All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.
| Season Rating | | Preseason Rating | |
Huntington North Invitational |
Marion Invitational |
Bruin Invitational |
Flashrock Invitational |
New Haven Invitational |
Northrop Sectional |
West Noble Regional |
New Haven Semi-State |
State Finals |
|---|
| Date | | |
8/20 |
9/3 |
9/10 |
9/17 |
9/24 |
10/8 |
10/15 |
10/22 |
10/29 |
| Team Rating |
122 | |
175 |
152 |
379 |
177 |
160 |
156 |
131 |
140 |
105 |
| Team Adjusted Rating | | |
151 |
152 |
122 |
129 |
160 |
156 |
131 |
140 |
105 |
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating | Preseason Rating |
Huntington North Invitational |
Marion Invitational |
Bruin Invitational |
Flashrock Invitational |
New Haven Invitational |
Northrop Sectional |
West Noble Regional |
New Haven Semi-State |
State Finals |
|---|
| 3 |
Abby Green |
10 |
18:11 |
18:26 |
17:57 |
18:00 |
|
|
18:08 |
18:45 |
18:19 |
18:19 |
18:03 |
| 10 |
Meagan Hathaway |
10 |
18:32 |
19:29 |
18:41 |
18:39 |
|
18:33 |
18:46 |
18:55 |
18:40 |
18:43 |
18:24 |
| 35 |
Leah Metzger |
11 |
19:02 |
19:30 |
19:15 |
19:24 |
|
19:15 |
19:22 |
19:17 |
19:09 |
19:16 |
18:54 |
| 44 |
Maggie Falater |
11 |
19:09 |
19:39 |
19:44 |
19:30 |
|
19:17 |
19:32 |
19:17 |
19:15 |
19:25 |
19:01 |
| 117 |
Emily Ryan |
12 |
19:51 |
20:28 |
|
21:07 |
|
19:56 |
20:31 |
20:07 |
20:18 |
|
19:43 |
| 139 |
Allison Thomas |
12 |
19:57 |
19:43 |
|
19:59 |
20:12 |
20:09 |
20:13 |
19:56 |
|
19:43 |
26:05 |
| 149 |
Mallory Clements |
9 |
20:01 |
|
20:32 |
20:15 |
20:23 |
19:44 |
20:09 |
19:53 |
19:45 |
19:48 |
20:08 |
| 191 |
Rayna Fruchey |
9 |
20:16 |
|
20:32 |
19:58 |
20:52 |
19:50 |
20:02 |
|
20:18 |
20:26 |
|
| 298 |
Kathleen Ellingson |
10 |
20:40 |
21:11 |
|
20:41 |
20:29 |
20:49 |
20:46 |
|
|
|
|
| 310 |
Elizabeth Lohman |
12 |
20:41 |
21:20 |
20:26 |
20:38 |
20:52 |
20:38 |
20:45 |
|
|
|
|
| 335 |
Courtney Brown |
9 |
20:46 |
|
|
20:46 |
21:01 |
20:29 |
20:46 |
|
|
|
|
| 459 |
Elizabeth LaLonde |
9 |
21:13 |
|
|
|
20:25 |
21:37 |
21:32 |
|
|
|
|
| 545 |
Kiana Thurber |
9 |
21:33 |
|
|
21:49 |
20:27 |
|
22:02 |
|
|
|
|
| 614 |
Jadynn Kable |
10 |
21:44 |
21:40 |
|
21:49 |
21:20 |
22:17 |
21:40 |
|
|
|
|
| 704 |
Maya Wilkins |
9 |
21:59 |
|
|
21:51 |
22:03 |
22:08 |
21:57 |
|
|
|
|
| 707 |
Hannah Loeffler |
10 |
21:59 |
21:40 |
|
21:27 |
21:53 |
22:58 |
21:58 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,021 |
Raegan Tippey |
9 |
22:41 |
|
|
22:35 |
22:32 |
22:16 |
23:36 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,218 |
Molly Duffner |
10 |
23:07 |
21:24 |
|
|
|
|
23:07 |
|
|
|
|
|
Clara Lietzke |
10 |
23:32 |
|
|
23:25 |
23:07 |
24:04 |
23:39 |
|
|
|
|
|
Allison Jones |
10 |
23:36 |
|
|
22:39 |
22:58 |
24:32 |
24:08 |
|
|
|
|
|
Madeline Gerig |
9 |
23:49 |
|
|
|
23:21 |
|
24:13 |
|
|
|
|
|
Georgia Givens |
10 |
23:52 |
|
|
22:46 |
24:22 |
25:04 |
23:30 |
|
|
|
|
|
Zoe Davis |
10 |
24:04 |
|
|
|
23:03 |
|
24:48 |
|
|
|
|
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
| State Finals |
100% |
2.5 |
138 |
0.6 |
64.2 |
23.8 |
8.1 |
2.2 |
0.7 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Semi-State |
100% |
1.2 |
52 |
82.7 |
17.1 |
0.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Regionals |
100% |
1.2 |
39 |
83.3 |
16.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
1.2 |
31 |
83.8 |
16.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Abby Green |
100% |
3.6 |
8.4 |
16.2 |
17.4 |
13.1 |
9.8 |
8.1 |
5.8 |
4.5 |
3.8 |
2.8 |
1.9 |
1.8 |
1.4 |
1.1 |
0.9 |
0.6 |
0.6 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
100.0% |
| Meagan Hathaway |
100% |
11.2 |
0.2 |
1.1 |
2.7 |
4.8 |
5.3 |
5.1 |
6.3 |
6.3 |
5.7 |
5.8 |
5.8 |
5.3 |
4.8 |
4.3 |
4.2 |
4.0 |
3.5 |
3.0 |
2.7 |
2.1 |
2.2 |
2.0 |
1.6 |
1.4 |
1.2 |
|
100.0% |
| Leah Metzger |
100% |
34.9 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.4 |
0.7 |
0.8 |
1.0 |
1.1 |
1.2 |
1.3 |
1.5 |
1.7 |
1.6 |
2.2 |
1.7 |
2.6 |
2.5 |
2.1 |
|
99.2% |
| Maggie Falater |
100% |
42.4 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.7 |
