New Haven
Boys - Girls
2025 - 2026 - 2027
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State Rank #126
Manchester Regional Rank #23
New Haven Sectional Rank #5
Most Likely Finish -
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.



Season RatingPreseason Rating Bob Dahl Invitational Manchester Invitational Wildcat/Jackson Invitational New Haven Classic NE8 Conference Delta Eagle Invitational New Haven Sectional Manchester Regional
Date 8/16 9/5 9/12 9/26 10/3 10/10 10/17 10/24
Team Rating 998 1,064 1,119 1,057 1,008 1,170 997 955
Team Adjusted Rating 976 1,119 1,057 1,008 1,022 997 955
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Bob Dahl Invitational Manchester Invitational Wildcat/Jackson Invitational New Haven Classic NE8 Conference Delta Eagle Invitational New Haven Sectional Manchester Regional
769  Patrich Allgeier 10 18:03 18:16 18:33 17:43 17:48 18:02 17:50 18:15 18:10
862  Evan Reader 11 18:11 17:40 18:25 18:33 18:54 18:40 17:56 18:14 18:07 18:01
1,221  Ben Rorick 10 18:40 18:54 18:36 19:36 18:27 19:04 18:52 18:38 18:30
1,307  Tristan Williams 12 18:46 17:41 18:32 19:09 19:00 18:54 18:51 18:36 18:36
1,391  Antoine Jeferson 11 18:53 18:11 18:53 18:37 19:08 18:56 18:51 19:07 18:43
Gavin Reid 12 19:05 19:59 19:51 19:42 19:35 19:54 18:56 18:55




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
State Finals 0.0%
Regionals 100% 21.8 564 0.1 0.1 0.3 1.5 3.7 7.4 13.2 17.0 16.6 16.7 13.6
Sectionals 100% 5.2 163 78.5 20.2 1.3



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team made it.



RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Patrich Allgeier 100% 107.8 100.0%
Evan Reader 100% 120.0 100.0%
Ben Rorick 100% 164.3 99.9%
Tristan Williams 100% 172.0 99.5%
Antoine Jeferson 100% 180.3 97.8%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Patrich Allgeier 23.7 0.0 0.1 1.0 4.0 12.5 20.9 16.2 13.7
Evan Reader 25.9 0.0 0.1 0.9 3.2 8.4 13.2 13.1
Ben Rorick 34.2 0.0 0.2
Tristan Williams 36.4 0.0
Antoine Jeferson 39.1