North Central (Indpls)
Boys - Girls
2010 - 2011 - 2012
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State Rank #16
Carmel Semi-State Rank: #9
Brebeuf Jesuit Regional Rank: #5
Brebeuf Jesuit Sectional Rank #5
Most Likely Finish 6th place at Regionals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 1.1%
Top 10 at State Finals 5.8%
Advance to State Finals 7.3%
Advance to Semi-State 48.4%
Advance to Regional 100.0%

RankNameGradeRating
16  Brenna Poulsen 12 18:52
92  Marissa Stephens 12 19:43
Colleen McGeath 10 20:11
Allie Rogers 12 20:18
Caroline Hawes 12 20:37
Sarah Freeman 12 20:48
Paige Logan 10 20:51
Annie Lohrstorfer 10 20:51
Mariah Woods 12 20:59
Erika Pankow 11 21:05
Madison Long 11 21:11
Meghan Fox 12 21:22
Erika Chelales 10 21:27
DateRace Rating
08/20 Carmel Classic (5K)
09/03 Artesian Classic
09/03 Artesian Classic (JV)
09/10 Brown County Eagle Classic
09/17 Flashrock Invitational (Green)
09/24 Culver Invitational (Open)
10/01 Marion County
10/05 Metro Interscholastic Conference
10/05 Metro Interscholastic Conference (JV)
10/11 Brebeuf Jesuit Sectional
10/15 Brebeuf Jesuit Regional
10/22 Carmel Semi-State




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 7.3% 8.2 263 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.8 1.0 1.0 1.2 0.8 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0
Semi-State 48.4% 7.9 216 0.1 0.4 1.1 1.9 3.8 7.3 12.3 20.5 1.0 0.1
Regionals 100% 5.4 137 1.9 5.5 11.7 29.4 32.6 18.8 0.2
Sectionals 100% 1.2 35 76.0 23.8 0.3



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Brenna Poulsen 76.3% 15.5 0.3 0.9 1.3 1.7 1.7 2.0 2.6 2.6 3.2 3.5 3.4 3.5 3.2 3.3 3.3 3.4 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.5 2.9 2.2 2.1 2.0 2.0 74.4% 76.2%
Marissa Stephens 7.3% 49.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1% 0.4%
Colleen McGeath 7.3% 81.3 0.0% 0.0%
Allie Rogers 7.3% 88.1 0.0% 0.0%
Caroline Hawes 7.3% 110.1 0.0% 0.0%
Sarah Freeman 7.3% 122.5 0.0% 0.0%
Paige Logan 7.3% 124.8 0.0% 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Brenna Poulsen 97.4% 10.4 1.6 2.4 2.9 3.8 4.6 5.1 6.0 6.7 6.7 6.8 6.8 6.2 6.1 5.7 5.1 4.3 3.5 3.1 2.6 2.0 1.4 1.1 0.9 0.6 0.4 95.0% 97.2%
Marissa Stephens 49.1% 33.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.5 0.8 0.9 1.2 1.1 1.5 1.5 1.3% 7.7%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Brenna Poulsen 100% 8.1 2.0 2.9 4.2 5.3 7.4 8.2 9.3 9.8 9.7 9.6 8.9 7.5 5.9 4.2 2.4 1.2 0.8 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Marissa Stephens 100% 20.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.7 1.2 2.0 3.2 4.4 5.7 7.0 8.2 9.1 10.2 10.2 8.0 6.7 5.6 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Brenna Poulsen 1.0 60.1 32.8 6.9 0.1
Marissa Stephens 3.7 1.2 13.1 52.2 18.8 8.4 3.8 1.7 0.7 0.2 0.1