Northrop
Boys - Girls
2018 - 2019 - 2020
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State Rank #110
New Haven Semi-State Rank: #32
West Noble Regional Rank #11
Northrop Sectional Rank #11
Most Likely Finish 8th place at Sectionals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 0.0%
Advance to Regional 0.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.




Season RatingPreseason Rating Huntington North Invitational DeKalb Baron Classic Manchester Invitational Bruin Invitational West Noble Invitational Culver Academies Invitational Summit Athletic Conf. Northrop Sectional West Noble Regional New Haven Semi-State
Date 8/24 8/31 9/7 9/14 9/21 9/28 10/5 10/12 10/19 10/26
Team Rating 854 1,146 917 1,122 1,108 988 885 885 892
Team Adjusted Rating 851 831 897 868 863 885 885 892
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Huntington North Invitational DeKalb Baron Classic Manchester Invitational Bruin Invitational West Noble Invitational Culver Academies Invitational Summit Athletic Conf. Northrop Sectional West Noble Regional New Haven Semi-State
254  Conner Jackson 11 17:07 18:13 17:20 17:13 17:37 17:25 17:32 17:30 17:29 17:14 16:50 16:59
715  Jonah Lemmon 11 17:55 18:13 17:36 17:47 18:02 18:04
909  Jacob Lewis 10 18:11 18:06 18:25 18:16 18:02
1,054  Chris Valencia 12 18:23 18:30 18:11 18:20 18:13 18:19 18:22 18:55
Logan Otis 10 19:09 18:55 18:57 19:23 19:28 19:30 18:59 19:03
Blake Hardy 10 19:24 19:07 19:15 19:24 19:56 19:06 19:07 20:06
Chryzor Baltazard 10 19:24 19:46 20:13 19:30 19:05 19:50 19:23 18:59
Jacob Pauken 10 19:39 19:28 19:48 19:45 19:23 19:45
Kyle Linnemeier 11 19:40 19:34 20:42 19:17 20:47 19:33 19:43 19:15
Cole Sikorski 10 20:00 19:37 20:08 20:21 20:09 19:45 20:12 19:52
Donnell Adams-Jones 10 20:16 20:00 20:15 20:21 20:26 20:19




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.






Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 0.0%
Regionals 0.0%
Sectionals 100% 8.1 232 0.1 5.9 83.4 10.0 0.6 0.1



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Conner Jackson 0.0% 96.0 0.0% 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Conner Jackson 63.5% 59.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 63.5% 63.5%
Jonah Lemmon 0.0% 91.5 0.0% 0.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Conner Jackson 99.9% 29.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.6 1.0 1.3 2.0 2.7 3.7 4.0 4.6 5.4 99.9% 99.9%
Jonah Lemmon 23.5% 56.5 23.5% 23.5%
Jacob Lewis 1.6% 59.7 1.6% 1.6%
Chris Valencia 0.1% 59.8 0.1% 0.1%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Conner Jackson 19.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 1.0 1.9 3.8 7.4 9.3 8.9 7.9 7.6 7.4 6.1 6.3 5.3 4.4 4.6
Jonah Lemmon 41.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
Jacob Lewis 49.2
Chris Valencia 54.0