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State Rank #135
Manchester Regional Rank #27
Delta Sectional Rank #6
Most Likely Finish -
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.



Season RatingPreseason Rating Bob Dahl Invitational Taylor Opener Taylor University Invitational Marion Invitational Wildcat/Jackson Invitational XC Town Twilight Allen County Athletic Conference Delta Sectional Manchester Regional
Date 8/16 8/22 8/29 9/5 9/12 10/3 10/10 10/17 10/24
Team Rating 1,039 1,217 1,129 1,168 1,159 1,191 1,184 1,098 1,005
Team Adjusted Rating 1,065 1,129 1,275 1,168 1,159 1,191 1,031 1,098 1,005
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Bob Dahl Invitational Taylor Opener Taylor University Invitational Marion Invitational Wildcat/Jackson Invitational XC Town Twilight Allen County Athletic Conference Delta Sectional Manchester Regional
862  Tyler Schwartz 12 18:11 18:44 17:38 17:27 18:42 17:56 18:07 18:25 20:09 18:17
1,018  Isaiah Bedwell 10 18:24 18:21 18:31 18:17 18:21 18:47 18:17 18:14 18:16
1,210  Trevor Chamberlain 11 18:40 20:23 18:57 19:24 19:03 19:23 19:03 18:30 18:31 18:27
1,293  Preston Hoffman 11 18:46 19:12 19:31 19:39 19:37 19:22 19:12 19:08 18:30 18:33
Henry Michaels 9 19:03 19:32 19:45 19:51 19:47 19:21 19:31 18:52 18:44 19:05
Phillip Bayer 12 19:40 20:34 20:11 20:15 20:06 19:42 19:59 20:06 19:49 19:27
Corbin Houk 9 21:27 22:26 23:03 21:32 21:28 21:54 20:13 20:56 21:52 21:14




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
State Finals 0.0%
Regionals 100% 23.3 592 0.0 0.2 1.0 2.6 4.6 7.4 12.0 16.2 25.0
Sectionals 100% 5.0 144 0.2 3.2 16.5 61.9 12.3 4.3 1.5 0.1



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team made it.



RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Tyler Schwartz 100% 119.0 100.0%
Isaiah Bedwell 100% 139.3 99.7%
Trevor Chamberlain 100% 161.9 94.4%
Preston Hoffman 100% 169.4 86.9%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Tyler Schwartz 19.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.7 1.1 2.4 3.7 5.3 7.1 8.6 10.5 11.0 11.7 11.0 10.3 7.2 4.2
Isaiah Bedwell 23.8 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 1.0 1.9 3.0 4.5 6.7 8.5 12.0 14.1 13.4
Trevor Chamberlain 28.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.9 1.8 3.6 5.9
Preston Hoffman 31.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.1 2.4