Manchester
Boys - Girls
2018 - 2019 - 2020
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State Rank #156
New Prairie Semi-State Rank: #29
Culver Academies Regional Rank #7
Culver Academies Sectional Rank #7
Most Likely Finish 7th place at Regionals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 14.4%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.




Season RatingPreseason Rating Warsaw Tiger Invitational Manchester Invitational Tippecanoe Valley Invitational New Prairie Invitational Culver Academies Invitational Three Rivers Conference Culver Academies Sectional Culver Academies Regional New Prairie Semi-State
Date 8/27 9/7 9/14 9/21 9/28 10/5 10/12 10/19 10/26
Team Rating 1,073 1,083 1,110 1,044 1,131 1,157 1,072 1,137 1,031
Team Adjusted Rating 1,083 1,110 1,044 1,131 1,139 1,072 1,090 1,031
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Warsaw Tiger Invitational Manchester Invitational Tippecanoe Valley Invitational New Prairie Invitational Culver Academies Invitational Three Rivers Conference Culver Academies Sectional Culver Academies Regional New Prairie Semi-State
292  Carter Bedke 11 17:13 17:33 17:19 17:21 17:28 17:35 17:15 17:19 17:20 17:18 17:01
1,185  Raven King 9 18:31 18:17 18:39 18:07 18:37 18:37 18:30 18:37 18:32
1,382  Cade Jones 10 18:45 18:41 18:51 18:53 18:28 18:51 19:01 18:46 18:45 18:35
Raice Martin 10 19:14 19:30 20:15 19:29 19:29 19:27 19:38 19:35 18:54
Elijah Burlingame 11 19:47 19:28 19:35 19:49 19:43 20:33
Jonathan Eberly 10 19:50 19:42 19:43 19:36 20:05 20:21 19:18 19:49 20:13
Reece Adamiec 12 19:57 19:14 20:55 20:14 19:56 20:26 20:00 19:48 19:46 19:38
Lane Stetzel 9 20:15 21:27 20:23 20:24 19:54 20:51 19:36 20:11 20:14
Mario Romero 9 20:58 22:51 21:25 20:48 21:00 20:58 20:18
Kedrick Metzger 11 21:03 22:42 21:16 20:48 22:11 20:38 20:27
Kaden Dillon 11 21:06 21:31 19:46 21:02 21:48 21:22 20:14 21:25




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.






Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 14.4% 19.5 521 0.0 0.5 6.0 7.8
Regionals 100.0% 6.4 173 0.1 14.3 33.8 49.3 2.1 0.3 0.1
Sectionals 100% 4.7 134 25.9 74.1 0.0



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Carter Bedke 3.4% 135.4 3.4% 3.4%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Carter Bedke 100% 57.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.4 100.0% 100.0%
Raven King 19.6% 144.4 6.0% 7.4%
Cade Jones 14.6% 155.1 0.2% 0.4%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Carter Bedke 100% 6.4 1.1 3.0 6.3 9.9 12.9 12.5 11.4 9.7 8.0 5.8 4.7 3.2 2.6 2.3 1.7 1.4 0.9 0.8 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 100.0% 100.0%
Raven King 100% 38.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0% 100.0%
Cade Jones 100% 45.0 100.0% 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Carter Bedke 4.8 1.1 3.6 8.6 17.3 24.5 16.0 9.3 6.2 4.0 2.9 2.2 1.5 1.0 0.7 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0
Raven King 26.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.4 3.9 7.1 12.5
Cade Jones 28.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.5