All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.
| Season Rating | | Preseason Rating | |
Valley Kickoff |
Hamilton County |
Brownsburg Invitational |
Eagle Classic |
Flashrock Invite |
Hoosier Crossroads Conference |
Nike XC Town Twilight |
HSE/Noblesville JV Invite |
Noblesville Sectional |
Shelbyville Regional |
|---|
| Date | | |
8/13 |
8/26 |
9/2 |
9/9 |
9/16 |
9/23 |
9/30 |
10/4 |
10/14 |
10/21 |
| Team Rating |
573 | |
580 |
572 |
492 |
521 |
521 |
480 |
590 |
782 |
533 |
663 |
| Team Adjusted Rating | | |
510 |
572 |
492 |
521 |
511 |
480 |
590 |
546 |
533 |
663 |
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating | Preseason Rating |
Valley Kickoff |
Hamilton County |
Brownsburg Invitational |
Eagle Classic |
Flashrock Invite |
Hoosier Crossroads Conference |
Nike XC Town Twilight |
HSE/Noblesville JV Invite |
Noblesville Sectional |
Shelbyville Regional |
|---|
| 195 |
Jack Loiselle |
12 |
16:51 |
16:28 |
|
16:57 |
16:48 |
16:50 |
16:39 |
16:46 |
16:47 |
|
17:00 |
16:52 |
| 429 |
Owen Mohler |
11 |
17:28 |
17:16 |
17:22 |
17:27 |
17:29 |
17:14 |
17:10 |
17:15 |
17:43 |
|
17:23 |
18:06 |
| 465 |
Will Snedeker |
11 |
17:32 |
17:46 |
|
17:20 |
17:33 |
17:17 |
|
17:18 |
17:55 |
|
17:19 |
18:02 |
| 534 |
Tristan Hostetter |
12 |
17:41 |
|
18:17 |
17:45 |
17:48 |
17:49 |
17:31 |
17:24 |
17:36 |
|
17:28 |
17:50 |
| 543 |
Landon Jones |
11 |
17:42 |
|
17:10 |
18:00 |
17:04 |
17:39 |
17:59 |
18:20 |
17:50 |
17:21 |
17:34 |
17:41 |
| 613 |
Owen Ferreri |
12 |
17:50 |
18:10 |
|
|
17:56 |
17:49 |
17:39 |
17:28 |
17:45 |
|
18:49 |
19:09 |
| 660 |
Ty Conner |
11 |
17:53 |
17:58 |
17:37 |
17:45 |
|
18:23 |
18:02 |
17:29 |
17:58 |
17:50 |
|
|
| 677 |
Calvin Vance |
12 |
17:54 |
|
18:09 |
|
17:50 |
17:56 |
17:48 |
17:51 |
|
|
|
|
| 695 |
Caleb Haney |
10 |
17:56 |
17:14 |
17:40 |
18:27 |
|
17:34 |
17:31 |
18:37 |
17:32 |
18:06 |
18:01 |
17:54 |
| 713 |
Owen Dilley |
10 |
17:57 |
18:04 |
17:54 |
19:10 |
|
18:02 |
17:51 |
17:34 |
18:20 |
19:38 |
|
|
| 769 |
Ian Porter |
12 |
18:02 |
17:35 |
17:29 |
19:33 |
17:16 |
18:14 |
|
17:18 |
18:39 |
18:30 |
|
|
| 846 |
Bryce Pittman |
9 |
18:10 |
|
18:22 |
20:07 |
19:23 |
18:08 |
17:54 |
18:04 |
18:01 |
18:45 |
|
|
| 897 |
Caub Douthit |
12 |
18:14 |
18:18 |
17:53 |
18:39 |
18:07 |
17:56 |
17:47 |
18:08 |
18:28 |
19:01 |
|
|
| 998 |
Jp Mikels |
9 |
18:23 |
|
18:16 |
18:11 |
17:59 |
18:09 |
18:20 |
18:26 |
18:34 |
18:43 |
|
|
| 1,033 |
Nathan McKeever |
9 |
18:26 |
|
18:53 |
18:36 |
18:02 |
18:14 |
18:07 |
18:13 |
19:24 |
18:34 |
|
|
| 1,058 |
Carson Ackley |
9 |
18:27 |
|
18:19 |
18:24 |
18:11 |
17:55 |
18:00 |
18:33 |
18:47 |
19:10 |
|
|
| 1,137 |
Drew Neely |
11 |
18:34 |
18:41 |
18:50 |
|
19:22 |
18:29 |
18:25 |
18:25 |
18:41 |
18:21 |
|
|
| 1,212 |
Luke Moulder |
9 |
18:40 |
|
18:26 |
