All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.
| Season Rating | | Preseason Rating | |
John Cleland Invitational |
Hamilton County |
Eagle Classic |
Flash Rock Invitational |
Hoosier Crossroads Conference |
XC Town Twilight |
Noblesville JV Invitational |
Noblesville Sectional |
Franklin Community Regional |
State Finals |
|---|
| Date | | |
8/22 |
8/29 |
9/12 |
9/19 |
9/26 |
10/3 |
10/5 |
10/17 |
10/24 |
10/31 |
| Team Rating |
262 | |
508 |
179 |
210 |
239 |
268 |
222 |
675 |
265 |
319 |
|
| Team Adjusted Rating | | |
266 |
179 |
210 |
233 |
268 |
222 |
262 |
243 |
299 |
|
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating | Preseason Rating |
John Cleland Invitational |
Hamilton County |
Eagle Classic |
Flash Rock Invitational |
Hoosier Crossroads Conference |
XC Town Twilight |
Noblesville JV Invitational |
Noblesville Sectional |
Franklin Community Regional |
State Finals |
|---|
| 53 |
Isaac Smith |
12 |
16:10 |
15:42 |
|
15:50 |
15:48 |
15:39 |
16:31 |
17:31 |
|
16:16 |
17:51 |
16:33 |
| 103 |
Charlie Ritter |
12 |
16:28 |
16:32 |
|
16:22 |
16:37 |
16:41 |
16:29 |
16:15 |
|
16:19 |
16:27 |
|
| 116 |
Pj Key |
11 |
16:32 |
16:41 |
|
16:07 |
17:06 |
16:23 |
16:20 |
16:26 |
|
|
16:57 |
|
| 169 |
Drew Cole |
11 |
16:46 |
17:47 |
|
16:26 |
16:55 |
|
17:09 |
16:43 |
|
16:34 |
|
|
| 203 |
Calvin Leopold |
9 |
16:53 |
|
16:57 |
17:05 |
16:33 |
16:52 |
16:52 |
16:45 |
|
|
17:04 |
|
| 207 |
Hayden Hoback |
12 |
16:54 |
16:38 |
|
17:12 |
16:24 |
|
16:50 |
17:03 |
|
|
|
|
| 210 |
Trewman Francis |
11 |
16:55 |
17:26 |
|
16:53 |
16:32 |
16:38 |
16:46 |
17:40 |
|
17:03 |
|
|
| 223 |
Cameron Conn |
11 |
16:57 |
17:20 |
|
16:35 |
16:54 |
|
17:02 |
17:00 |
|
16:51 |
17:00 |
|
| 228 |
MacKey Pope |
11 |
16:58 |
17:11 |
|
17:37 |
16:39 |
16:52 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 234 |
Aiden Brier |
11 |
16:59 |
17:07 |
|
|
|
17:22 |
16:55 |
16:48 |
|
|
|
|
| 309 |
Jackson Smith |
9 |
17:11 |
|
17:08 |
16:55 |
|
17:34 |
17:14 |
17:43 |
|
16:53 |
17:44 |
|
| 422 |
Max Kleinbub |
11 |
17:25 |
17:07 |
17:28 |
17:22 |
28:44 |
17:34 |
17:18 |
17:12 |
|
17:23 |
|
|
| 438 |
Nate Randolph |
11 |
17:26 |
17:30 |
|
18:56 |
17:25 |
17:53 |
17:15 |
17:17 |
17:29 |
|
|
|
| 607 |
Noah Millis |
12 |
17:45 |
18:51 |
|
17:54 |
|
17:40 |
17:58 |
|
17:25 |
|
|
|
| 625 |
Noah Haviza |
10 |
17:47 |
18:03 |
17:48 |
17:54 |
17:12 |
17:54 |
17:21 |
17:50 |
18:13 |
|
|
|
| 641 |
Derek Unzueta |
11 |
17:49 |
17:58 |
17:59 |
18:00 |
17:54 |
17:54 |
17:46 |
17:42 |
17:31 |
|
|
|
| 760 |
Ryder Lambertus |
10 |
18:02 |
17:48 |
17:30 |
17:35 |
18:23 |
17:32 |
18:12 |
18:16 |
18:09 |
|
|
|
| 805 |
Drew McNiven |
11 |
18:06 |
18:26 |
|
17:52 |
|
20:07 |
|
18:13 |
|
|
|
|
| 956 |
Isaac Sponsel |
11 |
18:19 |
18:24 |
18:26 |
18:23 |
18:30 |
18:16 |
18:11 |
18:11 |
18:16 |
|
|
|
| 958 |
Jackson Mason |
11 |
18:19 |
18:27 |
19:16 |
18:31 |
|
19:41 |
|
18:12 |
17:56 |
|
|
|
| 971 |
Krithik Suresh |
9 |
18:20 |
|
|
18:32 |
18:01 |
18:22 |
18:13 |
18:12 |
18:38 |
|
|
|
| 1,050 |
Edward Conley |
10 |
18:27 |
|
18:15 |
18:11 |
|
19:02 |
18:21 |
19:58 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,106 |
Josh Case |
11 |
18:31 |
|
|
18:31 |
18:42 |
18:32 |
18:23 |
18:22 |
18:31 |
|
|
|
| 1,173 |
Weston Kopeck |
11 |
18:36 |
18:22 |
18:29 |
18:30 |
18:21 |
18:36 |
18:57 |
20:44 |
20:31 |
|
|
|
| 1,188 |
Hudson Wright |
10 |
18:38 |
|
18:33 |
18:40 |
18:27 |
18:24 |
18:27 |
18:48 |
18:57 |
|
|
|
| 1,213 |
Andrew Butler |
12 |
18:40 |
17:22 |
17:21 |
18:53 |
|
20:00 |
18:51 |
|
|
|
|
|
| 1,274 |
Ben Goldsberry |
12 |
18:44 |
|
18:37 |
18:28 |
18:44 |
18:55 |
18:44 |
|
|
|
|
|
| 1,378 |
Ethan Dearing |
11 |
18:52 |
|
18:45 |
19:09 |
18:39 |
19:06 |
19:01 |
|
18:32 |
|
|
|
| 1,442 |
Abin Sajeesh |
11 |
18:57 |
|
18:26 |
18:33 |
18:42 |
19:17 |
19:22 |
19:11 |
18:44 |
|
|
|
