All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.
| Season Rating | | Preseason Rating | |
Hamilton County |
Wildcat Classic |
Flashrock Invite |
Hoosier Crossroads Conference |
Nike XC Town Twilight |
HSE/Noblesville JV Invite |
Noblesville Sectional |
Shelbyville Regional |
State Finals |
|---|
| Date | | |
8/26 |
9/9 |
9/16 |
9/23 |
9/30 |
10/4 |
10/14 |
10/21 |
10/28 |
| Team Rating |
241 | |
212 |
259 |
256 |
223 |
265 |
515 |
274 |
252 |
233 |
| Team Adjusted Rating | | |
212 |
259 |
256 |
223 |
256 |
241 |
267 |
232 |
233 |
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating | Preseason Rating |
Hamilton County |
Wildcat Classic |
Flashrock Invite |
Hoosier Crossroads Conference |
Nike XC Town Twilight |
HSE/Noblesville JV Invite |
Noblesville Sectional |
Shelbyville Regional |
State Finals |
|---|
| 74 |
Nick Vega |
11 |
16:23 |
16:55 |
16:58 |
16:50 |
16:30 |
16:47 |
16:40 |
|
16:28 |
|
16:16 |
| 89 |
Andrew Smith |
12 |
16:28 |
16:55 |
16:12 |
16:16 |
16:17 |
16:15 |
16:30 |
|
16:42 |
16:23 |
17:13 |
| 101 |
Riley Schamp |
10 |
16:31 |
16:58 |
16:25 |
16:27 |
17:31 |
16:25 |
16:33 |
|
16:29 |
16:42 |
16:27 |
| 102 |
Liam Powers |
10 |
16:31 |
16:23 |
16:15 |
16:38 |
16:50 |
16:16 |
|
|
17:11 |
16:22 |
16:30 |
| 120 |
Isaac Smith |
9 |
16:37 |
|
16:26 |
16:39 |
16:35 |
16:33 |
16:35 |
|
|
16:57 |
16:32 |
| 150 |
Ian Ross |
12 |
16:42 |
16:46 |
17:04 |
16:51 |
16:47 |
16:44 |
16:34 |
|
16:38 |
16:36 |
16:36 |
| 155 |
Matthew Hemmerling |
12 |
16:44 |
17:12 |
16:40 |
16:46 |
16:53 |
16:49 |
16:39 |
|
|
16:37 |
16:39 |
| 173 |
Michael Chalfant |
11 |
16:48 |
17:10 |
17:15 |
16:51 |
16:36 |
16:42 |
16:52 |
|
16:44 |
16:42 |
|
| 259 |
Ben Tuckis |
11 |
17:03 |
17:18 |
17:12 |
17:02 |
16:59 |
16:47 |
18:01 |
|
16:48 |
|
|
| 291 |
Zach Swedarsky |
11 |
17:09 |
17:07 |
16:49 |
16:59 |
17:10 |
|
17:06 |
17:30 |
|
|
|
| 302 |
Joshua Montgomery |
10 |
17:11 |
17:14 |
17:40 |
|
16:57 |
17:10 |
17:07 |
17:11 |
|
|
|
| 324 |
Brayden Gebhard |
12 |
17:14 |
17:41 |
16:51 |
17:20 |
17:06 |
17:20 |
17:28 |
17:09 |
|
|
|
| 362 |
Aidan Lawson |
11 |
17:18 |
17:53 |
17:23 |
|
17:08 |
17:14 |
17:24 |
17:21 |
|
|
|
| 488 |
Tate Watson |
11 |
17:34 |
17:02 |
17:17 |
18:02 |
17:49 |
17:36 |
17:16 |
17:25 |
|
|
|
| 499 |
Mason Schmitz |
9 |
17:35 |
|
17:32 |
|
|
17:22 |
17:52 |
|
|
|
|
| 521 |
Deagan Baker |
11 |
17:38 |
17:33 |
17:42 |
|
17:32 |
17:39 |
17:49 |
17:24 |
|
|
|
| 557 |
William Henning |
10 |
17:44 |
17:46 |
|
|
17:56 |
17:39 |
17:36 |
17:41 |
|
|
|
| 688 |
Adam Warski |
12 |
17:55 |
17:16 |
17:33 |
|
18:02 |
18:01 |
17:44 |
17:59 |
|
|
|
| 835 |
Sam Elliott |
10 |
18:09 |
