All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.
| Season Rating | | Preseason Rating | |
Hamilton County |
State Preview |
Wildcat Classic |
Golden Bear Invitational |
Hoosier Crossroads Conference |
Nike XC Town Twilight |
Brownsburg JV Last Run |
Noblesville Sectional |
Shelbyville Regional |
State Finals |
|---|
| Date | | |
8/26 |
9/2 |
9/9 |
9/16 |
9/23 |
9/30 |
10/7 |
10/14 |
10/21 |
10/28 |
| Team Rating |
172 | |
150 |
206 |
684 |
219 |
187 |
177 |
602 |
163 |
207 |
170 |
| Team Adjusted Rating | | |
150 |
178 |
172 |
219 |
187 |
177 |
172 |
163 |
207 |
170 |
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating | Preseason Rating |
Hamilton County |
State Preview |
Wildcat Classic |
Golden Bear Invitational |
Hoosier Crossroads Conference |
Nike XC Town Twilight |
Brownsburg JV Last Run |
Noblesville Sectional |
Shelbyville Regional |
State Finals |
|---|
| 3 |
Sam Quagliaroli |
11 |
15:18 |
15:34 |
15:06 |
15:17 |
|
15:22 |
15:35 |
15:08 |
|
15:36 |
15:30 |
15:23 |
| 9 |
Matthew Kim |
12 |
15:40 |
15:55 |
15:34 |
15:38 |
|
15:46 |
15:35 |
15:26 |
|
15:51 |
15:52 |
15:48 |
| 68 |
Nate Thomas |
10 |
16:21 |
16:45 |
16:01 |
|
|
17:12 |
16:37 |
16:37 |
|
16:16 |
16:38 |
16:15 |
| 127 |
Henry Wood |
11 |
16:38 |
17:14 |
16:54 |
16:46 |
|
16:45 |
16:45 |
16:57 |
|
16:42 |
17:06 |
16:31 |
| 160 |
Bryson Slagle |
11 |
16:44 |
16:40 |
16:49 |
|
|
17:00 |
16:50 |
16:45 |
|
16:27 |
16:42 |
16:53 |
| 180 |
Parker Melling |
11 |
16:49 |
16:25 |
16:35 |
16:47 |
|
16:42 |
16:36 |
16:34 |
|
17:15 |
16:50 |
17:09 |
| 247 |
Dylan Wolf |
11 |
17:00 |
17:17 |
16:57 |
17:10 |
|
17:05 |
16:56 |
16:52 |
|
|
|
|
| 267 |
Cooper Mohr |
11 |
17:05 |
17:24 |
16:52 |
16:46 |
|
17:00 |
16:46 |
17:10 |
|
17:05 |
17:45 |
17:10 |
| 397 |
Jaden Guffey |
12 |
17:24 |
17:13 |
|
17:15 |
|
17:37 |
17:21 |
17:15 |
17:28 |
|
|
|
| 434 |
Reece Torres |
9 |
17:29 |
|
17:46 |
18:55 |
17:21 |
17:18 |
17:13 |
17:42 |
17:33 |
|
|
|
| 504 |
Declan Mohr |
10 |
17:36 |
17:52 |
18:19 |
19:42 |
17:44 |
17:30 |
17:17 |
17:32 |
17:36 |
|
|
|
| 558 |
Hans Moore |
12 |
17:44 |
18:16 |
18:01 |
17:42 |
17:54 |
|
18:31 |
17:17 |
17:20 |
|
|
|
| 599 |
Jonathon Albright |
11 |
17:48 |
18:26 |
18:17 |
17:35 |
17:38 |
17:44 |
17:49 |
18:04 |
17:39 |
|
|
|
| 700 |
Dalton Keele |
10 |
17:56 |
|
18:02 |
|
18:08 |
|
|
17:45 |
17:53 |
|
|
|
| 706 |
Kevin Davalos |
12 |
17:57 |
|
17:48 |
17:53 |
|
|
|
17:32 |
18:37 |
|
|
|
| 875 |
Mason Lapp |
10 |
18:12 |
|
18:09 |
18:19 |
17:59 |
|
18:22 |
18:20 |
18:03 |
|
|
|
| 958 |
Carter Clendenen |
11 |
18:20 |
|
18:15 |
18:01 |
18:42 |
|
18:33 |
18:19 |
18:09 |
|
|
|
| 1,130 |
Aidan Shiveley |
12 |
18:33 |
|
18:19 |
18:24 |
18:30 |
|
18:52 |
18:46 |
18:23 |
|
|
|
| 1,139 |
Patrick Johnson |
12 |
18:34 |
|
18:59 |
18:58 |
|
|
18:53 |
18:06 |
18:12 |
|
|
|
| 1,187 |
Simeon Brown |
9 |
18:38 |
|
18:52 |
18:21 |
18:55 |
|
18:26 |
18:33 |
18:42 |
|
|
|
| 1,235 |
Caleb Lotter |
12 |
18:43 |
|
18:42 |
18:45 |
18:53 |
|
18:38 |
18:39 |
18:40 |
|
|
|
| 1,306 |
Kale Ormes |
9 |
18:48 |
|
18:50 |
|
18:55 |
|
18:44 |
19:10 |
18:28 |
|
|
|
| 1,329 |
Noah Coles |
9 |
18:50 |
|
19:38 |
18:35 |
|
|
19:28 |
18:17 |
18:46 |
|
|
|
| 1,366 |
Kaiser Shockley |
9 |
18:53 |
|
19:02 |
18:28 |
|
|
18:48 |
18:50 |
19:09 |
|
|
|
| 1,433 |
Ajuna Muzoora |
9 |
18:58 |
|
18:52 |
19:29 |
|
|
18:56 |
22:44 |
18:49 |
|
|
|
|
Hudson Ayers |
10 |
19:09 |
|
19:32 |
18:55 |
|
|
19:11 |
19:03 |
|
|
|
|
|
Ethan Stayer |
9 |
19:11 |
|
19:23 |
18:59 |
|
|
19:03 |
19:20 |
|
|
|
|
|
