Lincoln (Vincennes)
Boys - Girls
2018 - 2019 - 2020
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State Rank #104
Brown County Semi-State Rank: #22
Pike Central Regional Rank #5
South Knox Sectional Rank #5
Most Likely Finish 19th place at Semi-State
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 84.6%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.




Season RatingPreseason Rating Boonville Pioneer Invitational Dennis Bays Warrior Invite THSB State Preview Knox County Meet South Knox Invitational Pike Central Invitational Big 8 Conference South Knox Sectional Pike Central Regional Brown County Semi-State
Date 8/24 8/31 9/7 9/14 9/21 9/28 10/5 10/12 10/19 10/26
Team Rating 826 1,032 1,046 971 793 810 821 748 773 790 830
Team Adjusted Rating 1,032 1,046 971 793 810 821 748 773 790 830
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Boonville Pioneer Invitational Dennis Bays Warrior Invite THSB State Preview Knox County Meet South Knox Invitational Pike Central Invitational Big 8 Conference South Knox Sectional Pike Central Regional Brown County Semi-State
429  Parker Mullins 12 17:28 17:24 18:18 17:54 18:05 17:23 17:29 17:26 17:30 17:32 17:10 17:19
825  Keenan Clegg 10 18:05 18:58 19:07 18:35 18:24 18:18 18:11 17:53 17:59 17:59 17:57 17:52
885  Trevor Robbins 12 18:09 19:30 18:20 18:22 18:19 17:57 18:06 17:57 17:41 17:54 19:29 18:20
970  Blake Meade 10 18:16 18:24 18:47 19:29 18:53 17:58 17:57 18:41 17:44 18:05 18:05 18:33
1,112  Nate Harris 10 18:26 19:17 18:27 18:49 18:31 18:23 18:31 18:24 18:31 18:14 18:30 18:23
1,209  Evan McGuire 12 18:32 20:44 19:56 19:10 18:46 18:57 18:29 18:14 18:44
MacKenzie Taylor 9 19:34 19:36
DeAndre Flowers 11 19:57 19:30 20:03 20:09




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.






Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 84.6% 18.0 454 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.4 2.9 4.2 6.3 9.8 15.8 29.8 13.5
Regionals 100% 4.2 118 1.7 8.9 19.7 30.4 23.9 9.9 4.4 1.0 0.1
Sectionals 100% 2.2 68 17.0 51.7 24.5 6.7 0.1



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Parker Mullins 0.0% 172.5 0.0% 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Parker Mullins 99.2% 80.7 95.0% 97.6%
Keenan Clegg 84.8% 129.6 1.0% 10.0%
Trevor Robbins 84.7% 134.1 0.2% 5.8%
Blake Meade 84.6% 142.2 0.1% 1.6%
Nate Harris 84.6% 149.9 0.0% 0.2%
Evan McGuire 84.6% 154.3 0.0% 0.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Parker Mullins 100% 11.3 0.1 0.8 1.9 2.8 4.0 5.2 6.2 8.1 8.7 9.0 9.1 8.6 8.2 7.0 5.1 4.2 3.6 2.1 1.8 1.3 0.8 0.5 0.4 0.2 100.0%
Keenan Clegg 100% 27.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.9 1.3 1.6 2.4 3.1 3.8 4.5 5.6 6.1 100.0%
Trevor Robbins 100% 29.8 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.6 1.1 1.3 1.8 2.4 3.2 4.0 4.6 100.0%
Blake Meade 100% 34.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.6 0.8 1.2 1.6 100.0%
Nate Harris 100% 39.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 100.0%
Evan McGuire 100% 42.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Parker Mullins 5.2 1.0 3.6 7.3 13.0 20.9 19.7 14.8 9.9 5.8 2.6 0.9 0.4 0.1
Keenan Clegg 12.7 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.7 3.4 6.5 11.8 14.1 18.1 18.2 11.7 7.1 3.6 1.8 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
Trevor Robbins 13.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 2.0 3.6 7.3 10.8 14.6 17.7 17.3 12.3 6.4 3.5 1.8 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0
Blake Meade 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 1.9 3.3 6.5 10.3 15.5 19.6 14.9 10.6 6.4 3.9 2.1 1.6 1.0 0.4 0.3
Nate Harris 18.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.1 2.1 4.8 8.9 15.0 15.9 13.1 11.4 8.6 5.6 4.2 2.9 2.1
Evan McGuire 20.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.4 3.1 7.0 10.7 13.4 12.9 12.1 9.5 7.8 5.7 4.5