0.8 |
0.9 |
1.1 |
1.2 |
1.2 |
1.2 |
1.4 |
1.3 |
1.5 |
|
97.5% |
| Emily Ryan |
100% |
103.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
26.4% |
| Mallory Clements |
100% |
117.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
11.9% |
| Allison Thomas |
100% |
118.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
11.4% |
| Semi-State | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Abby Green |
100% |
1.6 |
16.5 |
54.5 |
15.3 |
7.7 |
3.6 |
1.5 |
0.6 |
0.3 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Meagan Hathaway |
100% |
4.0 |
0.7 |
5.0 |
26.4 |
18.4 |
16.4 |
13.4 |
9.4 |
5.5 |
2.8 |
1.4 |
0.5 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Leah Metzger |
100% |
9.7 |
|
|
0.1 |
1.4 |
2.7 |
4.7 |
7.8 |
10.6 |
13.0 |
13.3 |
12.6 |
10.2 |
7.1 |
5.3 |
3.4 |
2.0 |
1.6 |
1.2 |
0.8 |
0.6 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
|
100.0% |
| Maggie Falater |
100% |
11.1 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.6 |
1.1 |
1.9 |
4.1 |
7.0 |
9.1 |
12.0 |
12.8 |
11.9 |
9.7 |
7.4 |
5.7 |
4.0 |
3.1 |
2.2 |
1.6 |
1.5 |
1.0 |
0.8 |
0.7 |
0.5 |
0.4 |
|
100.0% |
| Emily Ryan |
100% |
30.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
0.8 |
1.3 |
1.4 |
1.7 |
2.1 |
2.4 |
2.8 |
2.7 |
3.0 |
2.9 |
3.1 |
3.4 |
|
99.9% |
| Mallory Clements |
100% |
37.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
0.5 |
0.7 |
0.9 |
0.9 |
1.4 |
1.3 |
1.6 |
1.8 |
1.9 |
|
99.8% |
| Allison Thomas |
100% |
37.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.7 |
0.7 |
1.0 |
1.2 |
1.4 |
1.5 |
1.8 |
1.7 |
|
99.7% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Abby Green |
100% |
1.6 |
15.6 |
56.8 |
15.8 |
7.6 |
3.3 |
0.7 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Meagan Hathaway |
100% |
3.7 |
0.5 |
5.3 |
29.5 |
20.6 |
19.3 |
17.9 |
5.4 |
1.3 |
0.3 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Leah Metzger |
100% |
7.5 |
|
0.0 |
0.2 |
2.0 |
4.4 |
8.6 |
21.8 |
24.5 |
18.1 |
10.0 |
4.8 |
2.6 |
1.3 |
0.7 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Maggie Falater |
100% |
8.5 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.7 |
1.8 |
4.1 |
11.9 |
20.8 |
22.5 |
16.5 |
8.9 |
4.9 |
3.0 |
1.7 |
1.3 |
0.7 |
0.5 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Emily Ryan |
100% |
18.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.2 |
1.2 |
2.5 |
4.1 |
4.7 |
5.6 |
6.8 |
6.4 |
6.8 |
6.9 |
7.6 |
8.1 |
7.6 |
8.4 |
7.7 |
6.6 |
4.3 |
|
100.0% |
| Mallory Clements |
100% |
21.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
1.2 |
1.6 |
2.3 |
2.6 |
4.2 |
4.2 |
5.5 |
5.3 |
6.3 |
7.7 |
9.1 |
10.0 |
10.8 |
11.0 |
|
100.0% |
| Allison Thomas |
100% |
22.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.6 |
0.9 |
1.6 |
2.3 |
2.9 |
3.8 |
4.4 |
4.9 |
5.6 |
6.2 |
7.6 |
8.8 |
9.8 |
11.3 |
10.4 |
|
100.0% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Abby Green |
1.0 |
76.4 |
14.8 |
7.0 |
1.6 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Meagan Hathaway |
2.3 |
4.9 |
39.0 |
20.7 |
27.2 |
6.8 |
1.2 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Leah Metzger |
5.5 |
|
0.3 |
4.0 |
7.0 |
24.3 |
27.0 |
19.7 |
10.3 |
4.4 |
1.5 |
0.7 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Maggie Falater |
6.4 |
|
0.1 |
1.3 |
3.6 |
11.7 |
22.9 |
25.9 |
18.6 |
8.4 |
3.6 |
1.8 |
1.0 |
0.6 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Emily Ryan |
14.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.3 |
1.7 |
5.2 |
7.9 |
8.5 |
8.6 |
8.9 |
8.5 |
10.2 |
9.8 |
10.2 |
9.1 |
6.3 |
3.3 |
0.9 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
| Mallory Clements |
16.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.3 |
1.4 |
2.9 |
4.0 |
5.1 |
5.7 |
6.8 |
7.3 |
9.7 |
11.3 |
13.4 |
13.8 |
11.8 |
3.7 |
1.5 |
0.8 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
| Allison Thomas |
16.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.4 |
1.2 |
2.5 |
3.5 |
4.6 |
5.8 |
6.3 |
7.9 |
9.0 |
11.0 |
13.1 |
14.8 |
12.5 |
4.1 |
1.7 |
0.8 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
|
