All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.
| Season Rating | | Preseason Rating | |
Valpo Jamboree |
Penn Invitational |
THSB State Preview |
Wildcat Classic Invitational |
New Prairie Invitational |
Highland Invitational |
Duneland Athletic Conf. |
New Prairie Sectional |
Chesterton Regional |
New Prairie Semi-State |
State Finals |
|---|
| Date | | |
8/27 |
8/31 |
9/7 |
9/14 |
9/21 |
9/28 |
10/5 |
10/12 |
10/19 |
10/26 |
11/2 |
| Team Rating |
317 | |
691 |
304 |
305 |
301 |
301 |
718 |
324 |
344 |
359 |
354 |
327 |
| Team Adjusted Rating | | |
372 |
289 |
305 |
284 |
272 |
341 |
324 |
319 |
328 |
354 |
327 |
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating | Preseason Rating |
Valpo Jamboree |
Penn Invitational |
THSB State Preview |
Wildcat Classic Invitational |
New Prairie Invitational |
Highland Invitational |
Duneland Athletic Conf. |
New Prairie Sectional |
Chesterton Regional |
New Prairie Semi-State |
State Finals |
|---|
| 81 |
Jack Acton |
12 |
16:31 |
16:04 |
|
16:27 |
16:12 |
16:12 |
|
|
16:25 |
|
|
16:55 |
16:53 |
| 112 |
Joey Roytan |
12 |
16:40 |
17:14 |
|
16:30 |
18:21 |
16:21 |
16:13 |
|
16:52 |
16:37 |
16:38 |
16:51 |
16:43 |
| 133 |
Will Miltenberger |
11 |
16:48 |
|
21:39 |
|
17:19 |
|
17:00 |
17:08 |
16:52 |
16:51 |
16:55 |
16:54 |
16:41 |
| 153 |
Ty Puskar |
12 |
16:51 |
16:52 |
|
16:52 |
16:46 |
16:52 |
16:49 |
|
16:51 |
16:54 |
16:58 |
16:52 |
16:47 |
| 184 |
Bobby Woodburn |
12 |
16:56 |
17:14 |
21:38 |
16:39 |
16:45 |
17:09 |
16:39 |
|
16:53 |
16:55 |
16:53 |
16:48 |
17:19 |
| 194 |
Tommy Cavanaugh |
12 |
16:57 |
17:14 |
|
17:07 |
16:57 |
17:03 |
17:05 |
|
17:04 |
17:11 |
17:33 |
16:59 |
16:50 |
| 228 |
Ethan Vinyard |
12 |
17:03 |
17:29 |
|
17:02 |
16:50 |
16:58 |
16:50 |
|
16:58 |
16:55 |
17:01 |
17:42 |
17:31 |
| 331 |
Nick Clark |
12 |
17:18 |
17:08 |
|
17:08 |
17:06 |
17:13 |
17:39 |
|
17:47 |
|
17:09 |
|
|
| 395 |
Joel Bryant |
10 |
17:24 |
|
17:16 |
17:21 |
17:16 |
17:37 |
17:28 |
17:37 |
17:31 |
17:13 |
|
|
|
| 664 |
Charlie Moye |
10 |
17:50 |
17:54 |
17:48 |
17:51 |
17:54 |
17:53 |
17:54 |
17:52 |
17:49 |
|
|
|
|
| 707 |
Quan Le |
10 |
17:54 |
17:59 |
17:12 |
|
|
17:51 |
17:50 |
|
18:26 |
|
|
|
|
| 719 |
Carter Stephens |
12 |
17:55 |
17:30 |
|
17:44 |
17:54 |
17:31 |
17:41 |
18:33 |
18:12 |
|
|
|
|
| 943 |
Keaton Olson |
11 |
18:14 |
18:37 |
|
18:04 |
17:54 |
18:14 |
18:21 |
19:05 |
18:09 |
|
|
|
|
| 947 |
Jimmy Dillabaugh |
9 |
18:14 |
|
18:25 |
18:22 |
|
18:11 |
18:29 |
18:15 |
18:03 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,093 |
Riley Clark |
9 |
18:25 |
|
18:34 |
18:32 |
|
18:36 |
18:49 |
18:10 |
18:10 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,300 |
Jack Schwartz |
12 |
18:39 |
|
18:31 |
18:51 |
|
|
18:34 |
18:32 |
18:51 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,341 |
Jon Fry |
12 |
18:42 |
19:24 |
18:22 |
18:53 |
|
18:45 |
18:10 |
19:07 |
18:49 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,361 |
Gavin Ellis |
10 |
18:43 |
|
18:04 |
19:14 |
|
19:28 |
19:04 |
18:29 |
18:27 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,409 |
Nick Gring |
9 |
18:47 |
|
19:13 |
|
|
18:46 |
18:34 |
18:36 |
