Monroe Central
Boys - Girls
2018 - 2019 - 2020
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State Rank #145
New Haven Semi-State Rank: #44
Delta Regional Rank #8
Delta Sectional Rank #8
Most Likely Finish 8th place at Regionals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 19.3%
Advance to Regional 100.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.



Season RatingPreseason Rating Meister Family Memorial Run Pendleton Heights Arabian Round-Up Union City Invitational Randolph Southern Invitational Muncie Central Invitational South Adams Invitational New Haven Classic Randolph County Mid-Eastern Conference Delta Sectional Delta Regional New Haven Semi-State
Date 8/24 8/28 9/7 9/14 9/17 9/21 9/28 10/1 10/5 10/12 10/19 10/26
Team Rating 985 1,233 1,298 1,219 1,135 1,072 1,117 1,007 1,044 1,009 938 1,090
Team Adjusted Rating 1,060 979 1,068 985 932 972 1,007 1,044 1,009 938 1,090
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Meister Family Memorial Run Pendleton Heights Arabian Round-Up Union City Invitational Randolph Southern Invitational Muncie Central Invitational South Adams Invitational New Haven Classic Randolph County Mid-Eastern Conference Delta Sectional Delta Regional New Haven Semi-State
835  Tucker Burris 10 18:06 18:12 18:23 18:13 18:11 17:50 17:51 18:09 17:49 18:24 17:54 18:34
847  Carter Miller 10 18:07 17:42 19:36 19:27 18:26 18:18 18:14 17:54
945  Caden Shumaker 11 18:14 18:10 18:06 18:18 18:38 18:11 18:13 18:00 17:56 18:08 18:21 18:13 18:42
1,248  Caden Landis 9 18:36 18:47 19:00 18:41 18:45 18:44 18:13 18:29 18:28 18:29 18:51
Chris Nunez 12 19:21 20:08 19:58 20:00 20:00 19:52 19:56 19:51 21:09 19:02 18:55 19:21
Kyler Shumaker 10 19:21 20:47 20:17 18:55 19:28 19:13 18:48 20:16 18:46 19:14 20:08 18:57 19:53
Marco Davis 12 19:58 21:20 20:44 20:36 20:31 20:31 19:32 20:03 19:39 19:56 19:31 19:39
James Daniels 10 21:11 21:01 21:44 20:41 20:54 21:40 21:13 21:02 21:34
Noel Childress 12 21:53 20:53 21:17 21:59 21:47 21:10 22:17 23:01 21:46 22:15




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 19.3% 19.8 562 0.0 4.2 15.1
Regionals 100% 6.8 176 7.8 11.5 15.8 23.2 38.0 3.5 0.3
Sectionals 100% 2.1 66 17.3 52.7 28.6 1.3 0.1



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team made it.



Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Tucker Burris 70.5% 142.6 63.4% 69.2%
Carter Miller 66.9% 143.2 58.9% 65.2%
Caden Shumaker 40.5% 147.8 26.2% 35.2%
Caden Landis 19.4% 162.0 0.1% 1.3%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Tucker Burris 100% 30.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.8 1.1 1.9 2.7 3.7 100.0%
Carter Miller 100% 31.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.7 1.0 1.6 2.2 3.1 100.0%
Caden Shumaker 100% 35.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.8 100.0%
Caden Landis 100% 46.7 0.0 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Tucker Burris 7.3 0.7 3.4 8.7 11.6 18.2 23.1 18.7 10.6 3.5 0.9 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
Carter Miller 7.5 0.0 0.7 2.7 7.1 10.3 16.9 22.9 21.0 11.7 4.6 1.3 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0
Caden Shumaker 9.1 0.1 0.5 2.0 3.6 6.7 13.4 22.2 28.8 13.2 5.2 2.3 1.3 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
Caden Landis 12.9 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.6 3.1 14.4 18.3 15.2 13.1 10.1 8.5 6.2 4.0 2.4 1.4 1.2 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.1