|
|
19:18 |
19:03 |
18:57 |
17:58 |
18:13 |
|
|
| 1,236 |
Taye Gutwein |
10 |
18:43 |
17:50 |
18:41 |
|
18:33 |
18:20 |
19:15 |
18:40 |
19:01 |
18:29 |
|
|
| 1,384 |
Deagan Imel |
9 |
18:54 |
|
18:46 |
19:08 |
18:57 |
18:51 |
18:46 |
18:56 |
18:50 |
18:57 |
|
|
|
Corwyn Barrows |
11 |
19:06 |
18:36 |
19:28 |
19:12 |
19:01 |
19:10 |
18:53 |
19:02 |
19:15 |
18:55 |
|
|
|
Boston Christy |
9 |
19:09 |
|
19:01 |
|
19:23 |
18:58 |
19:39 |
19:00 |
18:51 |
19:16 |
|
|
|
John Degan |
12 |
19:18 |
18:49 |
18:59 |
18:54 |
19:34 |
19:43 |
19:02 |
19:04 |
19:27 |
19:27 |
|
|
|
Noah Flynn |
12 |
19:29 |
|
19:37 |
19:25 |
|
18:43 |
19:52 |
19:44 |
19:17 |
|
|
|
|
Lucas Prairie |
9 |
19:40 |
|
|
20:10 |
21:09 |
19:44 |
19:30 |
19:54 |
19:08 |
|
|
|
|
Graham Hoffman |
10 |
20:53 |
|
18:42 |
21:12 |
21:59 |
|
|
|
20:45 |
|
|
|
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| State Finals |
0.0% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Regionals |
77.9% |
12.1 |
350 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.4 |
1.5 |
3.5 |
7.6 |
13.7 |
19.0 |
18.1 |
10.1 |
3.3 |
0.8 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
5.0 |
151 |
|
|
|
27.7 |
50.2 |
15.9 |
6.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Jack Loiselle |
29.8% |
143.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
29.8% |
29.8% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Jack Loiselle |
100% |
43.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
0.7 |
0.7 |
0.8 |
0.8 |
0.8 |
1.1 |
100.0% |
100.0% |
| Owen Mohler |
100.0% |
88.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
99.7% |
| Will Snedeker |
100.0% |
92.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
99.1% |
| Tristan Hostetter |
99.9% |
103.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
99.2% |
94.6% |
| Landon Jones |
99.8% |
104.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
98.8% |
93.7% |
| Owen Ferreri |
98.8% |
115.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
86.9% |
85.8% |
| Caleb Haney |
96.0% |
124.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
41.7% |
80.2% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Jack Loiselle |
20.5 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
0.9 |
1.3 |
1.4 |
1.8 |
2.4 |
2.6 |
3.3 |
4.6 |
5.1 |
6.0 |
6.8 |
7.9 |
8.9 |
9.4 |
10.5 |
9.2 |
7.0 |
| Owen Mohler |
29.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
1.5 |
| Will Snedeker |
30.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.8 |
| Tristan Hostetter |
33.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
| Landon Jones |
34.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
| Owen Ferreri |
37.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Caleb Haney |
41.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
