NorthWood
Boys - Girls
2018 - 2019 - 2020
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State Rank #80
New Haven Semi-State Rank: #24
Elkhart Central Regional Rank #6
Elkhart Central Sectional Rank #6
Most Likely Finish 6th place at Regionals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 33.5%
Advance to Regional 94.6%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.



Season RatingPreseason Rating Warsaw Tiger Invitational Northwood Invitational Elkhart/St. Joe County Clash West Noble Invitational Culver Academies Invitational NIC / NLC Elkhart Central Sectional Elkhart Central Regional New Haven Semi-State
Date 8/27 8/31 9/14 9/21 9/28 10/5 10/12 10/19 10/26
Team Rating 725 616 735 759 752 724 700 723 737 800
Team Adjusted Rating 616 735 759 752 724 700 723 737 767
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Warsaw Tiger Invitational Northwood Invitational Elkhart/St. Joe County Clash West Noble Invitational Culver Academies Invitational NIC / NLC Elkhart Central Sectional Elkhart Central Regional New Haven Semi-State
412  Brady Hunsberger 10 17:27 17:51 16:53 17:50 17:49 17:13 17:11 17:22 17:42 17:30 17:37
637  Jordan Burden 9 17:48 17:29 17:39 18:01 17:40 17:46 17:46 17:57 17:56 17:54
662  Sam Schlatter 11 17:50 17:28 17:52 17:59 18:15 18:09 18:01 17:57 17:43 17:32
716  Eric Hochstetler 11 17:55 18:15 17:28 17:59 17:46 17:57 17:52 17:43 17:53 18:26 18:09
894  Garrett Myers 12 18:09 17:52 18:06 17:49 17:44 19:53 18:42 18:01 17:52 18:17 18:15
975  Austin Escamilla 11 18:17 18:10 18:05 18:13 18:18 18:29 18:33 18:19 18:05 18:06 18:34
993  Titus Stutsman 10 18:18 18:08 18:40 18:15 18:18 18:29 18:10
1,025  Owen Miller 9 18:20 18:14 18:18 18:11 18:58 18:20 18:15 18:14 18:31
1,090  Grady Stevenson 10 18:25 18:53 18:04 18:04 18:30 18:34 18:37
1,327  Stephen Schmidt 12 18:41 18:09 18:55 18:12 18:46 18:52 18:28 18:55
1,495  Carson Martin 12 18:54 18:41 19:08 18:59 21:43 18:26 18:44
Quinten Hunsberger 12 19:03 18:49 19:41 18:58 19:18 18:56 18:57
Cole Davies 9 19:17 19:31 19:23 19:14 19:24 19:29 18:56
Nate Rulli 11 19:27 19:36 20:02 19:37 19:56 19:12 18:50
Weston Miller 11 19:46 19:12 19:15 19:36 20:11 19:35 20:03




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 33.5% 16.8 430 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.8 3.3 6.1 9.8 9.4 2.1 0.2
Regionals 94.6% 6.2 156 0.0 6.3 10.7 16.4 20.2 18.0 12.4 7.6 2.8
Sectionals 100% 3.9 105 0.1 12.8 21.4 34.3 25.9 4.8 0.5 0.1



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team made it.



Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Brady Hunsberger 73.9% 90.3 60.8% 70.4%
Jordan Burden 34.5% 116.0 1.6% 6.8%
Sam Schlatter 34.1% 118.9 1.0% 4.8%
Eric Hochstetler 33.6% 125.3 0.2% 2.1%
Garrett Myers 33.5% 141.6 0.0% 0.0%
Austin Escamilla 33.5% 148.9 0.0% 0.0%
Titus Stutsman 33.5% 149.8 0.0% 0.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Brady Hunsberger 100% 22.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.6 1.5 2.0 2.9 3.3 3.6 4.6 4.6 5.0 5.3 5.7 5.6 5.2 5.3 5.6 4.7 100.0% 100.0%
Jordan Burden 99.9% 35.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.7 0.7 1.1 1.1 1.5 97.6% 99.9%
Sam Schlatter 99.8% 36.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.9 1.1 96.0% 99.7%
Eric Hochstetler 99.4% 39.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.5 89.0% 99.1%
Garrett Myers 96.1% 50.0 0.0 0.0 27.5% 89.6%
Austin Escamilla 94.9% 57.1 7.0% 75.9%
Titus Stutsman 94.8% 58.3 0.0 5.3% 72.1%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Brady Hunsberger 10.8 0.0 0.3 1.2 4.1 11.2 11.7 12.2 11.1 9.6 8.0 7.5 6.3 4.5 3.8 3.2 2.1 1.2 1.1 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.1
Jordan Burden 19.7 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 1.6 2.2 2.7 4.0 4.6 5.7 6.9 7.1 8.4 8.2 8.6 8.6 8.1 6.6 5.1
Sam Schlatter 20.7 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.8 1.4 2.1 2.9 3.6 4.7 5.3 6.2 7.5 8.7 9.0 8.6 9.2 8.2 6.3
Eric Hochstetler 22.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.7 1.2 1.9 2.5 2.9 4.0 5.1 6.2 8.0 8.5 9.7 9.9 9.1
Garrett Myers 28.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.9 1.2 2.1 2.7 4.2 6.4
Austin Escamilla 32.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.8 1.0 2.2
Titus Stutsman 33.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.6 1.0 1.7