All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.
| Season Rating | | Preseason Rating | |
John Cleland Invitational |
Hamilton County |
Eagle Classic |
|---|
| Date | | |
8/22 |
8/29 |
9/12 |
| Team Rating |
270 | |
565 |
207 |
241 |
| Team Adjusted Rating | | |
270 |
207 |
241 |
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating | Preseason Rating |
John Cleland Invitational |
Hamilton County |
Eagle Classic |
|---|
| 24 |
Isaac Smith |
12 |
15:53 |
15:42 |
|
15:56 |
15:54 |
| 99 |
Charlie Ritter |
12 |
16:34 |
16:32 |
|
16:29 |
16:44 |
| 124 |
Pj Key |
11 |
16:42 |
16:41 |
|
16:13 |
17:13 |
| 137 |
Hayden Hoback |
12 |
16:46 |
16:38 |
|
17:20 |
16:30 |
| 188 |
Cameron Conn |
11 |
16:58 |
17:20 |
|
16:41 |
17:01 |
| 189 |
Trewman Francis |
11 |
16:58 |
17:26 |
|
17:00 |
16:38 |
| 191 |
Drew Cole |
11 |
16:59 |
17:47 |
|
16:33 |
17:02 |
| 205 |
Calvin Leopold |
9 |
17:02 |
|
17:05 |
17:12 |
16:39 |
| 247 |
Jackson Smith |
9 |
17:10 |
|
17:17 |
17:02 |
|
| 263 |
MacKey Pope |
11 |
17:13 |
17:11 |
|
17:45 |
16:46 |
| 347 |
Andrew Butler |
12 |
17:25 |
17:22 |
17:29 |
19:02 |
|
| 392 |
Nate Randolph |
11 |
17:31 |
17:30 |
|
19:06 |
17:33 |
| 416 |
Max Kleinbub |
11 |
17:34 |
17:07 |
17:37 |
17:29 |
29:06 |
| 549 |
Ryder Lambertus |
10 |
17:51 |
17:48 |
17:39 |
17:43 |
18:32 |
| 563 |
Samuel Mattick |
10 |
17:53 |
|
|
|
17:51 |
| 583 |
Noah Haviza |
10 |
17:55 |
18:03 |
17:57 |
18:03 |
17:19 |
| 676 |
Derek Unzueta |
11 |
18:05 |
17:58 |
18:09 |
18:08 |
18:02 |
| 732 |
Drew McNiven |
11 |
18:11 |
18:26 |
|
18:00 |
|
| 792 |
Noah Millis |
12 |
18:17 |
18:51 |
|
18:03 |
|
| 858 |
Edward Conley |
10 |
18:23 |
|
18:25 |
18:20 |
|
| 879 |
Krithik Suresh |
9 |
18:26 |
|
|
18:41 |
18:09 |
| 949 |
Jackson Reardon Mcsoley |
11 |
18:32 |
|
18:25 |
19:51 |
18:37 |
| 962 |
Isaac Sponsel |
11 |
18:34 |
18:24 |
18:36 |
18:32 |
18:39 |
| 965 |
Weston Kopeck |
11 |
18:34 |
18:22 |
18:39 |
18:38 |
18:30 |
| 1,076 |
Hudson Wright |
10 |
18:44 |
|
18:43 |
18:49 |
18:35 |
| 1,081 |
Abin Sajeesh |
11 |
18:44 |
|
18:36 |
18:42 |
18:51 |
| 1,098 |
Andrew Merrell |
10 |
18:45 |
|
18:39 |
18:49 |
|
| 1,122 |
Josh Case |
11 |
18:46 |
|
|
18:40 |
18:52 |
| 1,124 |
Ben Goldsberry |
12 |
18:46 |
|
18:47 |
18:37 |
18:53 |
| 1,157 |
Jackson Mason |
11 |
18:49 |
18:27 |
19:27 |
18:40 |
|
| 1,237 |
Jacob McCoy |
9 |
18:55 |
|
18:37 |
18:53 |
19:17 |
| 1,291 |
Ethan Dearing |
11 |
19:00 |
|
18:55 |
19:18 |
18:48 |
|
Colin Burns |
9 |
19:08 |
|
19:02 |
19:34 |
18:52 |
|
Jayden Hwang |
11 |
19:19 |
19:17 |
|
19:25 |
19:10 |
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| State Finals |
80.9% |
10.4 |
297 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
1.1 |
2.0 |
2.9 |
4.9 |
5.2 |
7.0 |
7.1 |
8.3 |
9.6 |
9.4 |
8.1 |
6.9 |
4.5 |
1.9 |
0.8 |
0.5 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Regionals |
100% |
3.8 |
133 |
12.1 |
14.7 |
18.3 |
19.8 |
16.0 |
9.9 |
5.9 |
2.5 |
0.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
2.7 |
70 |
17.1 |
22.5 |
32.1 |
