Madison-Grant
Boys - Girls
2022 - 2023 - 2024
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State Rank #139
New Haven Regional Rank #24
Marion Sectional Rank #5
Most Likely Finish 22nd place at Regionals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Regional 92.7%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.



Season RatingPreseason Rating Taylor University Invitational Oak Hill Invitational Marion Invitational Blackford Invitational Jim Leffler Invitational Grant 4 Central Indiana Conference Marion Sectional New Haven Regional
Date 8/19 8/26 9/2 9/9 9/16 9/19 9/30 10/14 10/21
Team Rating 1,003 1,148 1,090 1,148 1,063 1,020 1,013 946 939 1,224
Team Adjusted Rating 1,148 1,090 1,148 1,063 1,020 1,013 946 939 1,037
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Taylor University Invitational Oak Hill Invitational Marion Invitational Blackford Invitational Jim Leffler Invitational Grant 4 Central Indiana Conference Marion Sectional New Haven Regional
765  Dylan Hofherr 12 18:01 17:43 17:40 18:42 18:37 17:43 17:56 17:55 18:00 17:55
834  Gavin Kelich 12 18:09 19:25 18:31 18:07 18:17 18:13 18:07 17:59 17:56 18:06 18:09
1,115  Grant Hofherr 9 18:32 18:45 18:12 18:53 18:51 18:30 18:25 18:23 18:21 18:28
1,333  Aiden Durr 10 18:51 19:09 18:40 18:47 18:49 18:49 18:56 19:08 18:56 18:42 18:41
Zack Marcum 9 19:04 20:48 19:53 19:50 19:47 19:20 19:18 18:39 18:45 19:43
Jeb Moore 9 20:32 22:27 20:52 21:16 21:20 20:55 20:34 20:08 20:12 20:22
Clayton Rainey 9 20:59 21:53 20:19 21:04 20:46 20:51 20:34 22:52 21:34 23:04
Wyatt Williams 21:08 21:16 21:01




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
State Finals 0.0%
Regionals 92.7% 21.4 558 0.1 0.3 1.0 2.5 6.8 9.3 12.1 13.4 14.4 12.5 11.3
Sectionals 100% 4.3 144 0.0 73.7 18.9 7.2 0.1



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team made it.



RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Dylan Hofherr 100% 109.1 100.0% 100.0%
Gavin Kelich 100% 120.7 100.0% 100.0%
Grant Hofherr 100% 161.9 100.0% 97.1%
Aiden Durr 98.8% 190.5 13.8% 91.5%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Dylan Hofherr 17.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.7 1.4 2.3 4.6 8.7 14.8 20.4 15.3 10.3 7.0 5.2 3.1 1.9 1.5
Gavin Kelich 19.8 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.3 2.4 6.0 11.9 15.7 13.5 11.1 9.9 7.7 5.3 4.1
Grant Hofherr 28.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.3 1.9 2.7 4.0 5.1 6.2
Aiden Durr 35.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4