All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.
| Season Rating | | Preseason Rating | |
Hamilton County |
Rick Weinheimer Classic |
Eagle Classic |
Ben Davis Invitational |
Flash Rock Invitational |
Hoosier Crossroads Conference |
XC Town Twilight |
|---|
| Date | | |
8/29 |
9/5 |
9/12 |
9/12 |
9/19 |
9/26 |
10/3 |
| Team Rating |
220 | |
178 |
201 |
222 |
687 |
189 |
225 |
222 |
| Team Adjusted Rating | | |
178 |
201 |
222 |
220 |
189 |
225 |
222 |
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating | Preseason Rating |
Hamilton County |
Rick Weinheimer Classic |
Eagle Classic |
Ben Davis Invitational |
Flash Rock Invitational |
Hoosier Crossroads Conference |
XC Town Twilight |
|---|
| 37 |
Nathan McKeever |
12 |
16:03 |
16:29 |
16:10 |
16:01 |
16:01 |
|
15:56 |
16:03 |
15:54 |
| 45 |
Luke Moulder |
12 |
16:07 |
16:28 |
15:53 |
16:02 |
16:22 |
|
15:58 |
16:27 |
15:54 |
| 65 |
Bryce Pittman |
12 |
16:19 |
16:20 |
15:50 |
16:32 |
16:16 |
|
16:20 |
16:23 |
16:20 |
| 107 |
Jp Mikels |
12 |
16:35 |
17:18 |
16:33 |
16:27 |
16:35 |
|
16:25 |
16:24 |
16:51 |
| 222 |
Corbin Hasler |
12 |
17:03 |
17:59 |
17:02 |
16:47 |
16:56 |
|
16:55 |
17:21 |
|
| 240 |
Dexter Hoffman |
11 |
17:06 |
17:17 |
16:56 |
17:12 |
17:30 |
|
16:59 |
16:57 |
17:03 |
| 276 |
Deagan Imel |
12 |
17:11 |
17:03 |
16:52 |
17:25 |
17:05 |
|
17:33 |
17:09 |
|
| 288 |
Carson Ackley |
12 |
17:12 |
16:45 |
17:05 |
17:25 |
17:22 |
|
17:26 |
16:56 |
17:09 |
| 334 |
Donovan Ledford |
12 |
17:19 |
17:14 |
17:13 |
17:17 |
17:29 |
|
17:30 |
17:12 |
|
| 383 |
Max Lynaugh |
10 |
17:26 |
17:34 |
17:18 |
18:08 |
|
17:18 |
17:18 |
17:24 |
17:17 |
| 438 |
Brayden Cring |
11 |
17:33 |
18:12 |
17:29 |
17:55 |
|
17:55 |
17:09 |
16:59 |
|
| 474 |
Brecken Snyder |
10 |
17:37 |
18:03 |
17:26 |
17:31 |
17:43 |
|
17:29 |
17:37 |
17:42 |
| 571 |
Parker Johnson |
11 |
17:48 |
18:43 |
17:51 |
17:41 |
|
17:40 |
17:38 |
18:07 |
17:38 |
| 582 |
Luke Stevens |
11 |
17:49 |
17:22 |
17:52 |
17:47 |
|
|
17:57 |
17:47 |
17:46 |
| 660 |
Pedro Silviera |
9 |
17:59 |
|
18:48 |
18:04 |
|
17:50 |
17:38 |
17:40 |
18:14 |
| 724 |
Chase Niccum |
12 |
18:07 |
17:04 |
17:55 |
17:48 |
|
18:10 |
18:19 |
18:09 |
18:30 |
| 820 |
Tyler O'Rourke |
11 |
18:16 |
18:06 |
18:12 |
18:37 |
|
17:57 |
18:21 |
18:19 |
18:14 |
| 897 |
Matthew Falin |
9 |
18:23 |
|
18:30 |
18:16 |
|
18:13 |
18:36 |
18:11 |
18:28 |
| 951 |
Conner Phillips |
11 |
18:27 |
18:34 |
18:12 |
18:19 |
|
18:34 |
18:16 |
18:30 |
18:40 |
| 1,133 |
Jackson McDonald |
9 |
18:41 |
|
18:39 |
18:58 |
|
18:17 |
18:48 |
|
|
| 1,194 |
Zaden Glass |
11 |
18:47 |
|
18:54 |
18:47 |
|
18:40 |
18:48 |
18:43 |
18:46 |
| 1,229 |
Jaeden Brown |
12 |
18:50 |
|
18:40 |
19:00 |
|
18:50 |
19:17 |
18:33 |
18:42 |
| 1,276 |
John Obusek |
12 |
18:53 |
18:38 |
19:42 |
18:46 |
|
18:38 |
|
19:12 |
18:39 |
| 1,301 |
Harry Graves |
10 |
18:55 |
|
18:54 |
18:58 |
|
18:39 |
19:06 |
19:05 |
18:47 |
|
Brandon Encinia |
10 |
19:02 |
18:25 |
18:21 |
19:41 |
|
|
20:41 |
|
19:17 |
|
Ryan Hess |
10 |
19:16 |
|
18:55 |
20:09 |
|
18:59 |
19:22 |
19:26 |
19:07 |
|
Noah Niccum |
10 |
19:18 |
19:00 |
19:24 |
20:02 |
|
19:04 |
19:42 |
18:39 |
19:16 |
|
Owen Sawa |
12 |
19:28 |
18:51 |
19:22 |
19:34 |
|
19:20 |
19:55 |
19:10 |
19:50 |
|
Tristan Baxter |
9 |
19:37 |
|
19:57 |
19:16 |
|
19:53 |
20:18 |
18:55 |
19:23 |
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| State Finals |
93.4% |
8.3 |