19:00 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,441 |
Zack Villarreal |
10 |
18:50 |
|
18:38 |
18:48 |
|
18:55 |
19:24 |
18:54 |
18:38 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,473 |
Nick Ribordy |
12 |
18:52 |
|
19:28 |
|
|
18:52 |
18:47 |
18:41 |
18:56 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,492 |
Will Young |
9 |
18:54 |
|
18:35 |
19:14 |
|
18:59 |
18:52 |
18:55 |
18:53 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,535 |
Nathan Nova |
9 |
18:56 |
|
18:47 |
19:01 |
|
18:46 |
18:28 |
19:21 |
19:13 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,597 |
Jack Thursby |
11 |
19:00 |
18:36 |
19:38 |
19:03 |
|
19:02 |
19:20 |
18:53 |
18:39 |
|
|
|
|
|
Patrick Brogan |
10 |
19:25 |
|
19:28 |
|
|
19:18 |
18:59 |
19:32 |
19:49 |
|
|
|
|
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
| State Finals |
99.4% |
14.4 |
362 |
0.0 |
0.3 |
0.7 |
0.9 |
1.5 |
2.3 |
2.5 |
3.7 |
4.3 |
5.0 |
6.4 |
6.9 |
7.4 |
7.7 |
8.0 |
7.1 |
6.4 |
6.5 |
5.5 |
5.2 |
4.1 |
3.2 |
2.4 |
1.4 |
| Semi-State |
100% |
2.5 |
94 |
31.5 |
27.9 |
17.6 |
13.5 |
7.2 |
1.7 |
0.5 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Regionals |
100% |
1.3 |
39 |
68.3 |
29.9 |
1.6 |
0.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
1.3 |
38 |
68.0 |
30.6 |
1.2 |
0.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Jack Acton |
99.7% |
73.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
48.4% |
96.1% |
| Joey Roytan |
99.5% |
95.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
11.3% |
83.6% |
| Will Miltenberger |
99.4% |
112.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
1.6% |
63.2% |
| Ty Puskar |
99.4% |
120.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
51.2% |
| Bobby Woodburn |
99.4% |
130.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
37.0% |
| Tommy Cavanaugh |
99.4% |
135.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
30.6% |
| Ethan Vinyard |
99.4% |
147.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
16.9% |
| Semi-State | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Jack Acton |
100% |
9.3 |
|
|
0.1 |
0.9 |
6.3 |
10.5 |
10.6 |
10.3 |
9.2 |
8.1 |
7.4 |
6.4 |
4.8 |
4.6 |
3.5 |
2.8 |
2.2 |
2.1 |
1.8 |
1.5 |
1.2 |
0.8 |
0.8 |
0.7 |
0.4 |
|
100.0% |
| Joey Roytan |
100% |
14.6 |
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.7 |
2.4 |
3.7 |
4.2 |
5.6 |
6.1 |
6.1 |
5.9 |
6.2 |
5.6 |
5.6 |
4.7 |
4.5 |
4.2 |
3.3 |
3.4 |
2.9 |
2.8 |
2.6 |
2.5 |
2.0 |
|
100.0% |
| Will Miltenberger |
100% |
21.6 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.8 |
1.3 |
1.7 |
2.1 |
2.8 |
2.9 |
3.5 |
3.9 |
3.8 |
4.0 |
4.3 |
4.0 |
4.2 |
4.1 |
3.8 |
4.0 |
3.3 |
3.3 |
3.1 |
|
100.0% |
| Ty Puskar |
100% |
25.7 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.1 |
0.4 |
0.7 |
0.9 |
1.3 |
1.7 |
2.0 |
2.4 |
2.5 |
3.1 |
3.3 |
3.1 |
3.3 |
3.2 |
2.9 |
3.7 |
3.4 |
3.3 |
3.1 |
3.3 |
|
100.0% |
| Bobby Woodburn |
100% |
31.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.7 |
0.8 |
1.0 |
1.3 |
1.6 |
2.0 |
2.0 |
2.2 |
2.3 |
2.5 |
2.6 |
2.8 |
3.0 |
2.7 |
2.9 |
|
99.9% |
| Tommy Cavanaugh |
100% |
34.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
1.0 |
