Elkhart
Boys - Girls
2025 - 2026 - 2027
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State Rank #86
New Prairie Regional Rank #20
Goshen Sectional Rank #5
Most Likely Finish 19th place at Regionals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Regional 96.7%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.




Season RatingPreseason Rating Ox Bow Early Bird NIC Stomp Minutemen Classic New Prairie Invitational Dana Homo JV Invite Culver Academies Invitational Northern Indiana Conference
Date 8/16 8/22 9/12 9/19 9/22 9/26 10/3
Team Rating 803 779 894 759 767 1,097 1,084 910
Team Adjusted Rating 750 766 759 767 794 824 910
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Ox Bow Early Bird NIC Stomp Minutemen Classic New Prairie Invitational Dana Homo JV Invite Culver Academies Invitational Northern Indiana Conference
300  Owen Fletcher 10 17:14 17:10 17:05 17:05 17:47
566  Trevor Becker 12 17:48 18:11 17:31 17:24 17:52 17:38 18:27 17:50
697  Dominic Turner 10 18:03 18:11 17:44 18:01 17:56 17:58 18:25 18:11
833  Neri Calderon 11 18:17 19:14 18:50 18:11 18:03 17:43 17:49 18:37
1,176  Luis Fernando Marquez 12 18:45 18:17 18:26 18:30 19:05 18:50 18:49 19:02
Maddox Abad-Portillo 11 19:11 19:45 18:16 18:33 19:15 18:56 19:47 19:17 19:36
David Rodriguez Zaragoza 12 19:21 20:28 19:07 19:02 19:12 19:04 19:21 19:57 19:43
Alan Calderon 9 19:27 19:31 19:21 19:43 19:10 19:28 19:15 19:35
Ethan Martin 11 19:37 19:50 19:13 19:02 20:00 19:39 19:56
Ashton Fletcher 10 20:07 20:26 19:58 20:03 20:13 19:40 20:40 19:32 20:32
Adrian Garcia 11 20:38 21:25 20:24 21:01 20:44 20:21 20:09




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.






Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
State Finals 0.0%
Regionals 96.7% 18.0 465 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.2 2.9 5.7 14.4 29.7 40.9 1.0 0.1 0.0
Sectionals 100% 5.0 149 0.0 1.9 94.8 3.2 0.1



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Owen Fletcher 15.0% 180.3 15.0% 15.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Owen Fletcher 100% 43.7 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.9 100.0% 100.0%
Trevor Becker 100% 92.3 100.0% 100.0%
Dominic Turner 100% 118.7 100.0% 99.0%
Neri Calderon 99.6% 141.9 56.5% 95.7%
Luis Fernando Marquez 96.9% 185.6 0.0% 44.5%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Owen Fletcher 11.0 0.0 0.2 0.8 4.5 6.7 23.4 14.8 13.7 9.9 7.1 5.6 4.3 3.0 2.1 1.3 1.2 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.1
Trevor Becker 23.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.6 1.1 1.7 2.1 3.1 4.3 5.5 5.9 7.4 7.9 8.5 8.6 8.5
Dominic Turner 29.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.7 0.7 1.4 1.8 2.6 3.4 4.8
Neri Calderon 35.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.5
Luis Fernando Marquez 47.3