28.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Isaac Smith |
100% |
23.2 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
0.7 |
0.9 |
1.1 |
1.1 |
1.6 |
2.2 |
2.4 |
2.1 |
2.6 |
2.5 |
3.4 |
3.0 |
3.1 |
3.3 |
3.1 |
4.2 |
3.3 |
3.3 |
4.3 |
4.0 |
3.3 |
100.0% |
100.0% |
| Charlie Ritter |
85.0% |
96.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
21.8% |
64.1% |
| Pj Key |
81.5% |
114.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
3.1% |
38.1% |
| Hayden Hoback |
81.2% |
127.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1.5% |
24.9% |
| Cameron Conn |
80.9% |
158.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
4.8% |
| Trewman Francis |
80.9% |
159.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
4.9% |
| Drew Cole |
80.9% |
159.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
3.9% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Isaac Smith |
100% |
6.0 |
2.3 |
4.4 |
7.5 |
10.1 |
12.1 |
13.2 |
14.0 |
11.7 |
8.1 |
5.2 |
3.3 |
2.7 |
1.9 |
1.0 |
0.8 |
0.6 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
|
100.0% |
| Charlie Ritter |
100% |
25.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.6 |
0.8 |
1.5 |
1.3 |
1.8 |
2.8 |
3.1 |
3.5 |
3.9 |
4.0 |
4.5 |
4.6 |
4.6 |
4.2 |
5.1 |
|
100.0% |
| Pj Key |
100% |
32.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.8 |
1.0 |
1.1 |
1.6 |
2.0 |
1.9 |
2.7 |
2.8 |
3.0 |
3.7 |
|
100.0% |
| Hayden Hoback |
100% |
37.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
0.7 |
0.7 |
0.9 |
1.0 |
1.3 |
1.8 |
1.6 |
2.2 |
|
100.0% |
| Cameron Conn |
100% |
50.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
|
100.0% |
| Trewman Francis |
100% |
50.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
|
100.0% |
| Drew Cole |
100% |
51.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
|
100.0% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Isaac Smith |
3.1 |
10.9 |
13.8 |
21.2 |
33.9 |
9.6 |
5.0 |
2.7 |
1.7 |
0.6 |
0.4 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Charlie Ritter |
12.2 |
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.9 |
1.6 |
2.5 |
4.6 |
6.5 |
8.9 |
10.6 |
12.0 |
10.6 |
9.9 |
8.6 |
6.9 |
5.6 |
4.1 |
2.9 |
1.5 |
0.9 |
0.5 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
| Pj Key |
15.3 |
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
1.3 |
1.9 |
3.3 |
5.0 |
6.7 |
8.3 |
9.4 |
10.5 |
9.7 |
10.0 |
9.2 |
7.6 |
5.1 |
3.7 |
2.8 |
1.6 |
1.0 |
0.8 |
| Hayden Hoback |
17.0 |
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.8 |
1.6 |
2.5 |
4.2 |
5.8 |
6.8 |
7.8 |
9.5 |
10.4 |
9.8 |
10.0 |
8.3 |
6.2 |
4.7 |
3.0 |
2.8 |
1.9 |
| Cameron Conn |
22.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.9 |
1.9 |
2.2 |
3.2 |
4.7 |
6.4 |
7.9 |
10.0 |
10.3 |
9.4 |
8.7 |
7.7 |
| Trewman Francis |
22.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
1.0 |
1.3 |
1.8 |
3.1 |
4.2 |
6.8 |
7.9 |
9.8 |
9.7 |
9.9 |
9.0 |
8.1 |
| Drew Cole |
22.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
1.0 |
1.2 |
2.1 |
3.1 |
4.7 |
5.7 |
7.8 |
9.4 |
10.3 |
10.3 |
9.3 |
7.2 |
|
