Noblesville
Boys - Girls
2018 - 2019 - 2020
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State Rank #5
Shelbyville Semi-State Rank #3
Noblesville Regional Rank #3
Noblesville Sectional Rank #3
Most Likely Finish 7th place at State Finals
State Champion 0.2%
Top 5 at State Finals 16.8%
Top 10 at State Finals 65.5%
Advance to State Finals 89.5%
Advance to Semi-State 99.8%
Advance to Regional 100.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.



Season RatingPreseason Rating Huntington North Invitational Hamilton County Columbus North Invitational Wildcat Classic Invitational RH Flashrock Invitational Hoosier Crossroads Conf. Nike Valley Twilight Noblesville Sectional Noblesville Regional Shelbyville Semi-State State Finals
Date 8/24 9/3 9/7 9/14 9/21 9/28 10/5 10/12 10/19 10/26 11/2
Team Rating 222 264 356 205 208 201 181 612 307 323 285 317
Team Adjusted Rating 241 192 205 208 193 179 229 274 227 227 236
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Huntington North Invitational Hamilton County Columbus North Invitational Wildcat Classic Invitational RH Flashrock Invitational Hoosier Crossroads Conf. Nike Valley Twilight Noblesville Sectional Noblesville Regional Shelbyville Semi-State State Finals
9  Travis Hickner 11 15:51 15:46 15:38 15:55 15:50 15:42 15:45 16:13 15:52 15:55 15:51
18  Cole Kimmel 11 16:02 16:27 15:46 15:53 16:02 15:50 15:54 16:08 16:06 16:08 16:24
62  Andrew Anderson 11 16:25 16:48 16:24 18:42 16:26 16:15 16:09 16:45
129  Andrew Knight 10 16:47 16:57 16:58 16:47 16:42
211  Evan Campbell 11 17:00 17:13 16:32 16:49 17:37 16:57 17:31 17:05 17:06 17:15 16:58 16:52
237  Jack Taylor 12 17:05 17:05 17:27 17:16 17:08 17:04 16:54 16:42 17:28 17:00 17:03 17:09
284  Asher Propst 9 17:12 17:25 17:00 17:11 17:05 17:21 17:08 17:14 17:23 17:05 17:16
332  Kolby Kazmierski 10 17:18 16:58 17:43 17:33 17:08 16:49 16:53 16:49 18:09 17:43
356  Seth Koszyk 12 17:20 17:16 17:04 17:21 17:15 17:29 17:01 17:49
399  Joel Mumaw 10 17:25 17:43 17:17 17:17 17:33 17:32 17:12 17:13 17:53
410  Luke Shinneman 10 17:27 17:04 18:01 17:45 17:53 17:21 17:14 17:28
438  Billy Gregory 11 17:29 16:35 17:49 16:57 17:10 17:33 17:54 17:22 17:40
639  Alex Cole 10 17:48 18:15 17:53 17:19 18:04 17:52 17:49 17:50 17:45
654  Ian Montarsi 11 17:49 17:07 17:33 17:20 17:49 18:05 18:50 17:40
738  Tyler McGovern 10 17:57 17:59 18:03 17:51 17:51 17:58 17:54 18:11
754  Alex Hipkiss 11 17:59 17:53 17:45 18:01 17:52 17:52 18:00 18:07 18:13
770  Nate Foster 11 18:00 17:28 20:00 17:47 18:26 17:44 17:50 17:56
808  Jack Hickner 11 18:03 18:35 18:08 17:34 18:02 18:04 18:10 18:12
834  Caleb Dugger 11 18:06 18:46 18:13 18:05 18:16 17:53 18:14 18:03
1,202  Landon Swift 10 18:32 17:56 18:47 19:26 18:22 18:25
1,256  Anthony Vieceli 11 18:37 18:59 20:06 18:06 18:22 18:26 18:21 19:21
1,456  Caleb Howell 10 18:51 18:14 18:55 19:12 18:47 18:45 18:52 18:48 18:57
1,496  Brady Barnes 9 18:54 19:13 18:28 19:08
1,540  Jacob Bragg 9 18:56 18:17 19:06 21:06 18:46 18:43 20:23 18:30
1,570  Levi Call 10 18:58 18:35 18:24 18:36 19:15 19:01 19:22
Thadeus Shipley 11 19:02 17:56 18:47 18:55 19:09 19:11
Jacob Lotridge 11 19:06 18:54 18:51 20:55 18:59 18:45 18:47 19:38
Garion Eaton 11 19:15 19:06 18:59 20:25 19:10 18:58 19:14 19:10 19:32
Parker Weis 11 19:23 20:07 18:53 19:18 19:08 19:14 20:13
Riley Strong 10 19:34 19:24 19:56 18:46 19:51 21:04 19:52 18:18
Logan Warner 11 19:45 18:43 20:02 19:48 19:03 19:46 19:07 19:58 20:28




