All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.
| Season Rating | | Preseason Rating | |
State Preview |
Eagle Classic |
Flashrock Invite |
Hoosier Crossroads Conference |
Nike XC Town Twilight |
Brownsburg JV Last Run |
Ben Davis Sectional |
Brownsburg Regional |
State Finals |
|---|
| Date | | |
9/2 |
9/9 |
9/16 |
9/23 |
9/30 |
10/7 |
10/14 |
10/21 |
10/28 |
| Team Rating |
343 | |
491 |
385 |
603 |
322 |
356 |
735 |
351 |
345 |
352 |
| Team Adjusted Rating | | |
365 |
379 |
318 |
322 |
356 |
348 |
351 |
345 |
352 |
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating | Preseason Rating |
State Preview |
Eagle Classic |
Flashrock Invite |
Hoosier Crossroads Conference |
Nike XC Town Twilight |
Brownsburg JV Last Run |
Ben Davis Sectional |
Brownsburg Regional |
State Finals |
|---|
| 42 |
Zach Risner |
11 |
16:08 |
16:32 |
|
16:17 |
|
16:10 |
16:19 |
|
16:14 |
16:05 |
16:02 |
| 87 |
Sam Clore |
12 |
16:27 |
15:57 |
16:00 |
16:22 |
|
16:22 |
16:37 |
|
16:25 |
16:35 |
16:30 |
| 94 |
Ben Hunter |
12 |
16:29 |
16:39 |
17:06 |
16:52 |
|
16:35 |
16:38 |
|
16:55 |
16:21 |
16:46 |
| 353 |
Nate Wigger |
12 |
17:17 |
18:40 |
17:25 |
17:26 |
|
17:08 |
17:15 |
|
17:07 |
17:27 |
17:16 |
| 457 |
Colin Packer |
10 |
17:31 |
17:29 |
|
|
17:16 |
17:37 |
17:29 |
17:35 |
|
|
|
| 472 |
Mitchell Ford |
10 |
17:33 |
17:19 |
18:02 |
17:36 |
17:14 |
17:24 |
17:26 |
|
17:27 |
17:46 |
17:37 |
| 506 |
Gavin Thornberry |
11 |
17:36 |
17:28 |
20:20 |
17:58 |
17:47 |
17:48 |
17:40 |
17:35 |
17:35 |
17:27 |
17:30 |
| 547 |
Jack Germani |
12 |
17:42 |
18:08 |
18:24 |
17:36 |
17:35 |
17:30 |
17:22 |
|
17:40 |
17:47 |
18:04 |
| 674 |
Ian Foster |
11 |
17:54 |
18:13 |
17:39 |
18:04 |
17:45 |
17:34 |
18:00 |
18:14 |
|
|
|
| 680 |
Kevin Garcia |
11 |
17:54 |
|
|
18:02 |
17:52 |
17:49 |
17:43 |
18:03 |
|
|
|
| 732 |
Quinn Murray |
9 |
17:59 |
|
18:18 |
18:07 |
17:57 |
17:57 |
17:47 |
17:51 |
|
|
|
| 824 |
Maxwell Hunter |
9 |
18:08 |
|
17:47 |
17:52 |
18:46 |
17:57 |
18:16 |
18:12 |
|
|
|
| 845 |
Kai Sheley |
12 |
18:10 |
17:58 |
18:10 |
18:14 |
17:50 |
18:02 |
17:59 |
18:51 |
|
|
|
| 883 |
Aedan Aspaas |
9 |
18:13 |
|
18:12 |
18:08 |
18:09 |
18:19 |
18:05 |
18:17 |
|
|
|
| 1,073 |
Chase Childress |
11 |
18:29 |
18:54 |
|
|
18:43 |
18:42 |
18:17 |
18:15 |
|
|
|
| 1,126 |
Jayden Christensen |
10 |
18:33 |
|
18:57 |
18:39 |
18:38 |
18:38 |
18:20 |
18:15 |
|
|
|
| 1,169 |
Michael Carson |
9 |
18:36 |
|
18:37 |
18:35 |
18:29 |
18:32 |
18:31 |
18:48 |
|
|
|
| 1,190 |
Logan Ford |
12 |
18:38 |
19:12 |
18:23 |
19:26 |
18:03 |
18:28 |
19:21 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,219 |
Jacob Enz |
10 |
18:41 |
|
19:00 |
18:43 |
18:37 |
18:53 |
18:35 |
18:24 |
|
|
|
| 1,288 |
Cooper Fulayter |
11 |
18:47 |
19:00 |
20:15 |
19:14 |
19:00 |
18:37 |
18:32 |
18:43 |
|
|
|
| 1,408 |
Max LeMay |
9 |
18:56 |
|
19:59 |
18:48 |
18:47 |
19:05 |
18:37 |
18:59 |
|
|
|
|
Isaac Washington |
9 |
19:14 |
|
19:22 |
19:24 |
19:43 |
19:20 |
18:48 |
18:57 |
|
|
|
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| State Finals |
