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.8 0.7 0.8 1.0 1.4 100.0%
Blake Smith 100% 42.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Dylan McCullum 2.5 7.3 30.3 25.7 17.4 10.4 5.3 2.4 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0
Trent Bertsch 7.1 0.2 2.3 5.5 10.1 13.7 16.8 16.5 14.3 9.7 5.6 3.0 1.4 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.1
Payton McGriff 9.6 0.2 0.8 1.8 4.0 6.9 11.3 14.8 16.7 14.9 11.4 7.7 4.4 2.9 1.3 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0
Blake Smith 11.9 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 1.4 3.2 6.0 10.1 14.0 15.4 15.6 12.5 8.6 5.9 3.6 1.7 0.7 0.3 0.0 0.0