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 89.5% 8.5 264 0.2 1.1 3.0 5.7 6.8 8.7 10.5 9.9 10.1 9.5 7.7 5.8 4.4 2.9 1.6 0.9 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
Semi-State 99.8% 4.4 145 2.3 9.8 19.3 23.1 21.5 13.6 6.4 2.5 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0
Regionals 100% 2.9 82 3.0 17.2 65.3 12.1 2.2 0.2
Sectionals 100% 2.0 48 4.2 91.1 4.7



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Travis Hickner 99.9% 11.0 1.1 2.2 3.4 4.1 4.9 5.4 5.8 5.9 5.5 5.9 5.8 5.1 4.8 4.3 4.1 3.3 3.0 2.8 3.0 2.3 2.0 1.9 1.6 1.2 1.3 98.9% 99.9%
Cole Kimmel 98.1% 20.9 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.9 1.1 1.4 1.8 2.4 2.6 2.9 3.1 3.4 3.7 3.8 3.5 4.0 3.7 3.5 3.5 3.2 3.2 3.0 2.7 2.9 82.0% 97.3%
Andrew Anderson 89.8% 59.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.5 2.7% 48.1%
Evan Campbell 89.5% 137.3 0.0% 0.1%
Jack Taylor 89.5% 147.8 0.0% 0.0%
Asher Propst 89.5% 161.9 0.0% 0.0%
Kolby Kazmierski 89.5% 171.0 0.0% 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Travis Hickner 100% 4.6 8.3 10.8 11.8 11.8 11.2 9.9 8.6 7.0 5.4 4.3 2.9 2.2 1.7 1.2 0.7 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0% 100.0%
Cole Kimmel 100% 9.2 0.4 1.6 2.9 4.3 6.2 7.9 7.8 8.2 9.1 8.4 7.5 5.9 5.3 4.4 3.4 2.8 2.7 2.2 1.6 1.4 1.1 0.9 0.9 0.6 0.5 100.0% 100.0%
Andrew Anderson 100.0% 25.4 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.6 1.0 1.4 1.7 2.1 2.5 2.8 3.2 3.1 3.4 3.2 3.8 3.8 3.9 3.7 3.8 3.8 87.5% 99.8%
Evan Campbell 99.8% 66.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0% 52.4%
Jack Taylor 99.8% 73.2 0.0 0.0% 36.8%
Asher Propst 99.8% 85.1 0.0% 17.3%
Kolby Kazmierski 99.8% 95.2 0.0% 7.9%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Travis Hickner 100% 2.7 14.4 20.7 21.8 15.2 14.4 7.5 2.7 1.7 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Cole Kimmel 100% 5.3 1.1 4.1 9.4 14.9 14.9 19.4 12.9 8.2 5.3 3.8 2.2 1.2 0.8 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Andrew Anderson 100% 12.5 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.6 5.0 6.4 7.4 7.9 8.5 7.9 7.9 7.0 5.9 6.1 5.5 5.1 4.2 3.0 2.6 2.1 1.5 1.0 0.7 100.0%
Evan Campbell 100% 31.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.8 1.3 1.8 2.1 2.8 3.2 3.6 100.0%
Jack Taylor 100% 34.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.7 1.1 1.3 1.5 2.3 100.0%
Asher Propst 100% 40.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.6 100.0%
Kolby Kazmierski 100% 44.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Travis Hickner 1.0 49.2 20.9 21.9 5.9 1.3 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
Cole Kimmel 3.0 4.9 23.9 19.8 34.3 10.5 3.1 1.7 1.0 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
Andrew Anderson 6.6 0.0 1.5 3.4 18.8 20.0 11.1 9.2 9.0 8.8 8.7 5.0 2.5 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
Evan Campbell 16.0 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.8 1.4 1.7 3.9 6.4 9.7 12.3 13.0 11.6 9.7 7.7 5.9 4.8 4.4 3.0 1.6 1.0
Jack Taylor 17.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.7 1.5 3.4 5.3 7.4 10.5 11.7 10.7 9.3 8.8 7.9 6.8 5.7 3.9 2.7
Asher Propst 20.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.5 2.4 4.3 5.9 8.0 9.3 9.3 9.4 9.1 9.7 9.2 8.3
Kolby Kazmierski 23.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.5 1.3 2.6 4.3 5.7 6.7 8.0 9.0 9.6 11.1 12.4