Wawasee
Boys - Girls
2018 - 2019 - 2020
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State Rank #122
New Haven Semi-State Rank: #36
Elkhart Central Regional Rank #12
Elkhart Central Sectional Rank #12
Most Likely Finish 8th place at Sectionals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 0.0%
Advance to Regional 1.3%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.



Season RatingPreseason Rating Northwood Invitational Wildcat Classic Invitational New Haven Classic NIC / NLC Elkhart Central Sectional Elkhart Central Regional New Haven Semi-State
Date 8/31 9/14 9/28 10/5 10/12 10/19 10/26
Team Rating 897 869 1,235 922 1,014 817 944
Team Adjusted Rating 794 935 922 1,014 817 944
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Northwood Invitational Wildcat Classic Invitational New Haven Classic NIC / NLC Elkhart Central Sectional Elkhart Central Regional New Haven Semi-State
370  Michael Hammer 12 17:21 17:12 17:04 17:01 17:57 17:23 17:19 17:27
417  Karlson Hand 11 17:27 18:08 17:27 17:50 17:59 17:29 17:24 17:15 17:17
1,180  Jace Alexander 11 18:30 18:00 18:32 18:40 18:10 18:40
1,418  Camden Powell 10 18:48 18:37 18:02 18:58 18:56 19:07 18:36 18:51
Thomas Conley 12 19:10 17:52 19:26 19:07 19:12 20:17 18:45 19:50
Trevor Smith 10 19:15 19:13
Ian Kaase 10 19:42 20:24 19:34 19:32
Josiah Boyer 9 19:48 19:31 21:17 19:50 19:35 19:27 20:16
Dominic Speybroeck 9 20:27 20:02 20:55 20:24
Brayden Mickley 9 21:11 21:05 21:18 21:55 20:37




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 0.0% 17.0 430 0.0
Regionals 1.3% 8.6 190 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.3
Sectionals 100% 7.3 173 0.0 0.0 1.3 12.2 39.7 46.8 0.1



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team made it.



Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Michael Hammer 86.2% 83.5 86.1% 86.2%
Karlson Hand 68.6% 90.9 68.6% 68.6%
Jace Alexander 0.0% 136.5 0.0% 0.0%
Camden Powell 0.0% 150.5 0.0% 0.0%
Trevor Smith 0.0% 166.5 0.0% 0.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Michael Hammer 100% 18.4 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.0 1.8 2.9 4.5 5.4 5.9 6.2 6.5 6.5 6.4 5.9 6.0 5.0 5.3 4.7 4.2 3.9 100.0% 100.0%
Karlson Hand 100% 22.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 0.9 1.8 2.4 3.1 3.5 4.3 4.1 4.8 5.4 5.4 5.7 5.3 5.7 5.5 5.5 100.0% 100.0%
Jace Alexander 40.6% 65.7 39.8% 40.5%
Camden Powell 4.5% 73.3 3.2% 3.6%
Trevor Smith 1.3% 82.7 0.0% 0.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Michael Hammer 9.1 0.1 0.9 3.1 8.8 19.8 16.6 12.2 10.2 8.1 5.6 4.3 3.1 2.4 1.7 1.0 0.8 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0
Karlson Hand 11.1 0.2 0.8 3.0 8.7 13.1 12.7 11.0 9.8 8.6 7.5 6.1 4.9 3.3 3.1 2.3 1.7 1.3 0.8 0.4 0.3 0.2
Jace Alexander 41.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3
Camden Powell 50.6 0.0
Trevor Smith 61.0