|
17:58 |
|
18:12 |
18:16 |
18:06 |
18:05 |
|
|
|
| 1,030 |
Evan Leblanc |
11 |
18:26 |
18:50 |
18:27 |
|
18:24 |
18:15 |
|
18:33 |
|
|
|
| 1,042 |
Eliajh Cluff |
10 |
18:27 |
|
18:39 |
|
18:19 |
18:42 |
|
18:07 |
|
|
|
| 1,078 |
Sam Pridemore |
11 |
18:29 |
18:25 |
|
|
|
18:28 |
18:48 |
18:08 |
|
|
|
| 1,087 |
Luke Walters |
11 |
18:29 |
18:25 |
19:07 |
|
18:33 |
18:36 |
18:12 |
18:15 |
|
|
|
| 1,092 |
Thierno Sall |
11 |
18:30 |
|
18:41 |
|
18:15 |
18:01 |
|
19:09 |
|
|
|
| 1,101 |
Gavin Vessels |
12 |
18:30 |
|
17:58 |
|
18:50 |
18:58 |
18:16 |
18:23 |
|
|
|
| 1,151 |
Liam McNiven |
10 |
18:35 |
|
|
|
18:35 |
18:58 |
18:11 |
20:06 |
|
|
|
| 1,339 |
Andrew Voight |
10 |
18:51 |
18:07 |
18:40 |
|
18:46 |
18:37 |
19:03 |
18:59 |
|
|
|
|
Noah Kline |
11 |
19:03 |
19:14 |
19:09 |
|
19:23 |
18:52 |
|
18:55 |
|
|
|
|
Evan Senefeld |
11 |
19:08 |
|
19:16 |
|
19:15 |
20:57 |
|
18:56 |
|
|
|
|
Christopher Wilcox |
11 |
19:09 |
18:14 |
18:46 |
|
|
|
|
19:18 |
|
|
|
|
Kaden Jones |
11 |
19:10 |
|
18:51 |
|
19:33 |
19:33 |
|
18:39 |
|
|
|
|
Connor Pugh |
10 |
19:12 |
18:46 |
18:51 |
|
19:14 |
19:11 |
|
19:17 |
|
|
|
|
Gibson Helmreich |
12 |
19:40 |
19:25 |
18:56 |
|
19:57 |
19:16 |
20:12 |
19:41 |
|
|
|
|
Graham Weier |
10 |
21:37 |
|
21:21 |
|
23:00 |
22:27 |
18:08 |
21:55 |
|
|
|
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| State Finals |
97.9% |
9.2 |
288 |
0.7 |
4.2 |
6.3 |
7.2 |
7.6 |
7.7 |
7.8 |
7.3 |
7.0 |
6.9 |
6.0 |
5.1 |
4.6 |
4.1 |
3.5 |
2.7 |
2.6 |
2.0 |
1.7 |
1.2 |
0.9 |
0.6 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
| Regionals |
100% |
2.8 |
99 |
19.4 |
24.9 |
27.8 |
16.7 |
9.1 |
1.8 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
2.3 |
54 |
21.8 |
27.6 |
50.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Nick Vega |
99.4% |
77.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
69.1% |
97.0% |
| Andrew Smith |
98.8% |
91.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
39.6% |
92.0% |
| Riley Schamp |
98.4% |
100.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
23.7% |
87.8% |
| Liam Powers |
98.4% |
101.2 |
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
20.3% |
87.3% |
| Isaac Smith |
98.0% |
123.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
2.4% |
72.6% |
| Ian Ross |
98.0% |
139.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1.4% |
57.0% |
| Matthew Hemmerling |
98.0% |
144.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1.4% |
52.4% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Nick Vega |
100% |
14.1 |
|
0.1 |
0.5 |
1.4 |
1.9 |
2.6 |
3.6 |
4.6 |
5.2 |
5.7 |
6.4 |
5.9 |
5.9 |
5.5 |
5.5 |
5.2 |
4.6 |
