Mt. Vernon (Fortville)
Boys - Girls
2018 - 2019 - 2020
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State Rank #67
Shelbyville Semi-State Rank #23
Rushville Regional Rank #4
New Palestine Sectional Rank #4
Most Likely Finish 18th place at Semi-State
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 98.8%
Advance to Regional 99.8%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.




Season RatingPreseason Rating Meister Family Memorial Run Pendleton Heights Arabian Round-Up Marion Invitational Randolph Southern Invitational Muncie Central Invitational Hancock County Golden Bear Invitational Hoosier Heritage Conf. Mt. Vernon (Fortville) Sectional Rushville Regional Shelbyville Semi-State
Date 8/24 8/28 9/7 9/14 9/17 9/24 9/28 10/5 10/12 10/19 10/26
Team Rating 652 604 727 549 648 640 651 616 636 629 698 663
Team Adjusted Rating 604 727 549 648 640 651 616 636 629 698 663
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Meister Family Memorial Run Pendleton Heights Arabian Round-Up Marion Invitational Randolph Southern Invitational Muncie Central Invitational Hancock County Golden Bear Invitational Hoosier Heritage Conf. Mt. Vernon (Fortville) Sectional Rushville Regional Shelbyville Semi-State
377  Reyce Morgan 10 17:22 17:49 17:28 17:42 16:57 17:29 17:33 17:30 17:20 17:22 17:21 17:19 17:15
491  Colin Brown 11 17:35 17:32 17:20 18:01 18:13 17:49 17:32 17:32 17:24 17:34 17:41 17:24 17:32
544  Austin Rush 10 17:39 17:49 18:02 17:45 17:49 17:39 17:53 17:34 17:32 17:26 17:45 17:33
594  Tyler Strantz 11 17:43 17:45 17:29 18:10 17:34 17:17 18:15 17:35 17:37 17:34 17:20 18:15 18:19
723  Evan Rappe 11 17:55 17:32 18:34 17:45 17:19 17:47 17:31 17:42 18:03 18:00 18:21 18:17 17:55
758  Jacob Benz 12 17:59 17:56 17:40 17:28 18:01 17:49 17:55 17:51 18:03 18:43 18:07 18:06
923  Micheal Damer 12 18:12 18:06 17:31 18:05 17:37 17:59 18:07 19:17 19:01
1,011  Sam Wilson 10 18:19 18:48 18:45 18:15 18:05 18:17 18:11 18:08 18:31 18:28
1,133  Carson Collingsworth 11 18:27 18:27 18:12 18:21 18:20 18:40 18:35
Griffin Woods 11 19:07 18:27 19:07 19:08
Jackson Champion 10 19:08 18:36 18:58 19:18 19:28 18:57
Brayden Stamm 11 19:26 18:34 20:03 19:34 18:53 19:28 19:35 19:20




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.






Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 98.8% 17.2 474 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.2 9.2 17.4 22.2 34.7 12.3 1.5
Regionals 99.8% 3.4 101 0.1 19.8 29.0 44.9 5.0 0.8 0.1
Sectionals 100% 3.4 95 0.2 19.0 29.3 48.5 2.7 0.3



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team made it.




Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Reyce Morgan 99.6% 101.1 68.6% 96.7%
Colin Brown 98.9% 122.1 10.7% 76.6%
Austin Rush 98.9% 128.1 7.4% 63.7%
Tyler Strantz 98.8% 133.0 3.3% 51.9%
Evan Rappe 98.8% 146.7 0.0% 16.7%
Jacob Benz 98.8% 150.1 0.0% 10.4%
Micheal Damer 98.8% 160.3 0.0% 1.1%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Reyce Morgan 100% 12.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 2.7 4.8 6.3 7.0 6.9 7.1 6.7 6.5 6.1 5.4 5.4 4.8 4.1 3.9 3.3 3.1 2.6 2.2 2.2 1.6 1.1 100.0% 100.0%
Colin Brown 100% 21.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.1 1.5 1.8 1.9 2.6 3.2 3.4 3.7 4.0 4.1 4.7 4.3 4.3 5.1 4.8 4.8 5.0 4.8 100.0% 100.0%
Austin Rush 100% 25.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.6 1.0 1.1 1.6 1.9 2.2 2.3 2.7 2.8 3.3 3.4 3.8 3.7 4.8 4.4 4.8 4.7 100.0% 100.0%
Tyler Strantz 100% 28.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.7 0.9 1.2 1.3 1.7 2.1 2.0 2.5 2.9 3.4 3.5 4.1 3.8 4.2 100.0% 100.0%
Evan Rappe 100.0% 36.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.5 1.1 1.2 1.4 88.0% 100.0%
Jacob Benz 99.9% 38.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.6 0.8 72.0% 99.9%
Micheal Damer 99.8% 46.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.0% 98.9%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Reyce Morgan 9.8 0.1 0.5 1.8 5.3 8.7 9.2 9.1 8.7 8.5 8.0 6.7 5.6 5.4 4.2 4.3 3.8 2.7 2.3 1.9 1.3 1.0 0.4 0.4 0.2
Colin Brown 17.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.9 1.7 2.2 2.9 3.5 4.5 4.7 5.0 5.7 5.8 6.3 6.3 6.7 6.8 6.5 6.2 6.0 5.0 4.3 3.4
Austin Rush 19.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.1 2.3 2.9 3.8 4.2 4.7 5.2 5.4 6.1 6.8 7.2 7.0 7.1 7.1 7.1 5.6
Tyler Strantz 21.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.7 1.0 1.3 2.0 2.2 2.6 3.4 3.9 4.5 4.7 5.3 6.7 7.0 7.2 8.0 8.1 8.0
Evan Rappe 26.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.6 0.7 1.3 1.4 1.8 2.7 3.3 4.6 5.8 7.3
Jacob Benz 28.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.8 0.8 1.6 2.1 3.0 3.9 5.0
Micheal Damer 32.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.6