Carroll (FW)
Boys - Girls
2025 - 2026 - 2027
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State Rank #4
New Haven Regional Rank #2
West Noble Sectional Rank #1
Most Likely Finish 4th place at State Finals
State Champion 3.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 62.6%
Top 10 at State Finals 95.6%
Advance to State Finals 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.




Season RatingPreseason Rating Huntington North Invitational Marion Invitational Bruin Invitational
Date 8/22 9/5 9/12
Team Rating 176 164 152 816
Team Adjusted Rating 164 152 176
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Huntington North Invitational Marion Invitational Bruin Invitational
Sam Sweet 11 15:30 15:39 15:33 15:23
12  Kai Feasel 10 15:44 15:54 15:43 15:32
52  Cohen Brunson 12 16:15 17:14 16:06 16:04
119  Cal Sloffer 12 16:41 16:50 16:34 16:35
157  Abe Lee 11 16:51 16:53 16:46
294  Charlie Mitchell 12 17:18 17:00 17:15 17:26
384  Miles Clemens 10 17:30 17:40 17:18 17:33 17:26
708  Ethan Fudge 10 18:08 18:00 17:55 18:16 18:17
877  Lyric Olson 10 18:25 18:35 18:25 17:50 18:34
1,128  William Himsel 10 18:47 18:52 18:39 18:46
1,191  Justin Noble 9 18:51 18:55 19:03 18:46
1,201  Brayden Lawrence 10 18:52 19:27 18:47 18:32
1,270  Carter Ward 9 18:58 19:14 18:53
1,278  Landyn Ryan 12 18:59 18:36 18:51 18:46 19:12
Luke Bronzan 10 19:05 18:54 19:02 19:07
Harrison Mitchell 9 19:13 19:14 19:20 19:08
Micah Silveus 10 19:19 19:48 19:17 19:13
Hayden Leins 10 19:29 19:28 20:30 18:46




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.






Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
State Finals 100% 5.2 206 3.0 10.4 16.1 16.6 16.6 11.9 7.9 5.7 4.2 3.3 1.9 1.3 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0
Regionals 100% 1.9 60 26.7 52.9 20.3 0.1
Sectionals 100% 1.0 23 100.0



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Sam Sweet 100% 5.6 1.0 6.8 14.2 12.4 10.8 8.5 7.2 6.4 5.3 4.3 3.5 2.8 2.9 2.5 1.8 1.6 1.4 1.2 1.1 0.7 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 100.0%
Kai Feasel 100% 14.6 0.2 1.1 2.1 3.4 4.3 3.9 4.5 4.8 4.6 4.2 5.0 4.5 4.8 4.4 4.2 4.3 3.8 3.3 3.5 2.9 3.3 2.4 2.1 1.9 100.0%
Cohen Brunson 100% 54.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.6 100.0%
Cal Sloffer 100% 118.5 99.6%
Abe Lee 100% 145.7 95.6%
Charlie Mitchell 100% 202.6 30.9%
Miles Clemens 100% 219.4 6.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Sam Sweet 100% 1.3 37.5 37.0 15.6 6.2 2.9 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Kai Feasel 100% 3.4 1.6 11.7 26.8 23.7 19.7 11.3 3.1 1.0 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Cohen Brunson 100% 9.4 0.0 0.5 1.7 5.6 12.5 13.5 12.1 10.9 9.7 8.3 6.9 5.5 4.2 3.3 2.0 1.3 0.8 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Cal Sloffer 100% 19.3 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.8 0.8 1.4 2.6 2.6 4.4 5.6 6.5 6.8 7.6 8.5 8.5 7.8 6.8 5.9 4.9 3.7 100.0%
Abe Lee 100% 24.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.9 1.5 2.1 2.9 3.8 4.4 5.2 6.6 6.6 6.6 6.7 6.5 100.0%
Charlie Mitchell 100% 43.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 100.0%
Miles Clemens 100% 55.8 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Sam Sweet 1.2 40.9 53.9 5.0 0.2
Kai Feasel 2.4 1.8 16.6 76.0 5.6
Cohen Brunson 4.2 0.2 34.5 64.6 0.7 0.0
Cal Sloffer 5.7 0.0 2.4 70.7 21.4 5.0 0.4 0.0
Abe Lee 6.7 0.1 11.6 52.6 31.8 3.3 0.5 0.1 0.0
Charlie Mitchell 9.3 0.1 6.9 34.7 26.0 14.8 8.0 4.3 2.5 1.4 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0
Miles Clemens 11.9 0.2 3.1 13.4 18.3 17.6 12.7 10.2 7.5 5.5 4.3 2.9 1.8 1.1 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0