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State Rank #170
New Haven Regional Rank #37
Delta Sectional Rank #9
Most Likely Finish 10th place at Sectionals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Regional 19.8%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.



Season RatingPreseason Rating Bob Dahl Invitational Taylor University Invitational Marion Invitational Wildcat Classic South Adams Invitational New Haven Classic Allen County Athletic Conference Delta Sectional New Haven Regional
Date 8/13 8/19 9/2 9/9 9/16 9/23 10/7 10/14 10/21
Team Rating 1,157 1,147 1,258 1,061 1,296 1,207 1,203 1,126
Team Adjusted Rating 1,147 1,128 1,061 1,222 1,161 1,207 1,203 1,126
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Bob Dahl Invitational Taylor University Invitational Marion Invitational Wildcat Classic South Adams Invitational New Haven Classic Allen County Athletic Conference Delta Sectional New Haven Regional
999  Trevor Schwartz 11 18:23 18:09 17:26 17:22 17:04 18:41 18:22 18:36 18:53
1,116  Ethan Crockett 10 18:32 19:05 19:14 18:28 18:36 18:18 18:34 18:15 18:18 18:41
1,355  Logan Clark 12 18:53 19:50 19:39 20:13 19:21 18:59 18:51 18:34 18:42
1,445  Carter Steele 12 18:59 19:21 19:29 18:57 18:25 18:43 19:10 18:45 19:48 18:54
Tyler Schwartz 9 19:45 18:54 19:43 19:23 20:10 19:55 19:47
Jackson Shoaf 12 19:56 19:31 19:45 19:44 19:56 20:04 20:15 19:50 22:00
Bryson Edgell 11 20:40 21:18 20:30 21:08 21:12 20:44 20:36 20:17 20:20
Vince Laukhuf 11 21:40 22:38 24:02 22:41 21:42 21:53 21:15 20:41




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
State Finals 0.0%
Regionals 19.8% 24.0 606 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 1.5 2.8 4.6
Sectionals 100% 7.5 186 0.0 2.2 7.3 10.4 11.9 15.3 16.6 17.8 18.7



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team made it.



RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Trevor Schwartz 98.8% 144.7 96.3% 52.5%
Ethan Crockett 90.6% 160.7 46.1% 27.8%
Logan Clark 31.7% 183.3 0.0% 11.7%
Carter Steele 22.8% 189.9 0.0% 7.2%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Trevor Schwartz 24.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 1.0 1.3 2.1 3.0 4.2 5.8 7.5 7.8 8.4 8.5 8.6
Ethan Crockett 28.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.6 1.1 1.8 2.3 3.2 4.4 5.0 6.5
Logan Clark 36.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3
Carter Steele 39.4 0.0 0.0 0.1