Warren Central
Boys - Girls
2018 - 2019 - 2020
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State Rank #55
Shelbyville Semi-State Rank #19
Rushville Regional Rank #2
New Palestine Sectional Rank #2
Most Likely Finish 15th place at Semi-State
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 99.9%
Advance to Regional 100.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.



Season RatingPreseason Rating Harrison (WL) Invitational Brown County Eagle Classic RH Flashrock Invitational Metro Interscholastic Conf. Marion County North Central JV Invitational Mt. Vernon (Fortville) Sectional Rushville Regional Shelbyville Semi-State
Date 9/7 9/14 9/21 9/28 10/5 10/8 10/12 10/19 10/26
Team Rating 592 634 723 652 728 653 651 526 555
Team Adjusted Rating 544 594 606 631 588 592 651 526 555
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Harrison (WL) Invitational Brown County Eagle Classic RH Flashrock Invitational Metro Interscholastic Conf. Marion County North Central JV Invitational Mt. Vernon (Fortville) Sectional Rushville Regional Shelbyville Semi-State
97  Kj Bye 12 16:37 16:56 16:18 16:34 16:48 16:42 16:36 16:38 16:35 16:55
387  Kevin Sasser 11 17:23 17:47 17:15 17:28 17:31 17:26 17:30 17:24 17:15 17:18
477  Zechariah Johnson 12 17:33 18:09 17:23 17:23
512  Jacob Hartman 11 17:37 17:43 17:39 17:45 17:55 17:44 17:38 17:42 17:19 17:24
936  Branson Dao 11 18:13 18:15 18:41 20:32 18:07 19:44 18:22 18:15 18:01 18:00
1,034  Xavier Wills 10 18:21 17:56 18:04 17:49 18:29 18:03 19:44 19:10
1,388  Landon Bronnenberg 11 18:45 18:29 19:48 19:21 18:46 18:54 19:20 18:51 18:43 18:32
1,414  Justin Johnson 12 18:48 18:40 18:49 19:10 18:59 19:03 18:42 18:22 18:41
Nick Johnson 10 19:28 19:26 19:31 19:27 20:01 19:03
Mark Turentine 12 19:40 20:10 19:24
Ludvick Kelley 10 19:56 19:36 19:40 21:49 20:19 19:28
Aidan Lyons 11 20:05 19:27 20:12 21:01 19:13 20:33
Ethan Carter 10 20:13 19:13 19:45 20:25 20:31 20:51




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 99.9% 15.5 415 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.0 2.9 9.2 43.1 24.0 12.9 5.8 0.7 0.0
Regionals 100.0% 2.8 88 0.3 41.2 36.8 20.5 1.1 0.1
Sectionals 100% 2.8 82 0.3 42.9 36.8 19.5 0.4 0.0



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Kj Bye 16.5% 63.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 16.5% 16.5%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Kj Bye 100% 37.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.7 1.0 1.4 1.5 1.5 1.6 1.9 2.3 100.0% 100.0%
Kevin Sasser 99.9% 102.8 33.3% 95.4%
Zechariah Johnson 99.9% 119.9 8.3% 79.5%
Jacob Hartman 99.9% 124.8 0.0% 71.2%
Branson Dao 99.9% 161.1 0.0% 0.9%
Xavier Wills 99.9% 165.1 0.0% 0.1%
Landon Bronnenberg 99.9% 173.1 0.0% 0.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Kj Bye 100% 1.1 46.8 25.6 14.7 8.9 2.6 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0% 100.0%
Kevin Sasser 100% 12.7 0.0 0.4 0.8 2.2 4.2 5.8 6.0 6.6 6.6 6.3 6.6 6.0 5.3 5.2 5.1 4.4 4.0 3.8 3.3 2.8 2.3 2.1 2.0 1.6 100.0% 100.0%
Zechariah Johnson 100% 20.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.7 1.4 1.9 2.2 3.3 3.1 3.4 4.5 4.0 4.7 4.3 4.4 4.6 4.8 4.2 4.5 4.5 4.3 4.2 100.0% 100.0%
Jacob Hartman 100% 23.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.9 1.1 1.3 1.7 2.2 2.8 2.7 3.4 3.2 3.6 4.1 4.7 4.1 4.5 4.2 4.1 4.7 4.8 100.0% 100.0%
Branson Dao 100.0% 46.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 33.3% 98.4%
Xavier Wills 100.0% 51.1 0.0 66.7% 95.4%
Landon Bronnenberg 100.0% 61.9 0.0% 51.4%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Kj Bye 1.1 46.8 25.6 15.3 9.7 1.9 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0
Kevin Sasser 10.2 0.1 0.4 1.5 4.6 7.7 8.6 8.4 8.7 8.2 7.4 6.8 6.0 5.6 5.3 3.9 3.4 3.0 2.3 2.2 1.8 1.2 1.0 0.7 0.5
Zechariah Johnson 16.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.1 2.4 2.8 3.7 4.1 4.9 5.6 6.3 5.9 5.8 5.8 6.5 6.4 5.5 5.4 5.4 4.6 4.1 3.5 2.9
Jacob Hartman 18.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.9 1.7 2.2 3.2 3.5 3.9 5.0 5.1 5.3 5.5 5.9 6.1 5.9 6.5 6.0 5.8 5.2 5.2 4.1
Branson Dao 33.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.8
Xavier Wills 35.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2
Landon Bronnenberg 42.7