Zionsville
Boys - Girls
2018 - 2019 - 2020
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State Rank #12
Shelbyville Semi-State Rank #6
Ben Davis Regional Rank #2
Ben Davis Sectional Rank #2
Most Likely Finish 10th place at State Finals
State Champion 0.1%
Top 5 at State Finals 6.1%
Top 10 at State Finals 42.8%
Advance to State Finals 76.9%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.




Season RatingPreseason Rating Zionsville Early Bird (4k) THSB State Preview Ben Davis Invitational RH Flashrock Invitational Hoosier Crossroads Conf. Nike Valley Twilight Ben Davis Sectional Ben Davis Regional Shelbyville Semi-State State Finals
Date 8/24 9/7 9/14 9/21 9/28 10/5 10/12 10/19 10/26 11/2
Team Rating 276 340 242 548 257 219 254 284 260 302 307
Team Adjusted Rating 255 242 288 257 219 254 284 260 302 307
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Zionsville Early Bird (4k) THSB State Preview Ben Davis Invitational RH Flashrock Invitational Hoosier Crossroads Conf. Nike Valley Twilight Ben Davis Sectional Ben Davis Regional Shelbyville Semi-State State Finals
Jesus Garcia 11 15:44 15:47 15:50 15:39 15:38 15:43 16:12 15:50 15:46 15:37
33  Robby Pratt 12 16:13 16:07 16:22 15:55 16:06 16:14 16:09 16:16 16:06 16:16 16:33
71  Logan Cole 11 16:28 16:55 16:10 15:49 16:47 16:23 16:20 16:27 16:27 16:52 16:44
275  Decatur Dell 10 17:11 18:02 17:15 17:16 17:17 16:59 16:51 17:10 17:04 17:11 17:27 17:29
276  Jack Sampson 12 17:11 17:12 17:11 17:41 17:36 17:28 16:49 17:11 17:08 17:07 17:07 17:07
288  Will Pitts 12 17:13 16:59 17:42 17:15 17:45 16:54 17:06 17:11 17:08 17:14 17:14
294  Matthew Helton 9 17:13 17:04 17:19 17:15 17:02 17:03 17:08 17:09 17:20 17:25 17:32
303  Ryan Handy 9 17:14 17:24 17:21 17:41 17:06 16:56
366  Cj Davidson 9 17:20 17:12 17:22 17:22 17:46 17:09
404  Will Nobbe 9 17:26 17:21 17:25 17:24 17:25 17:35
813  Ben Larsen 10 18:04 18:05 17:58 18:14 17:56 17:56 18:21
893  Devin Weber 11 18:09 18:33 17:57 18:05 17:57 18:34 18:06 18:19
944  Skyler Cole 9 18:14 18:29 18:07 18:15 18:09 18:22 18:13
972  Billy Busse 11 18:17 18:42 18:43 18:36 18:08 17:58 18:22 18:16
988  Sam Miller 11 18:17 18:35 18:25 18:18 18:11 18:12 18:17 18:29
1,094  Logan Sett 11 18:25 18:56 17:42 17:54 18:17 18:23 18:46 19:25
1,102  Shaefer Krohn 11 18:26 19:13 18:36 18:23 18:56 18:04 18:06
1,149  Andrew Albrecht 11 18:29 18:38 18:11 18:45 18:37 18:33 18:31 18:20
1,187  Max Essley 10 18:31 17:58 19:06 18:33 18:45 18:40 18:08
1,254  Henry Asam 12 18:36 18:13 18:34 18:35 18:27 18:50 18:35 18:43
1,344  Michael Walpole 12 18:42 18:28 18:43
1,410  Duncan Michie 10 18:47 18:38 18:27 18:50 18:42 18:47 19:07
1,534  Jackson Barker 10 18:56 18:32 18:37 18:47 19:51 19:11 18:55
1,555  Andrew Weaver 10 18:57 18:52 19:02 18:51 19:10 18:55 18:58
Brayden Kenworthy 9 19:01 19:10 19:05 19:17 18:36 18:51 19:13
Sam Randle 9 19:06 18:38 18:37 19:07 19:43 19:42 18:56
David Petersen 12 19:13 18:52 19:02 19:08 19:16 19:10 19:36
Keller Marquardt 12 19:22 19:50 18:53 18:58 20:14




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.






Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 76.9% 10.0 289 0.1 0.3 1.1 1.8 2.9 4.5 6.0 7.6 9.1 9.5 8.8 8.6 6.5 4.3 2.8 1.7 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
Semi-State 100% 5.4 164 0.7 3.8 10.1 16.9 21.0 24.4 12.9 6.4 2.7 0.8 0.2 0.1 0.0
Regionals 100% 1.9 63 22.4 67.5 9.2 0.8 0.1
Sectionals 100% 1.0 33 99.4 0.6



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jesus Garcia 100% 6.7 5.0 6.9 8.3 8.3 8.1 8.2 7.5 6.6 6.2 5.2 4.7 3.6 3.0 3.0 2.6 1.9 1.6 1.4 0.9 1.0 1.0 0.8 0.5 0.6 0.4 100.0% 100.0%
Robby Pratt 90.0% 33.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.8 0.9 0.9 1.1 1.2 1.6 1.4 1.6 1.8 2.1 2.1 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.0 56.6% 85.2%
Logan Cole 77.7% 63.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.2 3.8% 38.0%
Decatur Dell 76.9% 157.5 0.0% 0.0%
Jack Sampson 76.9% 158.5 0.0% 0.0%
Will Pitts 76.9% 160.3 0.0% 0.0%
Matthew Helton 76.9% 161.4 0.0% 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jesus Garcia 100% 2.5 22.8 19.6 15.1 11.2 9.2 6.7 5.1 3.3 2.3 1.6 1.1 0.8 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Robby Pratt 100% 14.9 0.2 0.4 1.0 1.6 2.3 3.0 3.8 4.7 5.3 6.0 5.6 5.6 5.7 5.4 5.2 5.0 4.7 4.2 3.5 3.2 3.2 2.5 2.3 2.2 100.0%
Logan Cole 100% 28.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.8 1.0 1.2 1.7 2.0 2.1 2.2 2.5 2.9 2.9 2.9 3.1 3.4 3.3 3.8 100.0%
Decatur Dell 100% 84.4 86.1%
Jack Sampson 100% 84.2 86.8%
Will Pitts 100% 86.2 83.8%
Matthew Helton 100% 87.5 82.3%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jesus Garcia 100% 1.0 55.6 27.0 11.0 4.2 1.6 0.4 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Robby Pratt 100% 5.5 2.7 8.7 13.9 16.5 17.1 13.2 10.9 7.0 4.9 2.6 1.5 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Logan Cole 100% 9.8 0.0 0.2 0.8 2.3 5.2 8.2 10.4 11.9 13.4 13.7 11.7 8.1 5.7 3.7 2.0 1.3 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Decatur Dell 100% 25.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.8 3.6 4.9 5.7 5.7 6.4 6.8 6.1 100.0%
Jack Sampson 100% 25.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.9 1.3 2.1 2.9 3.7 4.7 5.3 6.0 6.6 6.6 6.6 100.0%
Will Pitts 100% 26.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.6 1.1 1.7 2.2 3.1 3.8 4.7 5.1 5.9 6.5 6.2 100.0%
Matthew Helton 100% 26.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.5 1.2 1.5 1.9 2.4 3.6 4.3 5.1 5.4 5.6 6.5 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jesus Garcia 1.0 84.7 14.8 0.4 0.0
Robby Pratt 2.6 0.1 20.1 51.8 19.7 6.5 1.4 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0
Logan Cole 4.6 0.4 4.8 28.0 30.3 22.2 8.7 3.5 1.6 0.4 0.1 0.0
Decatur Dell 12.5 0.1 0.3 1.0 2.5 4.7 7.7 12.0 14.6 14.1 12.6 9.7 7.1 5.1 3.3 2.2 1.6 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0
Jack Sampson 12.5 0.0 0.1 1.0 2.6 4.5 7.9 13.2 14.2 13.6 11.9 9.4 7.5 5.4 3.4 2.5 1.2 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0
Will Pitts 12.9 0.0 0.1 0.8 1.9 3.4 6.5 10.6 13.3 14.5 12.9 10.8 8.3 6.0 4.3 2.9 1.8 1.1 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.0
Matthew Helton 13.3 0.1 0.6 1.3 2.9 5.7 10.2 11.6 14.0 14.1 11.7 9.1 6.3 4.8 3.3 2.1 1.2 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.1