4.4 |
3.7 |
3.5 |
2.7 |
2.7 |
2.5 |
2.1 |
1.9 |
|
100.0% |
| Andrew Smith |
100% |
18.3 |
|
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.7 |
1.1 |
1.5 |
2.3 |
2.5 |
3.2 |
4.1 |
4.6 |
4.4 |
4.6 |
4.8 |
4.7 |
5.1 |
4.4 |
4.5 |
4.2 |
4.1 |
3.9 |
3.7 |
3.2 |
3.0 |
|
100.0% |
| Riley Schamp |
100% |
20.9 |
|
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.7 |
0.8 |
1.3 |
1.7 |
2.1 |
2.6 |
3.0 |
3.5 |
4.3 |
4.5 |
4.1 |
4.2 |
4.4 |
4.4 |
4.3 |
4.0 |
4.1 |
3.9 |
3.8 |
3.5 |
|
100.0% |
| Liam Powers |
100% |
21.2 |
|
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.7 |
1.0 |
1.1 |
1.6 |
2.2 |
2.5 |
2.9 |
3.6 |
4.0 |
4.1 |
4.2 |
4.2 |
3.9 |
4.2 |
4.2 |
4.2 |
4.1 |
3.7 |
4.0 |
3.5 |
|
100.0% |
| Isaac Smith |
100% |
27.9 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.8 |
1.1 |
1.6 |
1.7 |
1.7 |
2.1 |
2.9 |
2.6 |
3.2 |
3.0 |
3.5 |
3.4 |
3.3 |
3.3 |
3.5 |
|
100.0% |
| Ian Ross |
100% |
33.9 |
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.7 |
0.8 |
0.9 |
1.1 |
1.5 |
1.5 |
1.9 |
2.1 |
2.3 |
2.6 |
2.5 |
2.5 |
|
100.0% |
| Matthew Hemmerling |
100% |
35.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
0.8 |
0.9 |
1.2 |
1.2 |
1.4 |
1.9 |
1.8 |
2.3 |
2.2 |
2.5 |
|
100.0% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Nick Vega |
6.9 |
|
0.3 |
5.9 |
8.1 |
12.2 |
12.6 |
11.8 |
10.3 |
9.0 |
7.6 |
6.2 |
4.6 |
3.6 |
2.5 |
2.0 |
1.3 |
0.9 |
0.5 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
| Andrew Smith |
9.2 |
|
0.1 |
1.7 |
3.6 |
6.0 |
7.6 |
9.7 |
9.6 |
9.9 |
9.9 |
9.1 |
7.3 |
6.2 |
4.9 |
4.0 |
3.3 |
2.3 |
1.7 |
1.2 |
0.9 |
0.5 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
| Riley Schamp |
10.5 |
|
0.0 |
0.9 |
1.6 |
3.4 |
5.6 |
7.1 |
8.4 |
8.5 |
9.5 |
9.3 |
8.3 |
7.8 |
6.7 |
5.4 |
5.0 |
3.5 |
3.0 |
2.1 |
1.7 |
1.0 |
0.5 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
| Liam Powers |
10.7 |
|
0.0 |
0.7 |
1.7 |
3.3 |
5.4 |
6.7 |
7.9 |
9.0 |
9.1 |
8.9 |
9.1 |
7.7 |
7.1 |
5.2 |
5.0 |
3.7 |
3.1 |
2.4 |
1.4 |
1.2 |
0.7 |
0.4 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
| Isaac Smith |
14.1 |
|
|
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.8 |
1.2 |
2.1 |
3.2 |
4.9 |
5.4 |
6.8 |
7.6 |
8.3 |
8.4 |
9.0 |
7.5 |
6.6 |
6.4 |
6.0 |
4.6 |
3.9 |
2.9 |
1.7 |
1.3 |
0.7 |
| Ian Ross |
16.6 |
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.7 |
1.1 |
1.8 |
2.4 |
3.9 |
4.6 |
6.4 |
7.0 |
7.7 |
8.5 |
8.4 |
8.3 |
7.8 |
7.6 |
6.6 |
5.7 |
4.2 |
2.8 |
2.2 |
| Matthew Hemmerling |
17.5 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.7 |
1.2 |
1.7 |
3.1 |
3.8 |
5.1 |
6.0 |
7.1 |
8.2 |
8.5 |
8.6 |
7.9 |
8.2 |
7.4 |
7.3 |
5.6 |
3.9 |
2.5 |
|
