Noblesville
Boys - Girls
2025 - 2026 - 2027
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State Rank #7
Shelbyville Regional Rank #1
Noblesville Sectional Rank #1
Most Likely Finish 8th place at State Finals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 10.9%
Top 10 at State Finals 66.5%
Advance to State Finals 90.5%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.




Season RatingPreseason Rating Hamilton County Rick Weinheimer Classic Wildcat/Jackson Invitational Flash Rock Invitational Hoosier Crossroads Conference XC Town Twilight
Date 8/29 9/5 9/12 9/19 9/26 10/3
Team Rating 218 205 195 586 1,056 233 184
Team Adjusted Rating 205 195 218 218 233 184
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Hamilton County Rick Weinheimer Classic Wildcat/Jackson Invitational Flash Rock Invitational Hoosier Crossroads Conference XC Town Twilight
7  Banner Barnes 12 15:36 15:23 15:40 15:46 15:53 15:27
13  Isaiah Vos 11 15:43 15:55 15:45 15:30 15:56 15:39
125  Matt Huseman 12 16:40 16:50 16:37 16:19 16:44 16:46
133  Gavin Flynn 11 16:43 17:52 16:35 16:43 17:03 16:11
210  Jack Rush 12 17:02 16:23 16:57 17:25 16:38 17:19
250  Cohen Baumer 10 17:08 17:03 17:05 17:01 17:10 17:15
307  Josh Moller 12 17:15 17:15 17:21 18:47 17:50 17:04 16:57
375  Kolten Simpson 12 17:24 17:33 17:21 17:55 17:10 17:10 17:27
416  John Ensley 10 17:30 17:20 19:38 18:02 17:51 17:18 17:03
440  Braune Naville 10 17:33 18:36 17:21 17:29 17:28 17:34 17:36
477  Parker Applegate 10 17:37 17:26 17:39 18:03 17:15 17:40
565  Harris Jackson 10 17:47 18:21 18:00 17:36 17:52 18:08 17:21 17:32
613  Maddox Denison 12 17:53 18:38 17:43 17:36 17:41 18:06 18:09
741  Matthew Moor 10 18:08 17:56 17:40 18:02 18:06 18:25 18:35
753  Tyler Stallings 12 18:09 16:51 18:08 18:06 18:16 18:20 18:03
1,046  Colin Howard 11 18:34 18:18 18:34 18:44 18:44 18:28
1,237  Lucas Cesar 9 18:50 19:03 19:01 18:52 18:24 18:42
Colin Halvorsen 10 19:41 20:04 19:31 19:29 19:46 19:39
Will Davidson 11 19:57 20:20 20:21 19:58 19:53 19:44 19:33
Jayden Gedeon 11 20:06 20:17 20:39 19:52 19:41 19:42 20:35
Bryson Cronin-Warren 10 20:26 20:29 20:38 20:19 20:24 20:00 20:43




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.






Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
State Finals 90.5% 8.8 267 0.0 0.2 0.9 3.2 6.5 9.7 12.1 12.2 11.6 10.1 7.9 6.3 4.7 3.0 1.5 0.5 0.1 0.0
Regionals 100% 3.1 119 21.2 22.9 20.0 15.5 11.0 5.9 2.7 0.8 0.1
Sectionals 100% 2.2 66 31.0 32.2 26.1 10.6 0.1



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Banner Barnes 100% 9.0 0.2 2.0 6.6 7.4 7.7 7.1 6.7 6.8 5.9 5.4 5.2 5.0 4.5 3.9 3.2 2.7 2.4 2.2 2.1 1.7 1.8 1.2 0.9 1.2 0.8 100.0% 100.0%
Isaiah Vos 100% 14.2 0.2 1.4 2.7 3.5 4.4 4.4 4.1 5.1 4.7 5.0 4.5 5.0 3.9 4.5 4.0 3.7 4.0 3.1 3.3 2.6 2.6 2.1 2.2 2.5 100.0% 100.0%
Matt Huseman 90.6% 118.0 0.6% 32.9%
Gavin Flynn 90.5% 125.6 0.0% 26.8%
Jack Rush 90.5% 172.6 0.0% 1.2%
Cohen Baumer 90.5% 187.3 0.0% 0.3%
Josh Moller 90.5% 202.0 0.0% 0.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Banner Barnes 100% 1.6 35.6 25.7 16.7 9.5 5.1 2.8 2.0 1.1 0.6 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Isaiah Vos 100% 3.0 8.5 20.5 20.8 15.2 11.2 7.2 5.4 4.3 2.6 1.6 0.9 0.8 0.6 0.3 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Matt Huseman 100% 34.3 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.7 1.1 1.3 1.5 1.7 1.9 2.3 2.2 2.5 2.7 100.0%
Gavin Flynn 100% 36.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.9 1.0 1.2 1.5 1.3 1.6 2.0 2.3 100.0%
Jack Rush 100% 58.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Cohen Baumer 100% 66.4 100.0%
Josh Moller 100% 75.3 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Banner Barnes 1.2 43.9 36.5 14.4 3.8 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.0
Isaiah Vos 2.2 10.6 31.3 36.2 13.4 4.8 2.3 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0
Matt Huseman 16.3 0.1 0.2 0.8 1.5 2.5 3.2 4.9 5.7 6.4 6.4 7.6 8.0 8.1 8.3 7.6 6.1 4.7 4.2 3.5 3.2 1.7
Gavin Flynn 17.4 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.7 1.7 2.3 3.5 4.5 4.3 5.9 6.4 7.6 8.6 8.7 7.7 7.0 6.9 4.8 3.8 3.7 3.0
Jack Rush 27.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.5 1.0 0.9 1.4 2.7 3.2 4.6 4.5 5.0 5.6 5.6
Cohen Baumer 30.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.6 0.7 1.3 1.7 1.8 3.1 3.4 3.9
Josh Moller 33.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.8 1.2 1.7