Shelbyville
Boys - Girls
2018 - 2019 - 2020
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State Rank #132
Shelbyville Semi-State Rank #40
Shelbyville Regional Rank #7
Franklin Community Sectional Rank #7
Most Likely Finish 7th place at Regionals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 8.7%
Advance to Regional 91.7%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.



Season RatingPreseason Rating Franklin Invitational Columbus North Invitational Whiteland Invitational RH Flashrock Invitational Golden Bear Invitational Hoosier Heritage Conf. Franklin Community Sectional Franklin Community Regional Shelbyville Semi-State
Date 8/31 9/7 9/14 9/21 9/28 10/5 10/12 10/19 10/26
Team Rating 930 948 969 1,111 946 924 927 904 966
Team Adjusted Rating 948 969 939 946 924 927 904 966
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Franklin Invitational Columbus North Invitational Whiteland Invitational RH Flashrock Invitational Golden Bear Invitational Hoosier Heritage Conf. Franklin Community Sectional Franklin Community Regional Shelbyville Semi-State
266  Matt Baker 12 17:09 16:58 17:03 17:12 17:27 17:13 17:02 17:11 17:09 17:04 17:11
757  Joe Lux 12 17:59 18:02 18:09 17:55 17:40 18:03 17:54 18:08 17:56 18:08
1,395  Michael Lay 12 18:46 19:07 18:39 18:34 18:29 18:53 18:28 18:50 18:52 19:39
1,442  Michael Fox 10 18:50 18:36 18:29 18:40 19:01 19:31 18:52 19:12 18:30 18:41
1,569  Taige Mummert 11 18:58 18:54 19:35 20:16 18:54 18:42 19:13 18:33 18:43 19:02
Elijah Von Werder 9 19:45 19:41 19:49 20:08 19:26 19:29 20:11 19:48 19:38
Tristan Maloney 9 19:45 20:50 20:20 20:31 19:36 19:21 19:41 19:25




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 8.7% 19.6 548 0.1 0.5 2.4 5.7
Regionals 91.7% 7.2 188 0.1 8.6 18.5 23.8 23.0 17.8 0.0
Sectionals 100% 4.8 145 0.2 25.9 65.6 8.2 0.1



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team made it.



Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Matt Baker 100% 80.9 0.0 100.0% 100.0%
Joe Lux 78.6% 148.0 76.5% 78.6%
Michael Lay 8.7% 168.9 0.0% 0.1%
Michael Fox 8.7% 170.4 0.0% 0.0%
Taige Mummert 8.7% 172.7 0.0% 0.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Matt Baker 100% 14.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.5 2.7 4.1 5.9 7.3 9.8 11.8 13.5 12.9 11.6 8.7 5.1 2.4 1.3 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 100.0% 100.0%
Joe Lux 100% 28.4 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 1.0 2.1 3.5 5.0 6.2 7.5 100.0% 100.0%
Michael Lay 96.3% 54.1 0.0 55.4% 77.4%
Michael Fox 94.6% 56.3 35.0% 64.2%
Taige Mummert 92.8% 60.1 12.8% 40.1%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Matt Baker 11.4 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.8 3.2 5.9 7.8 10.5 15.0 18.2 16.7 16.9 3.4 1.1 0.2 0.0 0.0
Joe Lux 19.8 0.1 0.3 2.6 4.9 10.2 10.7 12.1 11.6 11.2 9.8 8.6 7.0 4.3
Michael Lay 35.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3
Michael Fox 36.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2
Taige Mummert 39.7 0.0 0.0