| 1,448 |
Jackson Reardon Mcsoley |
11 |
18:58 |
|
18:15 |
19:41 |
18:28 |
18:54 |
20:04 |
19:45 |
18:47 |
|
|
|
|
Jayden Hwang |
11 |
19:02 |
19:17 |
|
19:15 |
19:01 |
19:12 |
19:13 |
18:54 |
18:33 |
|
|
|
|
Andrew Merrell |
10 |
19:03 |
|
18:29 |
18:40 |
|
20:19 |
19:09 |
19:02 |
19:26 |
|
|
|
|
Colin Burns |
9 |
19:10 |
|
18:52 |
19:25 |
18:42 |
18:54 |
19:02 |
20:04 |
19:19 |
|
|
|
|
Jacob McCoy |
9 |
19:14 |
|
18:27 |
18:43 |
19:08 |
19:08 |
19:24 |
19:18 |
19:47 |
|
|
|
|
Sam Mattick |
10 |
24:04 |
|
26:51 |
|
17:43 |
32:04 |
28:48 |
|
|
|
|
|
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| State Finals |
0.0% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Regionals |
100% |
4.6 |
149 |
6.6 |
10.9 |
13.8 |
18.4 |
17.6 |
13.7 |
11.0 |
7.0 |
0.9 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
2.9 |
72 |
11.9 |
21.3 |
34.6 |
32.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Isaac Smith |
97.5% |
55.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.4 |
97.5% |
97.5% |
| Charlie Ritter |
54.5% |
88.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
54.5% |
54.5% |
| Pj Key |
36.8% |
94.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
36.8% |
36.8% |
| Drew Cole |
3.4% |
119.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
3.4% |
3.4% |
| Calvin Leopold |
0.8% |
133.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.8% |
0.8% |
| Trewman Francis |
0.3% |
144.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.3% |
0.3% |
| Cameron Conn |
0.3% |
122.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.3% |
0.3% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Isaac Smith |
100% |
13.6 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.8 |
1.4 |
2.7 |
4.1 |
5.3 |
6.0 |
6.0 |
6.3 |
6.6 |
6.6 |
6.7 |
6.2 |
5.9 |
4.9 |
4.9 |
3.7 |
3.5 |
3.3 |
2.6 |
2.3 |
2.0 |
1.7 |
|
100.0% |
| Charlie Ritter |
100% |
25.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
0.9 |
1.2 |
1.8 |
1.9 |
2.2 |
2.7 |
2.9 |
3.8 |
4.3 |
3.8 |
4.3 |
5.1 |
4.2 |
4.8 |
|
100.0% |
| Pj Key |
100% |
29.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
0.9 |
1.3 |
1.4 |
2.0 |
1.9 |
2.5 |
2.8 |
3.5 |
3.6 |
3.6 |
3.8 |
|
100.0% |
| Drew Cole |
100% |
43.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
|
100.0% |
| Calvin Leopold |
100% |
51.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
|
100.0% |
| Trewman Francis |
100% |
52.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
|
100.0% |
| Cameron Conn |
100% |
55.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
100.0% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Isaac Smith |
6.1 |
0.2 |
0.8 |
2.6 |
13.4 |
15.3 |
16.3 |
13.8 |
11.2 |
8.5 |
6.8 |
4.7 |
2.6 |
1.7 |
1.0 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Charlie Ritter |
11.7 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
1.1 |
2.3 |
4.1 |
6.5 |
8.0 |
9.2 |
10.4 |
11.0 |
9.9 |
10.7 |
8.0 |
6.6 |
4.9 |
3.3 |
1.8 |
1.0 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
| Pj Key |
13.3 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.5 |
0.8 |
1.8 |
3.4 |
4.5 |
5.9 |
8.6 |
10.1 |
10.6 |
10.8 |
10.9 |
8.8 |
7.7 |
6.0 |
3.8 |
2.6 |
1.0 |
0.6 |
0.6 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
| Drew Cole |
18.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
1.0 |
1.6 |
2.6 |
4.4 |
6.0 |
7.4 |
9.1 |
10.2 |
11.4 |
10.7 |
8.8 |
6.5 |
5.7 |
4.2 |
2.5 |
| Calvin Leopold |
21.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.6 |
1.0 |
1.8 |
3.0 |
4.4 |
6.4 |
7.8 |
9.3 |
8.9 |
9.3 |
8.5 |
8.1 |
6.8 |
| Trewman Francis |
22.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
1.4 |
2.4 |
3.3 |
5.2 |
6.6 |
8.2 |
9.3 |
9.3 |
9.2 |
8.3 |
7.7 |
| Cameron Conn |
23.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.7 |
0.9 |
1.5 |
2.2 |
3.4 |
4.9 |
7.0 |
7.4 |
9.2 |
8.9 |
9.5 |
7.9 |
|
