All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.
| Season Rating | | Preseason Rating | |
Penn Invitational |
NLC Round Robin #1 |
Harrison Invitational |
Minutemen Classic |
NLC Round Robin 2 |
New Prairie Invitational |
Dana Homo JV Invite |
New Haven Classic |
Northern Lakes Conference |
Elkhart Sectional |
New Prairie Regional |
State Finals |
|---|
| Date | | |
8/26 |
8/29 |
9/2 |
9/9 |
9/12 |
9/16 |
9/19 |
9/23 |
9/30 |
10/14 |
10/21 |
10/28 |
| Team Rating |
399 | |
396 |
370 |
382 |
440 |
367 |
426 |
1,153 |
431 |
397 |
428 |
402 |
|
| Team Adjusted Rating | | |
396 |
370 |
382 |
440 |
367 |
426 |
399 |
431 |
397 |
428 |
402 |
|
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating | Preseason Rating |
Penn Invitational |
NLC Round Robin #1 |
Harrison Invitational |
Minutemen Classic |
NLC Round Robin 2 |
New Prairie Invitational |
Dana Homo JV Invite |
New Haven Classic |
Northern Lakes Conference |
Elkhart Sectional |
New Prairie Regional |
State Finals |
|---|
| 50 |
Diaz Dorian |
10 |
16:14 |
16:37 |
16:31 |
16:28 |
16:41 |
16:40 |
16:24 |
16:31 |
|
16:31 |
16:19 |
16:21 |
16:05 |
16:11 |
| 169 |
Levi Schlegel |
9 |
16:47 |
|
17:01 |
16:57 |
16:50 |
16:53 |
16:38 |
16:40 |
|
16:36 |
16:36 |
16:47 |
16:54 |
|
| 182 |
Lincoln Clark |
12 |
16:49 |
17:54 |
16:50 |
16:45 |
16:49 |
16:53 |
16:34 |
16:56 |
|
17:09 |
16:57 |
17:01 |
16:40 |
16:55 |
| 258 |
Alex Lopez |
12 |
17:03 |
17:09 |
16:59 |
16:42 |
16:50 |
17:09 |
17:05 |
17:01 |
|
16:59 |
17:02 |
17:04 |
17:18 |
|
| 678 |
Moser Peter |
11 |
17:54 |
17:27 |
17:32 |
17:59 |
17:30 |
18:01 |
17:38 |
18:07 |
|
18:15 |
17:53 |
18:00 |
17:49 |
|
| 776 |
Brady Abney |
12 |
18:03 |
17:54 |
18:04 |
17:34 |
18:03 |
17:51 |
17:59 |
18:03 |
|
18:01 |
18:18 |
18:03 |
18:08 |
|
| 1,194 |
Jose Perez |
10 |
18:38 |
19:01 |
19:04 |
18:28 |
|
19:08 |
18:43 |
18:51 |
18:36 |
18:04 |
18:40 |
18:32 |
18:29 |
|
| 1,396 |
Kael Bestul |
11 |
18:55 |
18:49 |
|
|
|
18:42 |
18:56 |
19:04 |
18:50 |
|
18:59 |
|
|
|
|
Daniel Kinsey |
10 |
19:04 |
|
18:55 |
18:48 |
|
19:08 |
19:18 |
18:48 |
19:18 |
18:59 |
|
|
|
|
|
Jonathan Ruiz |
12 |
19:06 |
|
|
19:11 |
|
18:49 |
|
|
19:07 |
|
19:09 |
|
|
|
|
Cesar Ortiz Diaz |
12 |
19:11 |
|
20:35 |
18:55 |
|
19:08 |
19:15 |
18:56 |
18:38 |
20:17 |
19:32 |
|
|
|
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| State Finals |
22.4% |
19.2 |
431 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
0.7 |
0.9 |
1.2 |
1.9 |
2.2 |
2.3 |
3.2 |
3.5 |
2.8 |
1.6 |
0.7 |
0.1 |
| Regionals |
100% |
6.9 |
219 |
0.2 |
0.8 |
2.4 |
6.1 |
13.1 |
23.8 |
17.9 |
14.7 |
10.6 |
6.5 |
2.5 |
1.1 |
0.4 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
2.0 |
68 |
5.2 |
88.3 |
5.8 |
0.6 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Diaz Dorian |
99.1% |
54.5 |
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
0.6 |
0.9 |
0.9 |
98.8% |
99.1% |
| Levi Schlegel |
33.6% |
129.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
14.3% |
25.3% |
| Lincoln Clark |
29.3% |
135.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
8.8% |
19.3% |
| Alex Lopez |
22.5% |
172.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1% |
1.9% |
| Moser Peter |
22.4% |
233.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.0% |
| Brady Abney |
22.4% |
238.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.0% |
| Jose Perez |
22.4% |
246.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.0% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Diaz Dorian |
100% |
11.3 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
1.2 |
2.3 |
4.1 |
5.7 |
7.4 |
8.2 |
9.0 |
8.7 |
8.2 |
8.1 |
6.8 |
6.2 |
5.0 |
4.0 |
3.2 |
2.8 |
1.8 |
1.7 |
1.4 |
0.8 |
0.6 |
0.6 |
|
100.0% |
| Levi Schlegel |
100% |
33.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.8 |
0.9 |
1.4 |
1.4 |
2.0 |
2.0 |
2.6 |
2.7 |
2.9 |
3.1 |
|
100.0% |
| Lincoln Clark |
100% |
36.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.7 |
0.8 |
1.0 |
1.3 |
1.6 |
2.0 |
2.0 |
2.5 |
2.3 |
|
100.0% |
| Alex Lopez |
100% |
52.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
|
100.0% |
| Moser Peter |
100% |
116.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
97.8% |
| Brady Abney |
100% |
130.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
91.3% |
| Jose Perez |
100% |
177.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
9.2% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Diaz Dorian |
3.6 |
0.6 |
2.5 |
10.5 |
56.4 |
17.2 |
9.6 |
2.0 |
0.8 |
0.5 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Levi Schlegel |
8.7 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
4.0 |
8.7 |
15.0 |
14.5 |
11.6 |
12.5 |
12.8 |
9.5 |
5.9 |
3.1 |
1.5 |
0.6 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Lincoln Clark |
9.5 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
2.5 |
5.7 |
10.7 |
12.8 |
12.3 |
12.7 |
14.2 |
11.7 |
8.3 |
4.5 |
2.3 |
1.2 |
0.6 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
| Alex Lopez |
13.3 |
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.8 |
1.9 |
3.8 |
5.2 |
7.3 |
10.8 |
15.4 |
16.3 |
13.7 |
9.5 |
6.1 |
4.2 |
2.4 |
1.3 |
0.6 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
| Moser Peter |
30.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
1.0 |
1.7 |
2.7 |
3.8 |
4.2 |
5.0 |
| Brady Abney |
34.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
1.1 |
1.4 |
1.9 |
| Jose Perez |
48.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
