All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.
| Season Rating | | Preseason Rating | |
Rushville Invitational |
Marion Invitational |
Indiana All-Catholic Championship |
Scecina Invitational |
Golden Spike Invitational |
Culver Academies Invitational |
Indianapolis City Meet |
Indiana Crossroads Conference |
Ben Davis Sectional |
Ben Davis Regional |
Shelbyville Semi-State |
State Finals |
|---|
| Date | | |
8/27 |
9/3 |
9/10 |
9/13 |
9/17 |
9/24 |
10/1 |
10/4 |
10/8 |
10/15 |
10/22 |
10/29 |
| Team Rating |
737 | |
815 |
762 |
782 |
|
823 |
757 |
793 |
744 |
780 |
806 |
|
|
| Team Adjusted Rating | | |
815 |
742 |
782 |
755 |
823 |
757 |
793 |
744 |
780 |
806 |
|
|
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating | Preseason Rating |
Rushville Invitational |
Marion Invitational |
Indiana All-Catholic Championship |
Scecina Invitational |
Golden Spike Invitational |
Culver Academies Invitational |
Indianapolis City Meet |
Indiana Crossroads Conference |
Ben Davis Sectional |
Ben Davis Regional |
Shelbyville Semi-State |
State Finals |
|---|
| 45 |
Mary Anna Wehrle |
9 |
19:09 |
|
19:45 |
19:58 |
19:28 |
|
20:06 |
20:00 |
19:46 |
20:14 |
19:35 |
19:27 |
19:18 |
19:01 |
| 124 |
Kendall Blake |
12 |
19:53 |
20:29 |
20:45 |
19:55 |
19:58 |
|
20:03 |
20:27 |
20:19 |
20:13 |
20:01 |
19:59 |
19:38 |
20:14 |
| 315 |
Mariah Wehrle |
9 |
20:42 |
|
21:10 |
21:12 |
20:45 |
|
21:10 |
20:53 |
20:53 |
20:32 |
20:35 |
20:51 |
20:27 |
|
| 1,316 |
Annie Waters |
9 |
23:21 |
|
22:55 |
22:24 |
23:45 |
23:49 |
23:38 |
23:03 |
23:22 |
22:39 |
23:41 |
23:58 |
|
|
|
Grace Smith |
11 |
24:39 |
|
25:06 |
|
24:45 |
24:17 |
24:34 |
23:49 |
24:46 |
24:46 |
24:54 |
24:53 |
|
|
|
Lauryn Harcus |
9 |
25:34 |
|
|
25:55 |
26:09 |
25:50 |
25:07 |
|
|
25:59 |
|
25:08 |
|
|
|
Kristen Hiskes |
12 |
26:08 |
|
26:02 |
25:20 |
26:04 |
25:32 |
25:12 |
|
27:39 |
27:23 |
26:04 |
26:17 |
|
|
|
Rebecca Collester |
12 |
26:11 |
|
|
26:12 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Amy Kurucz |
12 |
27:16 |
|
|
26:58 |
|
26:08 |
28:58 |
25:53 |
|
29:41 |
|
|
|
|
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
| State Finals |
0.0% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Semi-State |
10.5% |
13.4 |
364 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
1.5 |
3.6 |
5.1 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Regionals |
100% |
6.4 |
149 |
|
|
|
1.0 |
9.5 |
33.2 |
56.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
3.0 |
77 |
|
1.4 |
98.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Mary Anna Wehrle |
94.7% |
41.9 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.7 |
0.6 |
0.9 |
1.0 |
1.0 |
1.1 |
1.4 |
1.3 |
1.5 |
94.7% |
94.7% |
| Kendall Blake |
6.6% |
88.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
6.6% |
6.6% |
| Semi-State | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Mary Anna Wehrle |
100% |
16.5 |
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.7 |
1.0 |
1.6 |
2.4 |
3.1 |
3.7 |
5.2 |
5.7 |
6.6 |
7.5 |
7.7 |
8.0 |
6.6 |
6.9 |
5.8 |
4.9 |
3.8 |
3.5 |
2.8 |
2.3 |
100.0% |
100.0% |
| Kendall Blake |
100% |
45.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
0.8 |
100.0% |
100.0% |
| Mariah Wehrle |
99.9% |
87.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
99.9% |
99.9% |
| Annie Waters |
10.5% |
162.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.0% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Mary Anna Wehrle |
100% |
4.7 |
0.7 |
4.6 |
8.4 |
20.5 |
23.6 |
18.5 |
13.1 |
6.5 |
2.7 |
0.9 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Kendall Blake |
100% |
11.8 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.8 |
1.8 |
5.4 |
9.3 |
11.0 |
11.5 |
11.8 |
11.2 |
10.3 |
9.2 |
7.0 |
4.8 |
2.7 |
1.4 |
0.6 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
100.0% |
| Mariah Wehrle |
100% |
23.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.7 |
1.6 |
2.8 |
4.7 |
6.7 |
8.0 |
8.5 |
8.4 |
8.2 |
8.8 |
8.4 |
|
100.0% |
| Annie Waters |
100% |
60.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Mary Anna Wehrle |
3.0 |
5.9 |
10.3 |
33.5 |
23.5 |
16.7 |
7.9 |
1.6 |
0.6 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Kendall Blake |
7.9 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.8 |
2.8 |
7.9 |
20.8 |
19.1 |
15.5 |
17.6 |
10.1 |
4.5 |
0.8 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Mariah Wehrle |
13.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
1.1 |
4.1 |
11.1 |
24.5 |
41.7 |
17.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Annie Waters |
22.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.7 |
2.8 |
6.4 |
14.0 |
18.6 |
17.7 |
16.3 |
13.5 |
|
