East Central
Boys - Girls
2019 - 2020 - 2021
Switch to All-time Team Page

State Rank #128
Shelbyville Semi-State Rank #40
Franklin Community Regional Rank #7
South Dearborn Sectional Rank #7
Most Likely Finish 7th place at Regionals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 0.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.



Season RatingPreseason Rating Connersville 6-Way Lawrenceburg 4-Way Moores Hill Invitational East Central Invitational Eagle Classic South Dearborn Invitational Connersville Spartan Invitational Eastern IN Athletic Conf. Batesville Invitational Greensburg Invitational South Dearborn Sectional Franklin Regional Shelbyville Semi-State
Date 8/22 8/26 8/29 9/5 9/12 9/19 9/22 9/26 9/29 10/1 10/10 10/17 10/24
Team Rating 1,008 924 966 1,004 998 913 1,060 1,067 1,073 1,010 1,033 932 996
Team Adjusted Rating 924 848 1,004 998 913 1,060 1,041 1,073 1,010 1,033 932 996
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Connersville 6-Way Lawrenceburg 4-Way Moores Hill Invitational East Central Invitational Eagle Classic South Dearborn Invitational Connersville Spartan Invitational Eastern IN Athletic Conf. Batesville Invitational Greensburg Invitational South Dearborn Sectional Franklin Regional Shelbyville Semi-State
682  Michael Schwebach 11 17:57 17:26 17:37 17:11 17:36 17:52 17:57 17:56 18:22 18:05 18:12 18:11 17:39 17:59 18:07
857  Griffin Werner 12 18:14 17:57 17:44 17:10 17:55 18:26 17:52 18:26 18:19 18:30 18:06 18:33 18:17 18:31
1,215  Owen Hagen 12 18:41 18:26 19:22 18:45 18:31 18:39 18:38 18:39 19:29 18:46 18:34 18:22
1,329  James Stenger 12 18:49 18:49 20:02 19:59 18:59 18:45 19:11 18:48 19:25 18:28 18:41 18:24 18:35
1,448  Parker Fleming 11 18:59 18:09 19:00 19:58 18:46 18:31 18:24 19:07 19:11 18:49 18:49 19:45 19:05
Reilly Small 12 19:09 20:01 18:52 18:49 18:58 19:19 19:44 19:22 19:04 19:07 19:06 18:49 19:21
Nico DeMiglio 11 19:24 19:47 19:25 20:15 19:23 19:00 20:05 19:18 19:25 19:21 19:02 19:54 19:11
John Hotel 12 19:35 19:26 19:38 19:50 19:15 19:46 19:15 19:58 19:35 19:25 19:46
Logan Hicks 9 19:40 19:17 19:30 19:25 19:25 19:24 19:44 19:20 21:20 20:55
Brody Sandlin 11 20:10 18:52 19:42 19:30 19:59 19:43 20:11 20:09 20:58 20:42




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 0.0%
Regionals 100% 6.9 192 0.8 20.7 69.5 8.7 0.4
Sectionals 100% 2.1 77 87.1 12.9



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team made it.



Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Michael Schwebach 95.8% 138.4 95.8% 95.8%
Griffin Werner 58.6% 150.6 58.6% 58.6%
Owen Hagen 1.4% 163.0 1.4% 1.4%
James Stenger 0.0% 169.5 0.1% 0.1%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Michael Schwebach 100% 23.8 0.1 0.1 0.6 1.9 3.0 3.9 5.6 6.4 6.2 7.8 8.6 7.4 6.7 100.0%
Griffin Werner 100% 33.6 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.7 1.7 1.8 2.6 2.6 100.0%
Owen Hagen 100% 51.6 100.0%
James Stenger 100% 57.2 100.0%
Parker Fleming 100% 62.6 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Michael Schwebach 6.1 0.3 8.3 39.4 24.8 13.3 7.2 3.2 1.9 0.9 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.1
Griffin Werner 9.2 2.3 10.3 16.0 18.3 15.7 12.1 10.3 6.3 3.8 2.5 1.4 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.1
Owen Hagen 16.8 0.6 1.7 2.7 4.9 5.1 7.3 9.7 10.2 10.3 10.3 9.3 9.7 7.4 4.3 4.3 1.6 0.7
James Stenger 19.7 0.3 0.9 1.1 2.0 3.0 3.8 4.7 7.5 9.1 9.7 11.1 10.5 11.8 10.3 6.2 4.0
Parker Fleming 22.7 0.1 0.3 0.4 1.3 1.8 2.4 3.3 5.8 5.2 8.1 11.8 13.4 15.6 10.2