All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.
| Season Rating | | Preseason Rating | |
11th Hour Meet |
Conference Indiana |
Columbus North Invite |
Brown County Eagle Classic |
Flashrock Invitational |
South Knox Invitational |
Culver Academies Invitational |
Monroe County Meet |
Bedford North Lawrence Sectional |
Bedford North Lawrence Regional |
Brown County Semi-State |
State Finals |
|---|
| Date | | |
8/20 |
8/27 |
9/3 |
9/10 |
9/17 |
9/17 |
9/24 |
9/27 |
10/8 |
10/15 |
10/22 |
10/29 |
| Team Rating |
223 | |
256 |
252 |
351 |
201 |
193 |
|
250 |
236 |
287 |
262 |
250 |
253 |
| Team Adjusted Rating | | |
207 |
205 |
351 |
201 |
183 |
|
231 |
236 |
261 |
262 |
230 |
253 |
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating | Preseason Rating |
11th Hour Meet |
Conference Indiana |
Columbus North Invite |
Brown County Eagle Classic |
Flashrock Invitational |
South Knox Invitational |
Culver Academies Invitational |
Monroe County Meet |
Bedford North Lawrence Sectional |
Bedford North Lawrence Regional |
Brown County Semi-State |
State Finals |
|---|
| 25 |
Grace Williams |
11 |
18:58 |
18:30 |
|
|
21:10 |
19:00 |
19:16 |
|
19:28 |
19:20 |
19:03 |
18:51 |
19:04 |
18:50 |
| 85 |
Alexa Gebhardt |
11 |
19:38 |
20:35 |
19:26 |
19:17 |
19:51 |
19:18 |
19:00 |
|
19:16 |
20:48 |
19:42 |
19:36 |
19:37 |
20:05 |
| 95 |
Kendyll Schulz |
12 |
19:41 |
19:55 |
20:13 |
20:00 |
20:21 |
19:51 |
19:36 |
|
19:47 |
19:56 |
19:58 |
19:58 |
20:03 |
19:33 |
| 112 |
Grace Saccone |
10 |
19:49 |
19:00 |
18:59 |
19:34 |
19:38 |
18:44 |
|
|
|
19:23 |
|
20:58 |
|
22:19 |
| 113 |
Mya Hagerty |
9 |
19:50 |
|
19:54 |
19:42 |
20:36 |
20:51 |
19:17 |
|
19:53 |
19:21 |
20:28 |
20:07 |
19:35 |
19:59 |
| 201 |
Bella Farmer |
11 |
20:21 |
20:35 |
20:15 |
20:12 |
20:38 |
20:23 |
20:07 |
|
20:18 |
20:40 |
20:30 |
20:29 |
20:43 |
20:12 |
| 248 |
Abbey Armstrong |
9 |
20:32 |
|
22:22 |
22:15 |
21:58 |
22:46 |
|
22:24 |
21:21 |
21:13 |
|
|
|
|
| 259 |
Quinn Wilson |
9 |
20:34 |
|
21:54 |
20:47 |
20:59 |
21:33 |
20:04 |
|
20:42 |
20:18 |
20:25 |
20:20 |
20:19 |
20:38 |
| 355 |
Lauren Upholzer |
9 |
20:50 |
|
20:49 |
20:49 |
20:58 |
20:50 |
20:12 |
|
20:32 |
21:02 |
21:11 |
|
20:57 |
|
| 448 |
Mackenzie Carver |
9 |
21:11 |
|
21:52 |
21:40 |
21:18 |
20:54 |
20:35 |
|
21:06 |
21:20 |
|
|
|
|
| 576 |
Kayli Clark |
9 |
21:37 |
|
22:57 |
22:52 |
21:47 |
21:32 |
21:21 |
|
20:54 |
21:33 |
|
|
|
|
| 797 |
Jenna Popp |
10 |
22:14 |
21:28 |
21:15 |
21:18 |
21:56 |
22:19 |
|
22:44 |
22:20 |
23:07 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,254 |
Rachael Silberstein |
12 |
23:13 |
23:15 |
22:30 |
22:48 |
|
23:29 |
23:31 |
|
23:02 |
23:48 |
|
|
|
|
|
Grace Kathman |
9 |
23:49 |
|
24:32 |
23:31 |
23:52 |
24:04 |
|
24:26 |
23:39 |
23:11 |
|
|
|
|
|
Hadlie Robertson |
10 |
24:12 |
|
24:49 |
|
23:56 |
24:20 |
|
23:46 |
|
24:28 |
|
|
|
|
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
| State Finals |
100% |
8.1 |
276 |
|
0.5 |
3.1 |
7.4 |
13.5 |
13.3 |
12.7 |
10.8 |
9.1 |
7.7 |
6.4 |
4.8 |
3.5 |
2.3 |
1.8 |
1.2 |
0.7 |
0.5 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
| Semi-State |
100% |
1.4 |
72 |
66.6 |
26.1 |
5.8 |
1.4 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Regionals |
100% |
1.0 |
32 |
96.5 |
3.5 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
1.0 |
23 |
97.0 |
3.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Grace Williams |
100% |
30.8 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.7 |
0.9 |
0.9 |
1.1 |
1.3 |
1.6 |
1.8 |
1.7 |
2.0 |
2.4 |
2.1 |
2.3 |
2.7 |
2.6 |
2.7 |
2.9 |
2.8 |
|
100.0% |
| Alexa Gebhardt |
100% |
82.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
84.5% |
| Kendyll Schulz |
100% |
88.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
78.5% |
| Grace Saccone |
100% |
