Silver Creek
Boys - Girls
2018 - 2019 - 2020
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State Rank #141
Brown County Semi-State Rank: #33
Brown County Regional Rank #7
Southwestern (Hanover Sectional Rank #7
Most Likely Finish 7th place at Regionals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 25.2%
Advance to Regional 100.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.



Season RatingPreseason Rating Austin Invitational Salem Invitational Columbus North Invitational Brown County Eagle Classic Crawford County Invitational Dragon Invitational Duke Meyer Invitational Southwestern (Hanover) Sectional Columbus North Regional Brown County Semi-State
Date 8/18 8/31 9/7 9/14 9/21 9/24 9/27 10/12 10/19 10/26
Team Rating 965 1,299 1,147 1,011 1,201 995 1,047 929 1,088 945
Team Adjusted Rating 941 1,034 1,011 1,062 995 978 929 1,088 945
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Austin Invitational Salem Invitational Columbus North Invitational Brown County Eagle Classic Crawford County Invitational Dragon Invitational Duke Meyer Invitational Southwestern (Hanover) Sectional Columbus North Regional Brown County Semi-State
671  Gavin Clark 11 17:51 17:50 17:27 17:39 17:44 17:50 18:05 17:53 18:05 17:50 17:50
903  A.J. Smith 12 18:10 18:45 17:42 18:03 18:10 18:00 17:48 18:11 18:41 18:46
1,245  Ashton Still 11 18:36 17:17 18:45 18:55 18:39 18:40 18:40 18:29 18:27 18:23
1,370  Gabe Armstrong 10 18:44 18:59 18:57 19:19 19:00 18:25 19:31 18:25
1,424  Alex Carney 9 18:48 19:45 19:35 19:03 19:35 19:01 19:01 18:44 18:55 18:29
Mac Rhodes 9 19:21 19:22 19:28 19:16 19:22 19:09 19:36 19:03 19:52 19:10
Zack Stahl 12 19:59 22:23 20:35 20:30 20:37 20:32 20:08 20:17 19:33 19:39
Austin Jewell 9 21:28 24:19 21:46 19:16 21:53 20:48 21:46




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 25.2% 19.8 512 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 2.6 21.8
Regionals 100% 6.4 183 0.1 25.2 29.8 30.9 10.2 4.0
Sectionals 100% 3.5 113 46.8 53.2



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team made it.



Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Gavin Clark 91.2% 112.4 88.2% 90.5%
A.J. Smith 38.3% 129.9 17.5% 26.3%
Ashton Still 25.2% 151.9 0.0% 0.3%
Gabe Armstrong 25.2% 157.4 0.0% 0.0%
Alex Carney 25.2% 160.4 0.0% 0.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Gavin Clark 100% 28.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.2 1.9 2.6 4.0 5.0 6.1 100.0%
A.J. Smith 100% 37.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 100.0%
Ashton Still 100% 47.7 99.9%
Gabe Armstrong 100% 51.4 99.3%
Alex Carney 100% 53.6 98.3%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Gavin Clark 13.4 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.5 2.6 5.0 8.1 13.0 13.8 13.1 11.6 10.6 7.7 6.0 3.9 1.7 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.0
A.J. Smith 18.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 1.9 3.4 4.8 7.2 9.6 13.0 16.4 17.2 12.0 6.8 3.6 1.9 0.8
Ashton Still 24.2 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.4 1.1 2.6 5.8 10.0 12.4 14.2 14.5
Gabe Armstrong 26.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 1.3 3.1 5.4 7.4 11.5
Alex Carney 27.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.2 2.3 4.2 6.0