All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.
| Season Rating | | Preseason Rating | |
Valley Kickoff |
Harrison 11-Way |
Maverick Stampede |
Tippecanoe City/County |
Harrison Invitational |
Wildcat Classic |
Flashrock Invite |
Highland Invitational |
North Central Conference |
Harrison (WL) Sectional |
Brownsburg Regional |
State Finals |
|---|
| Date | | |
8/13 |
8/22 |
8/26 |
8/29 |
9/2 |
9/9 |
9/16 |
9/23 |
9/30 |
10/14 |
10/21 |
10/28 |
| Team Rating |
490 | |
529 |
427 |
554 |
507 |
559 |
461 |
531 |
547 |
510 |
515 |
498 |
|
| Team Adjusted Rating | | |
529 |
427 |
504 |
507 |
559 |
461 |
531 |
515 |
510 |
515 |
498 |
|
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating | Preseason Rating |
Valley Kickoff |
Harrison 11-Way |
Maverick Stampede |
Tippecanoe City/County |
Harrison Invitational |
Wildcat Classic |
Flashrock Invite |
Highland Invitational |
North Central Conference |
Harrison (WL) Sectional |
Brownsburg Regional |
State Finals |
|---|
| 153 |
Jaden Goins |
12 |
16:43 |
16:22 |
16:28 |
16:54 |
17:07 |
16:36 |
16:39 |
16:20 |
16:25 |
16:42 |
16:42 |
17:05 |
16:36 |
17:05 |
| 216 |
Ian Lah |
11 |
16:55 |
16:51 |
17:30 |
16:39 |
17:07 |
18:04 |
17:20 |
17:01 |
17:11 |
17:21 |
16:57 |
17:02 |
16:46 |
|
| 368 |
Evan Lottes |
10 |
17:19 |
17:06 |
17:12 |
17:07 |
17:13 |
16:53 |
18:26 |
17:20 |
17:32 |
|
17:31 |
17:16 |
17:17 |
|
| 460 |
Luke Wilmington |
11 |
17:31 |
17:50 |
17:37 |
17:30 |
17:18 |
17:06 |
17:17 |
17:32 |
18:02 |
17:39 |
17:26 |
17:28 |
17:34 |
|
| 514 |
Jimmy Ford |
12 |
17:37 |
20:31 |
19:21 |
18:49 |
|
17:42 |
17:41 |
17:28 |
17:24 |
17:26 |
17:54 |
17:40 |
19:04 |
|
| 805 |
Hunter O'Brien |
12 |
18:05 |
17:59 |
|
17:59 |
18:59 |
18:26 |
18:22 |
17:50 |
18:25 |
17:44 |
17:45 |
18:10 |
17:55 |
|
| 812 |
Dominick Fattore |
11 |
18:06 |
18:11 |
18:07 |
|
|
21:57 |
18:07 |
18:02 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 940 |
John Rafacz |
12 |
18:18 |
18:03 |
17:47 |
17:08 |
|
21:57 |
18:07 |
18:32 |
18:45 |
18:29 |
|
|
|
|
| 950 |
River Bender |
10 |
18:20 |
18:19 |
18:27 |
18:06 |
18:15 |
18:00 |
18:02 |
18:21 |
18:02 |
18:34 |
17:50 |
18:44 |
19:03 |
|
| 1,157 |
Ossama Belal |
9 |
18:35 |
|
19:02 |
18:33 |
18:19 |
18:30 |
18:45 |
18:24 |
18:49 |
18:24 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,327 |
Logan Weist |
10 |
18:50 |
18:35 |
18:49 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Alex King |
9 |
19:08 |
|
|
19:15 |
19:13 |
19:25 |
18:53 |
19:12 |
19:11 |
18:44 |
|
|
|
|
|
David Callahan |
12 |
19:11 |
|
18:56 |
18:29 |
|
19:14 |
19:11 |
|
19:37 |
19:11 |
|
|
|
|
|
Ellis Oakes |
12 |
19:30 |
19:36 |
19:22 |
20:22 |
20:31 |
18:18 |
18:35 |
19:58 |
19:24 |
21:07 |
|
|
|
|
|
Brody Emerich |
11 |
19:34 |
|
22:20 |
22:09 |
20:42 |
20:00 |
19:29 |
|
19:26 |
18:52 |
|
|
|
|
|
Carter Wiedman |
9 |
22:28 |
|
18:26 |
22:35 |
23:14 |
22:57 |
22:05 |
|
22:26 |
22:43 |
|
|
|
|
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| State Finals |
2.8% |
22.9 |
526 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
0.7 |
0.7 |
0.5 |
| Regionals |
100% |
8.9 |
295 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.3 |
2.5 |
14.9 |
16.0 |
15.7 |
13.6 |
11.4 |
8.9 |
7.1 |
4.8 |
2.7 |
1.4 |
0.5 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
1.7 |
51 |
44.2 |
39.8 |
16.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Jaden Goins |
50.9% |
127.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
49.5% |
50.7% |
| Ian Lah |
14.5% |
147.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
12.0% |
13.3% |
| Evan Lottes |
2.8% |
193.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.0% |
| Luke Wilmington |
2.8% |
211.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.0% |
| Jimmy Ford |
2.8% |
218.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.0% |
| Hunter O'Brien |
2.8% |
237.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.0% |
| River Bender |
2.8% |
242.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.0% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Jaden Goins |
100% |
35.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
0.5 |
0.8 |
0.9 |
1.1 |
1.4 |
1.6 |
1.8 |
|
100.0% |
| Ian Lah |
100% |
44.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
|
100.0% |
| Evan Lottes |
100% |
72.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Luke Wilmington |
100% |
88.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Jimmy Ford |
100% |
97.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Hunter O'Brien |
100% |
134.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| River Bender |
100% |
155.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Jaden Goins |
1.7 |
4.4 |
68.0 |
16.5 |
5.5 |
2.6 |
1.6 |
0.7 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Ian Lah |
3.0 |
0.2 |
8.5 |
41.8 |
18.5 |
10.8 |
7.0 |
5.0 |
3.2 |
2.1 |
1.3 |
0.7 |
0.5 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Evan Lottes |
10.3 |
|
|
0.2 |
3.3 |
4.4 |
5.4 |
7.1 |
8.6 |
9.0 |
9.6 |
9.2 |
8.6 |
8.2 |
7.1 |
5.9 |
5.2 |
3.8 |
2.4 |
1.2 |
0.6 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
| Luke Wilmington |
15.3 |
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.4 |
0.9 |
1.4 |
1.8 |
3.0 |
4.0 |
4.9 |
6.4 |
7.1 |
8.1 |
9.2 |
9.8 |
10.4 |
10.8 |
8.6 |
6.2 |
3.5 |
1.7 |
1.2 |
0.4 |
0.1 |
| Jimmy Ford |
17.5 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.7 |
1.1 |
1.5 |
2.1 |
3.3 |
4.1 |
5.0 |
6.6 |
8.8 |
10.3 |
12.4 |
12.8 |
11.7 |
8.4 |
5.5 |
3.0 |
1.3 |
0.4 |
| Hunter O'Brien |
24.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.9 |
2.2 |
4.2 |
7.1 |
11.2 |
14.0 |
16.1 |
| River Bender |
29.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.6 |
1.3 |
2.7 |
5.3 |
|
