Cathedral
Boys - Girls
2015 - 2016 - 2017
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State Rank #25
Shelbyville Semi-State Rank: #8
Noblesville Regional Rank: #7
Brebeuf Jesuit Sectional Rank #7
Most Likely Finish 6th place at Regionals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.2%
Advance to State Finals 1.8%
Advance to Semi-State 2.1%
Advance to Regional 100.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.



Season RatingPreseason Rating Rushville Invitational THSB State Preview Indiana All-Catholic Championship Flashrock Invitational Culver Academies Invitational Indianapolis City Meet Brebeuf Jesuit Sectional Noblesville Regional Shelbyville Semi-State
Date 8/27 9/3 9/10 9/17 9/24 10/1 10/8 10/15 10/22
Team Rating 384 501 623 433 369 586 487 401 354
Team Adjusted Rating 446 378 380 339 409 394 401 354
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Rushville Invitational THSB State Preview Indiana All-Catholic Championship Flashrock Invitational Culver Academies Invitational Indianapolis City Meet Brebeuf Jesuit Sectional Noblesville Regional Shelbyville Semi-State
140  Gracie Carr 9 19:57 21:40 20:03 19:59 19:47 19:53 19:51 19:42 19:46 20:25
144  Sofia Alatorre 11 19:59 19:50 20:53 20:25 21:14 20:13 20:30 20:16 19:41 19:45
189  Erin Arney 11 20:15 19:20 19:59 20:55 19:55 20:24
333  Annie Gallagher 11 20:46 20:44 20:51 20:57 21:15 20:29 20:35
342  Megan Kaster 9 20:47 20:33 20:16 20:24 20:19 21:03 21:25 21:04
348  Gillian Cridge 9 20:49 20:52 20:40 20:47 21:02
452  Marissa VanderMissen 12 21:11 20:40 21:48 22:17 20:26 20:20 21:33 21:07
531  Olivia Benz 12 21:29 21:13 21:41 21:55 21:25 21:14
1,061  Megan Mattei 11 22:46 22:54 22:46 22:19 23:34 22:35
1,203  Miranda Seguin 11 23:05 22:59 23:23 23:51 22:17 23:08
1,349  Marissa Seguin 11 23:24 24:01 23:04 24:20 22:31
Kennedy Miller 10 23:44 23:54 22:54 25:54 23:23
Caroline Browne 10 23:52 24:49 23:21




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 1.8% 14.7 380 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
Semi-State 2.1% 5.9 191 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.4 0.2 0.1
Regionals 100% 6.5 173 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.7 61.4 25.2 11.3 0.0
Sectionals 100% 1.3 39 75.0 19.4 5.6



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Gracie Carr 7.0% 89.0 0.0 5.4% 5.9%
Sofia Alatorre 4.1% 88.8 2.3% 2.7%
Erin Arney 1.9% 107.0 0.1% 0.2%
Annie Gallagher 1.8% 147.0 0.0% 0.0%
Megan Kaster 1.8% 148.7 0.0% 0.0%
Gillian Cridge 1.8% 151.4 0.0% 0.0%
Marissa VanderMissen 1.8% 174.9 0.0% 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Gracie Carr 91.1% 45.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.7 0.8 91.0% 91.1%
Sofia Alatorre 83.6% 50.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.5 83.3% 83.6%
Erin Arney 49.1% 59.8 0.1 0.1 0.0 48.0% 49.0%
Annie Gallagher 3.8% 73.4 1.8% 2.2%
Megan Kaster 3.7% 73.6 1.7% 2.0%
Gillian Cridge 3.1% 74.4 1.1% 1.4%
Marissa VanderMissen 2.1% 91.3 0.0% 0.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Gracie Carr 100% 27.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.9 1.2 2.1 2.0 2.9 2.8 3.1 3.8 4.1 4.2 4.5 4.5 3.9 100.0%
Sofia Alatorre 100% 30.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.8 0.9 1.0 1.5 2.1 2.2 2.4 2.9 3.0 3.2 3.6 3.7 100.0%
Erin Arney 100% 38.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.7 1.0 1.2 1.3 100.0%
Annie Gallagher 100% 49.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Megan Kaster 100% 50.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Gillian Cridge 100% 51.0 100.0%
Marissa VanderMissen 100% 59.1 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Gracie Carr 2.6 20.0 20.2 16.5 14.6 11.2 7.3 5.3 2.9 1.4 0.5 0.1 0.1
Sofia Alatorre 3.6 10.1 14.5 15.8 15.3 13.4 12.0 8.4 5.4 3.0 1.5 0.6 0.1 0.1 0.0
Erin Arney 6.5 0.8 2.4 5.4 7.8 11.3 14.7 15.2 14.6 11.9 8.1 4.1 2.1 1.0 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
Annie Gallagher 12.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 2.1 3.6 5.9 9.7 12.5 14.5 13.1 10.5 8.7 5.5 4.1 2.7 1.9 1.2 0.8 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.1
Megan Kaster 12.4 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.6 2.9 5.4 8.5 12.4 13.4 13.2 11.4 8.7 6.9 5.1 3.1 2.2 1.5 1.1 0.8 0.4 0.3 0.2
Gillian Cridge 12.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.3 2.2 4.4 7.1 9.9 13.1 14.2 12.6 10.0 7.4 5.3 3.5 2.7 2.3 1.3 0.9 0.5 0.3 0.3
Marissa VanderMissen 18.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.3 2.8 4.9 7.5 9.6 9.1 9.3 8.6 8.6 7.7 6.2 5.9 4.9 3.7