Grayson Matthews |
11 |
19:17 |
18:43 |
19:03 |
18:56 |
|
|
|
20:00 |
|
|
|
|
|
Cameron Shirvinski |
10 |
19:40 |
|
19:16 |
18:59 |
|
|
20:06 |
19:57 |
|
|
|
|
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| State Finals |
99.9% |
4.6 |
212 |
4.5 |
19.7 |
19.1 |
15.2 |
11.4 |
8.6 |
6.6 |
4.7 |
3.5 |
2.5 |
1.5 |
1.0 |
0.8 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Regionals |
100% |
1.9 |
77 |
42.4 |
31.6 |
17.2 |
6.8 |
1.9 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
1.8 |
42 |
43.2 |
38.4 |
18.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Sam Quagliaroli |
100% |
2.2 |
22.8 |
22.8 |
20.0 |
13.6 |
8.3 |
4.7 |
2.7 |
1.7 |
1.0 |
0.6 |
0.5 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
100.0% |
100.0% |
| Matthew Kim |
100% |
9.8 |
0.0 |
0.6 |
2.8 |
4.9 |
6.9 |
8.0 |
7.6 |
7.1 |
7.2 |
6.4 |
5.6 |
4.8 |
4.8 |
3.7 |
3.6 |
3.5 |
2.7 |
2.7 |
2.0 |
1.8 |
1.7 |
1.3 |
1.1 |
1.3 |
1.1 |
100.0% |
100.0% |
| Nate Thomas |
99.9% |
73.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.0% |
97.0% |
| Henry Wood |
99.9% |
126.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
69.2% |
| Bryson Slagle |
99.9% |
147.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
50.2% |
| Parker Melling |
99.9% |
162.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
33.9% |
| Cooper Mohr |
99.9% |
196.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
3.9% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Sam Quagliaroli |
100% |
1.0 |
98.9 |
1.0 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Matthew Kim |
100% |
1.6 |
0.5 |
79.8 |
10.0 |
5.0 |
2.1 |
1.2 |
0.7 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Nate Thomas |
100% |
13.2 |
|
|
1.1 |
1.7 |
2.9 |
3.6 |
4.2 |
5.3 |
5.9 |
6.6 |
6.1 |
6.1 |
5.4 |
5.1 |
4.7 |
4.3 |
4.0 |
3.6 |
3.4 |
3.0 |
2.6 |
2.3 |
2.1 |
1.9 |
1.5 |
|
100.0% |
| Henry Wood |
100% |
29.0 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
0.6 |
1.3 |
1.4 |
1.5 |
1.7 |
2.1 |
2.2 |
2.2 |
2.5 |
2.5 |
2.6 |
3.0 |
3.0 |
3.2 |
3.3 |
3.0 |
|
100.0% |
| Bryson Slagle |
100% |
36.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.7 |
0.8 |
1.1 |
1.1 |
1.1 |
1.5 |
1.4 |
1.4 |
1.8 |
1.9 |
2.1 |
2.5 |
|
100.0% |
| Parker Melling |
100% |
42.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.8 |
0.9 |
0.9 |
0.9 |
1.4 |
1.5 |
|
100.0% |
| Cooper Mohr |
100% |
61.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
|
100.0% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Sam Quagliaroli |
1.0 |
99.4 |
0.6 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Matthew Kim |
1.5 |
0.5 |
93.1 |
4.4 |
1.6 |
0.3 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Nate Thomas |
6.5 |
|
|
9.2 |
9.7 |
14.4 |
11.6 |
9.7 |
8.4 |
7.3 |
5.6 |
5.0 |
4.1 |
3.6 |
3.2 |
2.7 |
1.8 |
1.4 |
1.0 |
0.7 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
| Henry Wood |
14.4 |
|
|
0.1 |
0.6 |
1.2 |
2.3 |
3.7 |
4.5 |
4.6 |
5.3 |
5.3 |
6.2 |
6.5 |
6.6 |
7.2 |
7.0 |
7.1 |
7.0 |
6.5 |
5.8 |
4.9 |
3.5 |
2.3 |
1.3 |
0.5 |
| Bryson Slagle |
17.6 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.8 |
1.2 |
1.8 |
2.2 |
2.7 |
3.3 |
4.1 |
4.0 |
5.1 |
5.6 |
6.5 |
7.5 |
8.2 |
8.8 |
8.2 |
8.2 |
7.5 |
6.0 |
4.1 |
2.2 |
| Parker Melling |
19.8 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.5 |
0.7 |
1.0 |
1.4 |
1.5 |
2.0 |
2.4 |
3.5 |
3.9 |
4.6 |
6.3 |
7.3 |
7.7 |
9.3 |
9.3 |
10.4 |
9.9 |
7.7 |
5.4 |
| Cooper Mohr |
24.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.7 |
0.9 |
1.5 |
2.2 |
3.5 |
5.2 |
7.9 |
12.8 |
15.1 |
|
