Bremen
Boys - Girls
2015 - 2016 - 2017
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State Rank #96
New Haven Semi-State Rank: #27
Elkhart Central Regional Rank: #9
Riley Sectional Rank #9
Most Likely Finish 9th place at Regionals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 1.5%
Advance to Regional 91.9%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.



Season RatingPreseason Rating NIC Stomp Cougar Kickoff Classic Tippecanoe Valley Invitational New Prairie Invitational New Haven Invitational Northern Indiana Conference Riley Sectional Elkhart Central Regional New Haven Semi-State
Date 8/20 9/6 9/10 9/17 9/24 10/1 10/8 10/15 10/22
Team Rating 900 1,001 975 998 816 886 878 885 954
Team Adjusted Rating 1,001 975 998 816 886 878 885 904
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating NIC Stomp Cougar Kickoff Classic Tippecanoe Valley Invitational New Prairie Invitational New Haven Invitational Northern Indiana Conference Riley Sectional Elkhart Central Regional New Haven Semi-State
519  Emma Hundt 11 21:27 21:23 20:48 22:11 21:37 21:10 21:16 21:55 21:20 21:30 21:31
699  Riley Gilmer 9 21:57 23:30 23:24 23:00 21:37 22:03 21:31 21:48 21:35
749  Ellen Fox 12 22:06 22:12 21:41 21:19 21:41 21:52 22:07 22:10 22:41 22:41
891  Rachel Hall 9 22:26 22:57 22:32 22:45 21:52 22:30 22:29 22:22
1,107  Makayla Mahoney 10 22:52 23:05 23:33 23:48 24:02 23:22 22:37 22:22 22:24 22:38
1,331  Andrea Hummel 10 23:22 23:48 22:36 23:24 22:55 23:11 23:38 23:30 23:40
Jasmine Gramm 9 23:41 25:17 23:45 24:03 23:56 23:17
Kaitlyn Cullers 10 24:14 22:46 23:43 24:21 24:07 23:44 24:02 24:30 24:25 24:34




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 1.5% 17.4 430 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.8 0.0
Regionals 91.9% 8.5 202 0.1 1.5 5.1 11.6 20.4 32.6 20.7
Sectionals 100% 4.6 110 0.2 10.2 27.4 54.2 8.1



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team made it.



Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Emma Hundt 81.4% 96.3 81.1% 81.4%
Riley Gilmer 12.9% 112.3 11.5% 12.1%
Ellen Fox 5.8% 115.1 4.4% 4.8%
Rachel Hall 1.6% 127.1 0.1% 0.1%
Makayla Mahoney 1.5% 142.5 0.0% 0.0%
Andrea Hummel 1.5% 159.4 0.0% 0.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Emma Hundt 100% 29.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.7 0.9 1.9 3.5 100.0% 100.0%
Riley Gilmer 100% 41.4 0.0 0.0 100.0% 100.0%
Ellen Fox 100% 45.2 100.0% 100.0%
Rachel Hall 100% 56.4 100.0% 100.0%
Makayla Mahoney 100% 69.4 100.0% 100.0%
Andrea Hummel 100% 80.3 100.0% 99.9%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Emma Hundt 12.6 0.0 0.1 0.6 2.0 8.9 24.4 21.9 15.6 10.6 7.0 4.2 2.3 1.2 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0
Riley Gilmer 18.6 0.0 0.1 0.5 2.3 3.9 6.3 8.7 9.9 11.2 11.5 10.4 9.8 8.4 6.8 4.6 2.9
Ellen Fox 20.4 0.0 0.1 0.8 1.7 3.2 5.1 6.6 8.1 9.2 10.3 11.3 11.2 10.1 8.3 6.0
Rachel Hall 24.9 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.3 1.8 3.2 4.3 6.2 8.7 11.2 13.5
Makayla Mahoney 30.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.8 1.3 2.6
Andrea Hummel 37.9 0.0 0.0 0.0