Terre Haute South
Boys - Girls
2018 - 2019 - 2020
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State Rank #49
Brown County Semi-State Rank: #10
Bedford North Lawrence Regional Rank #5
Terre Haute North Sectional Rank #5
Most Likely Finish 9th place at Semi-State
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 3.1%
Advance to Semi-State 99.1%
Advance to Regional 100.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.



Season RatingPreseason Rating Valley Cross Kickoff Bloomington North Early Bird THSB State Preview Brown County Eagle Classic Conference Indiana Ted Fox Invitational Nike Valley Twilight Terre Haute North Sectional Bedford North Lawr. Regional Brown County Semi-State State Finals
Date 8/18 8/24 9/7 9/14 9/21 9/28 10/5 10/12 10/19 10/26 11/2
Team Rating 521 456 632 511 459 537 556 555 626 519 475
Team Adjusted Rating 456 554 511 459 509 556 555 602 519 475
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Valley Cross Kickoff Bloomington North Early Bird THSB State Preview Brown County Eagle Classic Conference Indiana Ted Fox Invitational Nike Valley Twilight Terre Haute North Sectional Bedford North Lawr. Regional Brown County Semi-State State Finals
36  Cael Light 11 16:14 15:50 16:17 16:25 16:29 16:12 16:17 16:20 16:27 16:36 16:17 16:09 16:07
74  Matt Gambill 10 16:29 16:04 16:31 16:40 16:23 16:18 16:32 16:21 16:10 16:41 16:26 16:26 17:32
471  Trey Browne 12 17:32 17:32 17:04 17:34 17:10 17:01 17:45 17:42 19:13 17:36 17:23
765  Mason Cranford 10 17:59 19:02 18:31 18:33 18:52 19:04 18:54 18:20 18:09 17:46
785  Isaac Hults 10 18:02 18:01 17:53 17:37 17:43 18:55 17:56 18:08 18:02 18:17
889  Timothy Smith 9 18:09 19:13 18:58 18:38 18:04 18:20 18:21 18:13 17:49 17:54 17:56
1,036  Eric Haworth 10 18:21 18:31 17:35 18:17 18:09 18:31 18:19 18:29 18:27 18:18 18:32 18:25
1,601  Tate Alcorn 10 19:00 19:46 18:57 18:39 19:16 18:44 19:26 18:59 19:04
Nathan McIntyre 12 20:17 19:12 19:15 19:52 20:26 20:03 19:50 21:07 21:38




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 3.1% 21.2 477 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.8 0.7 0.5 0.2
Semi-State 99.1% 8.5 257 0.0 0.0 0.5 2.6 13.1 29.5 39.1 10.4 3.0 0.8 0.1 0.0
Regionals 100% 3.8 109 1.4 24.9 65.1 7.8 0.9 0.0
Sectionals 100% 2.0 52 14.2 71.4 14.3



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Cael Light 99.8% 38.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.8 0.7 1.0 1.2 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.5 1.8 1.7 1.7 2.0 1.9 2.4 99.7% 99.8%
Matt Gambill 92.7% 68.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.2 92.5% 92.7%
Trey Browne 3.1% 170.0 0.0% 0.0%
Mason Cranford 3.1% 194.6 0.0% 0.0%
Isaac Hults 3.1% 195.8 0.0% 0.0%
Timothy Smith 3.1% 199.3 0.0% 0.0%
Eric Haworth 3.1% 203.7 0.0% 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Cael Light 100% 5.9 3.5 6.5 9.3 10.7 10.5 10.5 9.3 8.0 6.7 5.4 4.3 3.3 2.7 2.1 1.9 1.1 1.0 0.8 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1 100.0% 100.0%
Matt Gambill 100% 13.5 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.5 2.4 3.4 4.1 4.9 5.8 6.0 5.9 6.3 5.9 5.6 5.5 5.3 5.1 4.2 3.7 3.3 3.2 2.4 2.1 1.8 1.5 100.0% 100.0%
Trey Browne 99.5% 86.6 48.4% 92.9%
Mason Cranford 99.1% 124.4 0.0% 24.7%
Isaac Hults 99.1% 127.1 0.0% 19.5%
Timothy Smith 99.1% 136.1 0.0% 7.7%
Eric Haworth 99.1% 147.0 0.0% 0.9%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Cael Light 100% 3.0 7.1 19.8 24.3 23.2 11.3 7.6 4.0 1.6 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Matt Gambill 100% 5.9 0.1 1.2 4.1 10.7 19.8 15.4 16.0 12.6 7.1 4.7 3.1 1.8 1.4 0.9 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Trey Browne 100% 28.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.9 1.6 2.5 3.5 4.7 5.6 100.0%
Mason Cranford 100% 39.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Isaac Hults 100% 40.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Timothy Smith 100% 45.1 100.0%
Eric Haworth 100% 53.0 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Cael Light 1.0 90.9 7.6 1.1 0.3 0.1 0.0
Matt Gambill 1.6 4.9 70.3 14.6 5.8 3.0 1.1 0.3 0.1
Trey Browne 11.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.1 4.2 10.6 13.5 20.3 17.5 12.6 8.5 5.6 3.3 1.5 0.6 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0
Mason Cranford 18.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.5 2.9 4.9 7.6 9.6 11.2 11.6 11.4 10.6 8.7 7.0 5.2 3.6 1.8
Isaac Hults 18.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 2.2 3.6 5.7 7.4 10.1 10.6 12.4 11.3 10.4 8.2 6.4 5.1 2.9
Timothy Smith 21.3 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.9 1.5 2.7 4.4 6.2 8.0 10.2 11.4 12.3 12.0 10.6 8.3
Eric Haworth 24.9 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.8 1.4 2.3 4.2 6.4 9.2 11.2 15.0