Roncalli
Boys - Girls
2018 - 2019 - 2020
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State Rank #60
Shelbyville Semi-State Rank #21
Rushville Regional Rank #3
New Palestine Sectional Rank #3
Most Likely Finish 16th place at Semi-State
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 99.5%
Advance to Regional 99.9%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.



Season RatingPreseason Rating Circle City Conference Pendleton Heights Arabian Round-Up CougarPalooza Invitational Guerin Invitational RH Flashrock Invitational Ted Fox Invitational Marion County Mt. Vernon (Fortville) Sectional Rushville Regional Shelbyville Semi-State
Date 8/24 8/28 9/11 9/14 9/21 9/28 10/5 10/12 10/19 10/26
Team Rating 619 650 655 1,087 632 682 620 590 589 614 660
Team Adjusted Rating 617 638 619 615 682 620 590 589 609 660
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Circle City Conference Pendleton Heights Arabian Round-Up CougarPalooza Invitational Guerin Invitational RH Flashrock Invitational Ted Fox Invitational Marion County Mt. Vernon (Fortville) Sectional Rushville Regional Shelbyville Semi-State
358  Sam George 12 17:20 17:10 17:43 17:20 17:23 17:16 16:54 17:20 17:11 17:18 17:54
455  Liam Irwin 12 17:31 17:32 17:23 17:45 17:40 17:46 17:40 17:31 17:13 17:28 17:32
476  Matthew Croddy 11 17:33 17:41 17:19 17:50 17:51 17:41 17:43 17:24 17:27 17:42 17:23
520  Owen Herndon 12 17:37 17:32 17:51 17:33 17:24 17:56 17:27 17:44
624  Ryan Flick 12 17:46 17:56 17:45 17:47 17:33 18:02 17:59 17:48 17:38 17:47
882  Chris Figueroa 12 18:09 18:46 19:49 18:54 19:26 18:51 17:50
955  Clark Chapman 12 18:15 18:29 18:03 17:58 18:24 18:11 18:10 18:20 18:14 18:33
1,019  Logan Wong 12 18:20 17:46 17:33 18:17 17:32 18:20 19:14 18:41
1,173  Michael Feltz 12 18:30 19:02 19:00 18:50 19:00 18:58 18:18 18:24 18:13 18:11 18:47
1,282  Max Peeples 12 18:38 18:18 19:30 18:39 18:43 18:30 18:19 18:43
Jack Rittenhouse 10 19:08 19:32 19:06 19:02 19:01 19:14
Joe Sizemore 12 19:18 18:22 19:01 19:10 20:25 19:26
Ronan Euzen 10 19:26 18:57 19:15 19:41 19:16 19:23 19:47 19:24
Ethan Gosser 12 19:33 19:06 19:32 19:22 19:13 19:59 19:41
Evan Baker 9 19:34 19:55 19:43 19:36 19:45 19:51 19:16 19:14
Henry Meinerding 12 19:35 19:16 19:26 18:55 19:42 21:53




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 99.5% 16.6 452 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.9 3.2 18.5 25.4 23.7 20.6 6.2 0.6
Regionals 99.9% 2.9 90 0.7 37.9 33.1 25.8 2.0 0.4 0.0
Sectionals 100% 2.9 85 0.7 37.0 33.5 27.6 1.1 0.1



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team made it.



Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Sam George 99.8% 97.7 57.1% 97.4%
Liam Irwin 99.6% 116.8 12.2% 84.3%
Matthew Croddy 99.5% 119.6 6.1% 80.8%
Owen Herndon 99.5% 125.7 4.1% 69.8%
Ryan Flick 99.5% 137.5 0.0% 40.4%
Chris Figueroa 99.5% 157.8 0.0% 2.2%
Clark Chapman 99.5% 162.1 0.0% 0.6%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Sam George 100% 11.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.5 3.7 5.7 7.8 8.0 7.9 7.7 7.1 6.3 6.1 5.3 5.0 4.4 3.8 3.2 2.9 2.4 2.4 1.6 1.4 1.1 1.2 100.0% 100.0%
Liam Irwin 100% 19.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.2 2.0 2.4 2.6 3.4 3.8 4.4 4.7 4.4 5.0 5.1 5.2 5.0 5.2 4.6 4.9 4.4 4.6 3.6 100.0% 100.0%
Matthew Croddy 100% 20.3 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.8 1.3 1.9 2.4 2.8 3.3 3.7 3.7 4.3 4.3 4.7 4.5 5.1 4.9 5.1 4.9 4.7 4.3 4.0 100.0% 100.0%
Owen Herndon 100% 23.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.9 1.2 1.3 1.9 2.3 2.7 3.0 2.9 3.2 4.0 4.1 4.8 4.7 5.0 4.7 4.6 4.7 100.0% 100.0%
Ryan Flick 100.0% 30.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.8 0.9 1.2 1.4 1.5 2.0 2.0 2.3 3.2 3.2 3.8 90.0% 100.0%
Chris Figueroa 100.0% 44.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 50.0% 99.3%
Clark Chapman 99.9% 47.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.0% 98.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Sam George 9.0 0.0 0.3 0.9 2.2 6.8 9.6 10.4 10.3 9.4 8.7 7.6 7.1 5.8 4.9 4.0 3.4 2.5 1.8 1.6 0.9 0.7 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.2
Liam Irwin 15.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.5 2.3 3.5 4.3 5.2 5.9 6.2 6.3 7.0 7.0 6.8 6.5 6.0 5.9 4.8 4.3 3.9 3.3 2.4 2.0
Matthew Croddy 16.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 1.7 2.6 3.7 4.2 4.8 5.3 5.8 6.5 7.3 6.8 7.1 6.4 6.5 5.7 5.4 4.7 4.1 3.0 2.4
Owen Herndon 18.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 1.1 2.1 2.3 3.2 3.5 4.6 4.8 5.6 5.8 6.6 6.3 6.9 6.7 6.5 6.3 6.1 5.2 4.3
Ryan Flick 23.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.8 1.1 1.7 2.0 2.5 3.3 3.8 4.5 5.5 6.2 6.9 7.5 7.8 8.8
Chris Figueroa 31.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.7 1.2 1.7
Clark Chapman 33.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.5