All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.
| Season Rating | | Preseason Rating | |
Zionsville Early Bird (4k) |
Marion Invitational |
Brown County Eagle Classic |
Ben Davis Invitational |
RH Flashrock Invitational |
Metro Interscholastic Conf. |
Marion County |
North Central JV Invitational |
Brebeuf Jesuit Sectional |
Noblesville Regional |
Shelbyville Semi-State |
State Finals |
|---|
| Date | | |
8/24 |
9/7 |
9/14 |
9/14 |
9/21 |
9/28 |
10/5 |
10/8 |
10/12 |
10/19 |
10/26 |
11/2 |
| Team Rating |
328 | |
302 |
310 |
355 |
739 |
324 |
369 |
330 |
1,035 |
481 |
354 |
348 |
|
| Team Adjusted Rating | | |
302 |
287 |
355 |
328 |
288 |
327 |
330 |
328 |
378 |
354 |
348 |
|
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating | Preseason Rating |
Zionsville Early Bird (4k) |
Marion Invitational |
Brown County Eagle Classic |
Ben Davis Invitational |
RH Flashrock Invitational |
Metro Interscholastic Conf. |
Marion County |
North Central JV Invitational |
Brebeuf Jesuit Sectional |
Noblesville Regional |
Shelbyville Semi-State |
State Finals |
|---|
| 7 |
Alex Frey |
12 |
15:46 |
15:49 |
15:38 |
15:27 |
15:37 |
|
15:41 |
15:54 |
15:55 |
|
16:20 |
15:46 |
15:49 |
16:27 |
| 98 |
Howard Hendricks |
12 |
16:37 |
17:52 |
16:29 |
16:35 |
16:40 |
|
16:12 |
16:54 |
16:32 |
|
|
16:48 |
16:40 |
|
| 127 |
Nate Killeen |
9 |
16:46 |
|
16:37 |
|
17:15 |
|
|
|
16:58 |
|
17:08 |
16:34 |
16:34 |
|
| 298 |
Jon Petersen |
11 |
17:14 |
17:38 |
17:16 |
17:00 |
17:10 |
|
17:17 |
17:04 |
17:08 |
|
17:13 |
17:31 |
17:26 |
|
| 309 |
Aaron Broderick |
11 |
17:15 |
17:16 |
17:09 |
17:07 |
|
|
17:05 |
17:08 |
17:29 |
|
|
17:17 |
17:24 |
|
| 443 |
Hayden Monk |
10 |
17:30 |
18:13 |
17:45 |
17:35 |
|
17:32 |
17:22 |
17:31 |
17:27 |
|
|
|
|
|
| 502 |
Sawyer Husain |
10 |
17:36 |
17:50 |
17:44 |
17:41 |
17:13 |
|
17:15 |
17:21 |
18:08 |
|
17:33 |
17:42 |
17:47 |
|
| 532 |
Xavier Guarneros |
9 |
17:38 |
|
17:16 |
17:04 |
18:00 |
|
|
18:01 |
17:14 |
|
18:06 |
|
|
|
| 555 |
Andrew Charbonneau |
9 |
17:40 |
|
17:39 |
17:42 |
|
17:37 |
|
17:38 |
17:44 |
|
|
|
|
|
| 583 |
Dominik Hickman |
11 |
17:42 |
16:50 |
|
17:57 |
17:27 |
|
17:58 |
18:03 |
|
|
17:42 |
17:35 |
17:35 |
|
| 676 |
Woodrow Murray |
11 |
17:52 |
17:44 |
17:54 |
17:48 |
|
17:48 |
18:04 |
17:29 |
18:09 |
|
|
|
|
|
| 693 |
Gabe Chambers |
10 |
17:53 |
18:38 |
17:42 |
18:09 |
17:49 |
|
17:31 |
18:01 |
|
|
18:07 |
|
|
|
| 949 |
Jack Strabala |
10 |
18:14 |
17:54 |
|
18:24 |
|
18:34 |
18:16 |
17:59 |
|
18:09 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,048 |
Nick Davis |
12 |
18:22 |
|
|
18:44 |
|
18:13 |
18:16 |
18:25 |
|
18:23 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,106 |
Henry Deryke |
10 |
18:26 |
|
18:09 |
18:25 |
|
18:08 |
|
|
|
19:14 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,302 |
Robert Fitzgerald |
10 |
18:40 |
|
18:44 |
|
|
18:36 |
18:49 |
18:43 |
|
18:31 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,405 |
Henry Leffler |
9 |
18:47 |
|
18:43 |
18:44 |
|
18:51 |
18:41 |
18:39 |
18:26 |
20:28 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,427 |
CJ Brizzi |
11 |
18:49 |
18:27 |
18:39 |
18:54 |
|
19:01 |
18:42 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 1,554 |
Jaiden Gray |
9 |
18:57 |
|
19:56 |
19:04 |
|
18:52 |
19:04 |
18:46 |
18:50 |
|
|
|
|
|
| 1,589 |
Brooks Hillenbrand |
11 |
18:59 |
|
18:46 |
18:14 |
|
19:23 |
|
18:51 |
|
19:40 |
|
|
|
|
|
David Lamb |
12 |
19:01 |
18:09 |
|
|
|
18:50 |
18:52 |
18:45 |
|
21:04 |
|
|
|
|
|
Brody Friend |
9 |
19:11 |
|
19:30 |
19:45 |
|
19:19 |
19:35 |
19:04 |
18:50 |
18:44 |
|
|
|
|
|
Danny Scherrer |
10 |
19:15 |
|
19:16 |
18:57 |
|
18:56 |
19:11 |
19:22 |
|
20:08 |
|
|
|
|
|
Grady Hadar |
9 |
19:23 |
|
19:39 |
20:09 |
|
19:18 |
18:56 |
19:15 |
19:13 |
20:01 |
|
|
|
|
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
| State Finals |
25.5% |
12.5 |
329 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.7 |
1.2 |
1.7 |
2.1 |
3.0 |
3.5 |
3.1 |
3.0 |
2.4 |
1.8 |
1.1 |