86.6% |
18.3 |
420 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.9 |
1.5 |
2.1 |
3.2 |
3.9 |
4.9 |
6.2 |
7.4 |
8.3 |
9.9 |
10.1 |
10.2 |
8.8 |
5.2 |
2.0 |
0.5 |
| Regionals |
100% |
4.9 |
193 |
|
0.1 |
1.6 |
22.6 |
62.2 |
9.3 |
2.7 |
1.1 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
2.0 |
67 |
2.5 |
92.8 |
4.4 |
0.3 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Zach Risner |
99.9% |
42.9 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.7 |
0.6 |
0.6 |
0.9 |
0.8 |
0.9 |
1.1 |
1.3 |
1.4 |
1.5 |
1.5 |
1.9 |
99.6% |
99.9% |
| Sam Clore |
94.3% |
88.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
57.2% |
89.1% |
| Ben Hunter |
92.9% |
95.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
47.1% |
85.4% |
| Nate Wigger |
86.6% |
212.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.2% |
| Mitchell Ford |
86.6% |
226.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.0% |
| Gavin Thornberry |
86.6% |
229.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.0% |
| Jack Germani |
86.6% |
233.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.0% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Zach Risner |
100% |
11.7 |
|
0.1 |
0.3 |
1.0 |
1.8 |
3.1 |
4.9 |
7.3 |
8.4 |
8.7 |
8.7 |
8.4 |
7.4 |
6.9 |
5.6 |
4.6 |
4.0 |
3.6 |
3.2 |
2.6 |
2.2 |
1.7 |
1.4 |
1.1 |
0.6 |
|
100.0% |
| Sam Clore |
100% |
24.1 |
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
1.1 |
1.4 |
2.0 |
2.1 |
3.0 |
3.5 |
3.6 |
4.1 |
4.2 |
4.1 |
4.7 |
4.8 |
4.8 |
4.9 |
5.4 |
|
100.0% |
| Ben Hunter |
100% |
25.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
0.7 |
0.9 |
1.3 |
1.8 |
2.0 |
2.6 |
2.9 |
3.5 |
3.4 |
3.9 |
4.4 |
4.1 |
4.6 |
5.0 |
4.9 |
|
100.0% |
| Nate Wigger |
100% |
69.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Mitchell Ford |
100% |
91.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Gavin Thornberry |
100% |
95.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Jack Germani |
100% |
104.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Zach Risner |
3.9 |
0.0 |
5.9 |
19.1 |
28.4 |
21.8 |
13.3 |
6.2 |
2.9 |
1.3 |
0.7 |
0.4 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sam Clore |
8.0 |
|
0.1 |
0.4 |
1.7 |
5.7 |
10.3 |
15.6 |
16.0 |
14.6 |
11.6 |
9.0 |
6.5 |
4.5 |
2.4 |
1.2 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Ben Hunter |
8.6 |
|
0.0 |
0.2 |
1.0 |
4.0 |
8.7 |
12.9 |
15.3 |
14.3 |
13.0 |
10.3 |
8.1 |
6.2 |
3.8 |
1.6 |
0.6 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Nate Wigger |
19.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.9 |
2.2 |
6.0 |
8.0 |
10.7 |
12.4 |
12.2 |
12.7 |
11.4 |
8.7 |
6.0 |
3.8 |
| Mitchell Ford |
24.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.7 |
1.3 |
1.9 |
3.2 |
5.1 |
7.7 |
10.3 |
11.7 |
12.2 |
| Gavin Thornberry |
25.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
1.1 |
1.8 |
3.1 |
4.8 |
7.7 |
9.7 |
11.4 |
| Jack Germani |
28.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.9 |
1.6 |
2.8 |
4.8 |
6.8 |
|
