Rochester
Boys - Girls
2022 - 2023 - 2024
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State Rank #167
New Haven Regional Rank #35
Manchester Sectional Rank #6
Most Likely Finish 6th place at Sectionals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Regional 27.7%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.




Season RatingPreseason Rating Jacob Graf Memorial Invitational Caston Invitational Maconaquah Invitational New Prairie Invitational New Haven Classic Three Rivers Conference Manchester Sectional New Haven Regional
Date 8/19 9/2 9/9 9/16 9/23 9/30 10/14 10/21
Team Rating 1,138 1,137 1,213 1,129 1,130 1,198
Team Adjusted Rating 1,137 1,213 1,129 1,130 1,166 1,133
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Jacob Graf Memorial Invitational Caston Invitational Maconaquah Invitational New Prairie Invitational New Haven Classic Three Rivers Conference Manchester Sectional New Haven Regional
734  Wesley Steininger 12 17:59 17:39 17:50 18:01 18:03 18:18 17:51 18:04 17:43 17:57
743  Grant Bailey 10 18:00 17:46 17:51 17:39 17:57 17:53 18:29
1,208  Reece Johnson 11 18:40 18:52 19:05 18:56 18:59 18:40 18:35 18:23 18:42 18:30
Lane Shank 12 19:14 19:36 18:35 19:48 19:05 18:58 19:57 20:08 18:54 19:42
Hayden Shuck 10 20:26 21:14 20:50 20:08 20:22 20:17
Leandro Javier 9 21:13 20:57 21:01 21:11 21:27 21:17 21:01 21:20




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.






Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
State Finals 0.0%
Regionals 27.7% 22.8 582 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 1.7 3.5 4.2 5.2 6.2
Sectionals 100% 5.7 182 27.7 70.2 2.0 0.1



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team made it.




RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Wesley Steininger 100% 105.7 100.0% 100.0%
Grant Bailey 100% 106.4 100.0% 100.0%
Reece Johnson 100% 175.6 100.0% 99.3%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Wesley Steininger 23.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.8 2.8 9.7 13.4 14.9 14.2 13.2
Grant Bailey 23.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.7 2.4 8.4 13.2 14.0 14.3 12.6
Reece Johnson 35.0 0.0 0.0