Boys - Girls
Elkhart Central Regional
2010 - 2011 - 2012


These are rankings of individuals and teams that feed into this regional. It is not a projected order of finish in the race.
Below the rankings is a projection of this round of the tournament.


RankNameGradeSchoolRatingState Rank
1  Ashley Erba 11 Warsaw 18:12 #1  
2  Maddie Woods 9 Penn 18:48 #13  
3  Anna Bearss 10 Warsaw 18:52 #17  
4  Corinne Cominator 11 Northridge 19:14 #41  
5  Cynthia Medina 12 NorthWood 19:20 #48  
6  Kristina Galat 12 Penn 19:23 #53  
7  Anna Rohrer 9 Mishawaka 19:25 #59  
8  Lauren Pottschmidt 10 Penn 19:27 #61  
9  Jennifer Schrock 11 Northridge 19:34 #76  
10  Darby Mountford 12 St. Joseph's 19:43 #93  
11  Olivia Golden 10 Northridge 19:58 #122  
12  Brooke Kline 12 Warsaw 20:00 #128  
13  Michaela Lewis 9 Adams 20:03 #135  
RankNameSectionalRatingState Rank
1  Warsaw Elkhart Central 274 #14  
2  Penn Riley 284 #15  
3  Northridge Elkhart Central 324 #18  
4  Mishawaka Riley 485 #34  
5  St. Joseph's Riley 519 #38  

Other unranked teams:
NorthWood Elkhart Central 659
Wawasee Elkhart Central 685
Concord Elkhart Central 715
Goshen Elkhart Central 725
Fairfield Elkhart Central 732
Bremen Riley 825



Regional Simulation



Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Only teams that advanced out of the sectional simulation for each trial were included in the regional simulation for that trial. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.


SchoolAdvances to RoundAvg FinishAvg ScoreMin ScoreMax Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Penn 100.0% 1.8 58 30 105 43.9 34.8 20.9 0.4
Warsaw 100.0% 1.8 59 32 107 38.6 40.7 20.3 0.4 0.0
Northridge 100.0% 2.4 68 35 132 17.5 24.3 56.2 2.0 0.1
Mishawaka 100.0% 4.3 115 55 191 0.0 0.2 2.2 68.1 26.7 2.3 0.4 0.2
St. Joseph's 100.0% 4.8 129 63 191 0.1 0.4 28.4 61.9 7.1 1.6 0.5
Wawasee 79.1% 6.7 167 127 211 0.1 2.8 33.1 28.6 13.8 0.8
NorthWood 86.0% 6.8 167 113 213 0.6 5.5 30.4 27.5 20.3 1.7
Fairfield 54.0% 7.1 171 121 222 0.1 1.6 14.6 19.0 16.9 1.9
Concord 41.4% 7.5 180 125 228 0.1 0.7 5.8 10.9 20.9 3.0
Goshen 39.5% 7.5 181 100 251 0.1 0.8 6.0 10.0 19.0 3.6
Bremen 100.0% 8.9 209 145 264 0.0 0.6 2.1 8.4 89.0


RunnerSchoolRatingAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
Ashley Erba Warsaw 18:12 100.0% 1.0 95.6 4.2 0.2 0.0
Maddie Woods Penn 18:48 100.0% 2.0 3.9 47.6 33.6 9.9 3.5 1.1 0.3 0.1 0.0
Anna Bearss Warsaw 18:52 100.0% 2.3 0.3 39.6 37.1 12.7 5.6 2.6 1.3 0.6 0.2 0.1
Corinne Cominator Northridge 19:14 100.0% 4.4 0.1 4.9 12.6 24.4 19.3 14.8 11.1 7.2 3.5 1.4 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0
Cynthia Medina NorthWood 19:20 100.0% 5.5 0.1 2.1 6.2 16.7 17.0 15.7 14.0 11.9 8.3 4.6 1.8 1.0 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
Kristina Galat Penn 19:23 100.0% 5.9 0.0 0.2 3.9 13.3 17.2 16.8 15.7 13.5 9.3 5.5 2.5 1.3 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
Anna Rohrer Mishawaka 19:25 100.0% 6.3 0.0 1.1 3.7 10.8 13.8 15.7 15.4 13.8 11.8 7.4 3.2 1.7 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
Lauren Pottschmidt Penn 19:27 100.0% 6.8 0.1 1.7 8.0 12.0 14.9 16.4 16.4 13.1 8.2 4.6 2.4 1.0 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
Jennifer Schrock Northridge 19:34 100.0% 8.0 0.2 0.7 2.6 7.6 10.8 13.2 15.7 18.4 14.4 7.6 4.1 2.3 1.1 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
Darby Mountford St. Joseph's 19:43 100.0% 9.3 0.1 0.3 1.5 3.0 5.6 7.9 11.0 14.9 17.9 13.2 9.2 5.8 4.1 2.4 1.5 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.1
Olivia Golden Northridge 19:58 100.0% 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.4 2.5 5.0 10.6 15.2 15.0 12.8 9.6 8.1 5.5 4.2 2.9 2.2 1.4
Brooke Kline Warsaw 20:00 100.0% 12.3 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.6 1.3 2.5 5.0 9.2 13.2 13.5 12.9 10.6 8.6 6.6 4.9 3.4 2.8 1.6
Michaela Lewis Adams 20:03 100.0% 13.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.9 1.8 3.8 6.8 11.5 12.5 12.2 10.9 8.9 7.8 5.9 4.7 3.6 2.6