100.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
62.6% |
| Mya Hagerty |
100% |
107.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
52.8% |
| Bella Farmer |
100% |
144.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
5.8% |
| Quinn Wilson |
100% |
159.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.9% |
| Semi-State | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Grace Williams |
100% |
2.9 |
22.9 |
16.1 |
12.8 |
10.2 |
8.1 |
6.9 |
5.9 |
4.7 |
3.4 |
2.7 |
2.2 |
1.4 |
1.3 |
0.7 |
0.5 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Alexa Gebhardt |
100% |
16.5 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
1.1 |
1.6 |
2.1 |
2.4 |
3.1 |
3.7 |
4.4 |
5.6 |
6.7 |
6.9 |
7.3 |
7.5 |
7.2 |
6.7 |
6.8 |
5.7 |
4.4 |
3.6 |
3.2 |
2.4 |
|
100.0% |
| Kendyll Schulz |
100% |
18.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
1.0 |
1.6 |
1.7 |
1.9 |
2.8 |
3.9 |
4.2 |
5.1 |
5.9 |
6.5 |
6.9 |
7.2 |
7.2 |
7.0 |
6.9 |
5.8 |
4.7 |
4.2 |
3.0 |
|
100.0% |
| Grace Saccone |
100% |
21.1 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
0.9 |
1.1 |
1.6 |
2.1 |
2.7 |
3.2 |
4.3 |
5.2 |
5.8 |
6.8 |
6.7 |
7.5 |
7.2 |
7.1 |
6.4 |
5.5 |
|
100.0% |
| Mya Hagerty |
100% |
22.8 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
0.9 |
1.5 |
1.5 |
2.0 |
2.8 |
3.6 |
4.2 |
5.2 |
6.1 |
6.4 |
7.3 |
7.9 |
6.8 |
6.8 |
|
100.0% |
| Bella Farmer |
100% |
35.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.7 |
1.2 |
1.4 |
1.8 |
|
100.0% |
| Quinn Wilson |
100% |
45.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
|
100.0% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Grace Williams |
100% |
1.3 |
42.4 |
26.1 |
16.2 |
11.3 |
3.8 |
0.3 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Alexa Gebhardt |
100% |
5.8 |
0.0 |
1.1 |
2.9 |
6.8 |
16.6 |
30.0 |
21.6 |
12.1 |
6.0 |
2.0 |
0.5 |
0.3 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Kendyll Schulz |
100% |
6.3 |
0.0 |
0.5 |
2.1 |
4.4 |
11.7 |
24.0 |
25.1 |
17.1 |
10.3 |
3.0 |
0.8 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Grace Saccone |
100% |
7.5 |
|
0.1 |
0.6 |
1.4 |
4.7 |
11.5 |
19.6 |
26.0 |
22.0 |
8.2 |
2.9 |
1.2 |
0.8 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Mya Hagerty |
100% |
8.1 |
|
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.7 |
2.3 |
6.7 |
13.0 |
23.0 |
31.0 |
12.4 |
4.6 |
2.6 |
1.4 |
0.9 |
0.5 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Bella Farmer |
100% |
12.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.7 |
2.4 |
15.4 |
16.5 |
13.3 |
10.5 |
8.3 |
7.0 |
5.8 |
4.6 |
4.0 |
3.6 |
2.6 |
1.9 |
1.6 |
1.2 |
0.5 |
0.1 |
|
100.0% |
| Quinn Wilson |
100% |
16.3 |
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.3 |
2.5 |
6.1 |
7.3 |
7.7 |
8.0 |
7.7 |
8.0 |
7.7 |
7.7 |
7.2 |
6.7 |
6.8 |
5.9 |
5.4 |
4.2 |
0.7 |
|
100.0% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Grace Williams |
1.0 |
59.9 |
22.0 |
17.6 |
0.4 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Alexa Gebhardt |
3.9 |
0.1 |
4.1 |
8.8 |
39.7 |
26.5 |
13.7 |
6.3 |
0.6 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Kendyll Schulz |
4.4 |
0.0 |
2.7 |
5.7 |
28.0 |
30.7 |
20.3 |
11.0 |
1.1 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Grace Saccone |
5.4 |
|
0.7 |
2.1 |
11.7 |
21.4 |
32.6 |
26.1 |
3.7 |
1.0 |
0.4 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Mya Hagerty |
6.1 |
|
0.2 |
1.0 |
6.2 |
13.1 |
26.3 |
42.6 |
7.3 |
2.0 |
0.7 |
0.4 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Bella Farmer |
8.3 |
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.6 |
3.6 |
40.2 |
20.9 |
13.0 |
9.1 |
6.2 |
4.5 |
1.9 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Quinn Wilson |
10.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.3 |
8.4 |
20.9 |
17.0 |
14.5 |
13.0 |
12.8 |
12.5 |
0.5 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