1.3 |
1.3 |
1.5 |
1.8 |
1.9 |
1.9 |
2.1 |
2.1 |
2.5 |
2.3 |
2.8 |
|
100.0% |
| Ethan Vinyard |
100% |
42.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
0.7 |
0.9 |
0.9 |
1.1 |
1.2 |
1.2 |
1.6 |
1.7 |
|
99.6% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Jack Acton |
100% |
2.5 |
10.9 |
26.8 |
24.8 |
13.9 |
8.5 |
5.5 |
3.3 |
2.2 |
1.3 |
1.1 |
0.7 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Joey Roytan |
100% |
4.9 |
1.2 |
6.2 |
13.3 |
16.5 |
13.8 |
11.2 |
9.2 |
6.5 |
5.4 |
4.3 |
3.0 |
2.5 |
1.9 |
1.6 |
1.2 |
0.7 |
0.5 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
100.0% |
| Will Miltenberger |
100% |
8.2 |
0.1 |
0.9 |
3.1 |
6.2 |
9.2 |
9.7 |
9.8 |
9.3 |
8.4 |
8.0 |
6.3 |
5.8 |
5.0 |
4.1 |
3.4 |
2.6 |
2.5 |
1.6 |
1.3 |
1.0 |
0.6 |
0.5 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
|
100.0% |
| Ty Puskar |
100% |
10.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
1.5 |
3.6 |
5.5 |
7.1 |
8.3 |
8.0 |
7.7 |
7.7 |
7.4 |
6.8 |
6.1 |
5.3 |
4.9 |
4.1 |
3.5 |
3.1 |
2.4 |
2.0 |
1.5 |
1.1 |
0.7 |
0.6 |
0.4 |
|
100.0% |
| Bobby Woodburn |
100% |
12.7 |
|
0.1 |
0.3 |
1.2 |
2.2 |
3.9 |
4.4 |
5.6 |
6.5 |
6.6 |
7.0 |
7.1 |
7.2 |
6.6 |
6.2 |
6.2 |
5.2 |
4.5 |
4.5 |
3.4 |
3.0 |
2.4 |
2.0 |
1.4 |
0.9 |
|
100.0% |
| Tommy Cavanaugh |
100% |
14.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.7 |
1.4 |
2.5 |
3.8 |
4.3 |
5.3 |
5.6 |
6.5 |
6.3 |
7.0 |
6.7 |
6.3 |
6.6 |
6.1 |
5.8 |
5.1 |
4.7 |
4.1 |
3.2 |
2.3 |
1.8 |
1.4 |
|
100.0% |
| Ethan Vinyard |
100% |
17.5 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.6 |
1.0 |
1.7 |
2.6 |
3.1 |
4.0 |
4.4 |
5.2 |
5.4 |
6.0 |
6.3 |
6.2 |
6.8 |
6.7 |
6.6 |
6.3 |
5.3 |
5.0 |
4.2 |
3.6 |
|
100.0% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Jack Acton |
2.4 |
11.5 |
27.8 |
25.1 |
14.2 |
8.1 |
5.2 |
3.6 |
1.7 |
1.2 |
0.7 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Joey Roytan |
4.6 |
1.2 |
6.2 |
14.9 |
17.9 |
15.1 |
11.9 |
8.7 |
6.4 |
4.8 |
3.7 |
2.8 |
2.2 |
1.3 |
0.9 |
0.6 |
0.5 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
|
|
0.0 |
|
| Will Miltenberger |
7.6 |
0.1 |
1.1 |
3.3 |
7.1 |
10.7 |
11.6 |
10.2 |
9.9 |
8.5 |
7.4 |
6.9 |
5.4 |
4.9 |
3.4 |
3.1 |
2.2 |
1.3 |
1.2 |
0.8 |
0.5 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
| Ty Puskar |
9.2 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
1.4 |
4.0 |
6.6 |
8.4 |
9.0 |
9.6 |
8.8 |
7.9 |
7.4 |
7.2 |
6.1 |
5.0 |
4.6 |
4.0 |
3.0 |
2.2 |
1.4 |
1.2 |
0.8 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
| Bobby Woodburn |
11.8 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
1.3 |
2.3 |
4.2 |
6.4 |
6.6 |
7.6 |
7.7 |
7.8 |
7.3 |
7.9 |
7.0 |
7.2 |
5.4 |
5.6 |
4.2 |
3.2 |
2.9 |
2.1 |
1.2 |
0.9 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
| Tommy Cavanaugh |
12.8 |
|
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.6 |
1.6 |
2.9 |
4.4 |
5.9 |
6.4 |
7.2 |
7.2 |
7.9 |
7.3 |
7.8 |
7.2 |
6.3 |
6.1 |
4.9 |
4.8 |
3.7 |
2.7 |
1.9 |
1.2 |
0.7 |
0.4 |
| Ethan Vinyard |
15.8 |
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.7 |
1.4 |
2.2 |
3.2 |
4.2 |
4.8 |
5.5 |
6.7 |
6.9 |
7.9 |
7.7 |
7.9 |
7.8 |
7.4 |
6.2 |
5.6 |
4.4 |
3.4 |
2.2 |
1.5 |
|
