Noblesville
Boys - Girls
2025 - 2026 - 2027
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State Rank #6
Shelbyville Regional Rank #1
Noblesville Sectional Rank #1
Most Likely Finish 9th place at State Finals
State Champion 0.2%
Top 5 at State Finals 15.4%
Top 10 at State Finals 67.6%
Advance to State Finals 92.8%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.




Season RatingPreseason Rating Hamilton County Rick Weinheimer Classic Wildcat/Jackson Invitational
Date 8/29 9/5 9/12
Team Rating 228 213 211 601
Team Adjusted Rating 213 211 228
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Hamilton County Rick Weinheimer Classic Wildcat/Jackson Invitational
11  Banner Barnes 12 15:41 15:23 15:42 15:49
17  Isaiah Vos 11 15:46 15:55 15:47 15:33
111  Matt Huseman 12 16:37 16:50 16:39 16:22
155  Gavin Flynn 11 16:50 17:52 16:37 16:47
217  Jack Rush 12 17:03 16:23 16:59 17:29
226  Cohen Baumer 10 17:05 17:03 17:07 17:05
390  Josh Moller 12 17:31 17:15 17:23 18:52 17:53
391  Kolten Simpson 12 17:31 17:33 17:23 17:59 17:12
420  Braune Naville 10 17:35 18:36 17:23 17:33 17:31
440  Parker Applegate 10 17:37 17:26 17:41 18:07 17:17
492  John Ensley 10 17:44 17:22 19:43 18:05
533  Maddox Denison 12 17:48 18:38 17:45 17:40 17:43
615  Harris Jackson 10 17:58 18:21 18:03 17:40 17:54
620  Matthew Moor 10 17:58 17:56 17:42 18:06 18:08
713  Tyler Stallings 12 18:09 16:51 18:11 18:10 18:18
923  Colin Howard 11 18:30 18:21 18:39




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.






Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
State Finals 92.8% 8.5 266 0.2 0.9 2.8 4.7 6.8 9.1 11.0 11.3 11.4 9.3 9.2 6.4 5.0 2.5 1.3 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
Regionals 100% 3.0 118 20.6 23.4 22.0 16.6 10.2 4.7 2.1 0.4 0.0
Sectionals 100% 2.0 61 37.6 30.8 22.5 9.1



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Banner Barnes 100% 12.0 0.1 1.0 3.2 3.8 5.1 5.2 5.2 5.4 5.6 5.4 5.2 4.8 4.7 4.5 4.0 3.8 4.0 3.1 3.2 2.8 2.2 2.2 2.3 1.6 1.6 100.0% 100.0%
Isaiah Vos 100% 16.4 0.2 1.0 1.6 2.1 2.7 3.3 3.8 4.3 3.5 4.3 4.5 4.8 3.9 4.4 4.1 3.8 4.2 4.0 3.2 3.6 3.8 3.1 2.7 2.4 100.0% 100.0%
Matt Huseman 92.9% 106.6 1.4% 54.0%
Gavin Flynn 92.8% 140.9 0.0% 16.6%
Jack Rush 92.8% 173.2 0.0% 2.0%
Cohen Baumer 92.8% 178.0 0.0% 1.5%
Josh Moller 92.8% 219.1 0.0% 0.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Banner Barnes 100% 2.8 14.7 19.7 19.6 16.4 11.4 7.8 4.9 2.3 1.5 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Isaiah Vos 100% 4.2 4.4 10.4 15.6 16.0 15.9 14.0 8.9 5.8 3.8 2.1 1.3 0.8 0.6 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Matt Huseman 100% 28.3 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.8 1.0 1.1 1.2 1.7 1.7 2.7 2.6 3.2 3.5 3.5 4.0 4.3 4.3 100.0%
Gavin Flynn 100% 41.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.9 0.9 1.4 1.3 100.0%
Jack Rush 100% 56.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Cohen Baumer 100% 57.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 100.0%
Josh Moller 100% 82.6 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Banner Barnes 1.2 43.7 30.2 17.1 6.3 1.8 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
Isaiah Vos 2.1 14.9 33.7 27.5 16.3 4.4 1.8 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.0
Matt Huseman 13.4 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.3 2.1 3.2 4.8 6.0 8.4 10.0 9.7 9.3 8.8 7.9 6.9 5.1 4.5 3.9 2.9 1.8 1.1 0.7 0.4
Gavin Flynn 18.6 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.5 1.1 1.6 2.4 3.8 5.4 5.2 6.7 8.3 9.0 8.9 8.8 7.5 7.3 7.3 5.0 4.0
Jack Rush 24.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.9 1.1 2.0 2.7 3.9 4.6 6.2 7.3 8.4 9.2 9.5
Cohen Baumer 24.9 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.5 1.0 1.6 2.0 3.0 4.3 5.6 6.3 7.5 9.3 9.5
Josh Moller 32.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.5