0.7 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
| Semi-State |
90.8% |
7.4 |
206 |
0.0 |
0.3 |
1.2 |
3.5 |
6.8 |
13.6 |
23.7 |
19.3 |
11.5 |
6.5 |
2.7 |
1.1 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Regionals |
100% |
4.3 |
117 |
0.1 |
1.0 |
10.4 |
51.5 |
27.8 |
8.8 |
0.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
2.2 |
63 |
2.0 |
81.5 |
15.8 |
0.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Alex Frey |
100% |
7.7 |
3.3 |
5.2 |
6.7 |
7.7 |
7.9 |
7.3 |
7.4 |
6.8 |
6.5 |
5.4 |
4.5 |
4.0 |
3.9 |
3.3 |
2.7 |
2.4 |
2.1 |
1.8 |
1.8 |
1.3 |
1.1 |
0.9 |
1.0 |
0.7 |
0.4 |
100.0% |
100.0% |
| Howard Hendricks |
30.2% |
68.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
6.3% |
14.5% |
| Nate Killeen |
25.8% |
89.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.5% |
3.0% |
| Jon Petersen |
25.5% |
150.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.0% |
| Aaron Broderick |
25.5% |
151.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.0% |
| Hayden Monk |
25.5% |
175.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.0% |
| Sawyer Husain |
25.5% |
182.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.0% |
| Semi-State | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Alex Frey |
100% |
3.0 |
17.9 |
17.2 |
15.5 |
12.7 |
8.9 |
7.2 |
6.1 |
3.9 |
3.3 |
2.1 |
1.7 |
1.1 |
0.7 |
0.6 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
100.0% |
100.0% |
| Howard Hendricks |
99.0% |
37.3 |
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.7 |
0.7 |
1.0 |
1.2 |
1.1 |
1.3 |
1.6 |
1.8 |
2.0 |
89.5% |
98.1% |
| Nate Killeen |
95.9% |
48.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
55.5% |
88.4% |
| Jon Petersen |
90.8% |
86.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1% |
13.8% |
| Aaron Broderick |
90.8% |
88.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1% |
12.0% |
| Hayden Monk |
90.8% |
112.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
1.1% |
| Sawyer Husain |
90.8% |
121.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.2% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Alex Frey |
100% |
1.8 |
28.9 |
26.6 |
16.6 |
12.4 |
7.3 |
4.5 |
1.9 |
0.9 |
0.5 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Howard Hendricks |
100% |
18.2 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.8 |
1.3 |
1.9 |
2.4 |
3.0 |
4.1 |
4.6 |
5.8 |
5.4 |
6.0 |
6.4 |
6.6 |
7.1 |
6.7 |
6.4 |
5.8 |
4.9 |
4.6 |
3.9 |
|
100.0% |
| Nate Killeen |
100% |
23.3 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
0.9 |
1.4 |
1.8 |
2.0 |
3.2 |
3.3 |
3.9 |
4.9 |
5.5 |
6.4 |
6.8 |
6.7 |
6.7 |
6.1 |
|
100.0% |
| Jon Petersen |
100% |
41.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
|
100.0% |
| Aaron Broderick |
100% |
42.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
|
100.0% |
| Hayden Monk |
100% |
52.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
99.6% |
| Sawyer Husain |
100% |
56.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
98.8% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Alex Frey |
1.2 |
39.9 |
52.0 |
5.8 |
1.6 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Howard Hendricks |
8.2 |
|
0.0 |
1.3 |
3.0 |
5.3 |
7.6 |
13.1 |
16.5 |
15.5 |
13.0 |
8.8 |
6.0 |
4.0 |
2.7 |
1.6 |
1.0 |
0.5 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
|
|
| Nate Killeen |
10.9 |
|
|
0.1 |
0.4 |
0.9 |
1.8 |
3.6 |
7.3 |
11.0 |
13.4 |
13.2 |
12.4 |
10.3 |
8.2 |
6.7 |
4.4 |
2.7 |
1.9 |
0.8 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
| Jon Petersen |
19.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
1.0 |
1.6 |
2.8 |
3.9 |
5.4 |
7.2 |
9.7 |
10.3 |
10.9 |
9.5 |
8.8 |
7.7 |
5.6 |
4.3 |
| Aaron Broderick |
20.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
1.2 |
2.0 |
3.2 |
5.0 |
6.6 |
8.5 |
10.5 |
10.6 |
10.1 |
9.4 |
7.6 |
6.8 |
5.0 |
| Hayden Monk |
26.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
0.7 |
1.6 |
2.9 |
3.9 |
5.2 |
6.7 |
7.4 |
8.2 |
| Sawyer Husain |
29.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.9 |
1.3 |
2.4 |
3.3 |
4.4 |
5.8 |
|