259 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
1.7 |
4.9 |
9.9 |
12.5 |
11.8 |
11.1 |
11.3 |
8.2 |
7.0 |
5.8 |
3.8 |
2.5 |
1.4 |
0.7 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Regionals |
100% |
2.6 |
112 |
32.6 |
22.5 |
17.3 |
12.7 |
8.1 |
4.4 |
1.6 |
0.5 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
1.9 |
63 |
44.4 |
30.5 |
17.9 |
7.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Nathan McKeever |
99.8% |
38.2 |
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
0.7 |
0.8 |
1.0 |
1.6 |
0.9 |
1.3 |
1.2 |
1.8 |
1.7 |
1.9 |
1.7 |
2.5 |
97.0% |
99.7% |
| Luke Moulder |
99.3% |
44.7 |
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
0.5 |
0.8 |
0.9 |
1.0 |
1.1 |
1.2 |
1.3 |
1.1 |
89.5% |
99.2% |
| Bryce Pittman |
96.5% |
68.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
47.0% |
91.7% |
| Jp Mikels |
93.5% |
104.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2.4% |
52.6% |
| Corbin Hasler |
93.4% |
177.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
1.1% |
| Dexter Hoffman |
93.4% |
184.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.6% |
| Deagan Imel |
93.4% |
194.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.2% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Nathan McKeever |
100% |
9.4 |
0.4 |
1.2 |
1.9 |
3.3 |
4.6 |
7.1 |
8.2 |
8.8 |
10.1 |
10.6 |
9.8 |
7.9 |
6.3 |
4.7 |
3.3 |
3.3 |
2.1 |
1.7 |
1.2 |
1.1 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
|
100.0% |
| Luke Moulder |
100% |
11.1 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
1.0 |
1.8 |
3.0 |
4.0 |
5.2 |
6.9 |
8.1 |
8.8 |
9.9 |
9.2 |
7.9 |
7.4 |
5.5 |
4.5 |
4.1 |
2.9 |
2.1 |
1.6 |
1.2 |
0.9 |
0.8 |
0.5 |
0.4 |
|
100.0% |
| Bryce Pittman |
100% |
17.4 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.6 |
0.9 |
1.2 |
2.6 |
3.3 |
4.6 |
6.2 |
7.1 |
6.3 |
7.3 |
6.8 |
7.1 |
6.6 |
5.4 |
4.6 |
4.0 |
4.2 |
2.8 |
2.8 |
|
100.0% |
| Jp Mikels |
100% |
28.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
0.8 |
1.1 |
1.8 |
2.1 |
2.4 |
2.5 |
4.0 |
4.1 |
3.7 |
3.8 |
4.2 |
4.2 |
|
100.0% |
| Corbin Hasler |
100% |
60.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
100.0% |
| Dexter Hoffman |
100% |
63.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
100.0% |
| Deagan Imel |
100% |
70.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
100.0% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Nathan McKeever |
4.8 |
0.8 |
2.3 |
5.8 |
19.6 |
27.6 |
21.5 |
11.5 |
5.2 |
2.5 |
1.6 |
0.9 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Luke Moulder |
5.6 |
0.4 |
1.0 |
3.1 |
10.4 |
20.0 |
25.0 |
18.8 |
10.1 |
4.5 |
2.5 |
1.5 |
1.0 |
0.7 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
| Bryce Pittman |
8.5 |
|
|
0.1 |
0.6 |
2.1 |
6.3 |
14.6 |
19.4 |
14.2 |
12.3 |
8.5 |
6.5 |
4.5 |
3.7 |
2.4 |
1.4 |
1.3 |
0.7 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
| Jp Mikels |
14.0 |
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.6 |
2.6 |
5.2 |
7.7 |
8.5 |
8.8 |
8.1 |
8.6 |
9.1 |
7.0 |
7.0 |
6.0 |
5.2 |
3.8 |
3.1 |
2.3 |
1.6 |
1.3 |
1.0 |
| Corbin Hasler |
27.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.8 |
1.2 |
1.4 |
1.9 |
2.5 |
3.2 |
4.0 |
4.3 |
5.0 |
5.3 |
| Dexter Hoffman |
29.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.8 |
1.2 |
1.7 |
2.5 |
2.8 |
2.8 |
3.9 |
4.5 |
| Deagan Imel |
31.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.7 |
0.9 |
1.6 |
2.0 |
2.1 |
2.9 |
|
