Center Grove
Boys - Girls
2015 - 2016 - 2017
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State Rank #29
Shelbyville Semi-State Rank: #10
South Dearborn Regional Rank: #1
Franklin Community Sectional Rank #1
Most Likely Finish 11th place at Semi-State
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.4%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.




Season RatingPreseason Rating Franklin Invitational THSB State Preview Ben Davis Invitational Flashrock Invitational Metro Interscholastic Conference Johnson County Championship Franklin Community Sectional Shelbyville Regional Shelbyville Semi-State State Finals
Date 8/27 9/3 9/10 9/17 9/24 10/1 10/8 10/15 10/22 10/29
Team Rating 403 458 405 453 361 484 503 548 437 344
Team Adjusted Rating 437 388 420 361 453 503 494 437 344
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Franklin Invitational THSB State Preview Ben Davis Invitational Flashrock Invitational Metro Interscholastic Conference Johnson County Championship Franklin Community Sectional Shelbyville Regional Shelbyville Semi-State State Finals
66  Valerie Clark 12 19:30 19:32 19:33 19:28 19:32 19:57 19:54 20:25 19:53 19:31 19:16 20:12
236  Nina Fujii 10 20:30 20:57 20:51 20:38 20:26 20:28 20:40 21:02 21:40 20:55 20:15
287  Rachel Chan 12 20:38 20:30 21:02 20:31 20:25
314  Tori Martin 11 20:42 20:38 20:50 20:42 20:58 20:20 20:53 20:56 21:08 20:53 20:27
362  Madelyn Keeley 12 20:52 20:50 21:21 20:27 20:22 21:14 20:43 21:33 20:57 20:37
370  Julia Falcone 9 20:54 20:51 20:55 21:03 20:20 21:03 21:10 20:54 20:53 20:50
445  Steph Embree 10 21:10 21:00 20:34 21:37 21:21
456  Morgan Wright 12 21:13 21:40 21:29 21:09 20:35 21:09 21:44
482  Gabrielle Harrell 9 21:19 23:09 21:19 23:35 22:53 23:18 22:11 21:17 20:57 21:09
569  Laurinda Godfrey 12 21:36 21:53 21:30
866  Gabby Ellis 9 22:24 22:57 22:32 22:52 21:44 22:44 21:45
1,141  Nicole Kissler 11 22:57 22:06 22:46 22:24 23:09 23:43 22:35 23:15
1,198  Harrell Marielle 9 23:04 23:05
1,255  Sydney Gray 10 23:13 23:31 24:17 22:56 22:48
1,292  Allie Conkin 9 23:19 23:51 24:04 23:46 22:59 22:42
1,295  Mikayla Lay 12 23:19 23:38 23:44 23:22 24:06 23:01 22:43
Eva Kissel 11 24:11 24:19 24:51 24:09 24:43 24:09 23:20




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.






Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.4% 18.1 426 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
Semi-State 100% 9.6 282 0.0 0.4 13.1 14.7 17.6 20.6 23.4 7.7 2.1 0.3 0.0
Regionals 100% 1.3 52 74.0 23.9 2.1
Sectionals 100% 1.3 41 73.8 26.2



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Valerie Clark 50.5% 66.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 50.2% 50.4%
Nina Fujii 0.4% 124.8 0.0% 0.0%
Rachel Chan 0.4% 135.5 0.0% 0.0%
Tori Martin 0.4% 143.5 0.0% 0.0%
Madelyn Keeley 0.4% 153.3 0.0% 0.0%
Julia Falcone 0.4% 148.8 0.0% 0.0%
Steph Embree 0.4% 174.5 0.0% 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Valerie Clark 100% 27.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.6 0.9 1.2 1.8 1.9 2.6 2.9 3.2 4.0 4.4 4.6 4.5 4.7 100.0%
Nina Fujii 100% 77.0 99.9%
Rachel Chan 100% 80.5 99.7%
Tori Martin 100% 87.2 99.0%
Madelyn Keeley 100% 93.6 97.3%
Julia Falcone 100% 94.5 96.9%
Steph Embree 100% 106.9 83.5%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Valerie Clark 100% 2.1 5.7 40.5 36.2 11.5 3.7 1.5 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Nina Fujii 100% 11.3 0.1 0.8 2.1 3.7 5.4 6.9 8.9 9.4 10.0 9.2 8.9 7.5 6.8 5.3 4.0 3.7 2.7 1.8 1.0 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.2 100.0%
Rachel Chan 100% 12.8 0.0 0.3 0.8 2.0 3.2 5.3 6.3 7.6 8.3 9.2 8.6 9.0 8.3 6.9 6.3 4.6 4.1 3.2 2.1 1.5 1.1 0.6 0.4 100.0%
Tori Martin 100% 15.4 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.3 2.1 3.1 4.0 5.5 6.7 7.0 7.6 8.4 7.9 8.4 8.1 7.1 5.5 4.7 3.7 2.7 1.9 1.2 100.0%
Madelyn Keeley 100% 18.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.1 1.6 2.4 3.3 4.4 5.5 6.0 7.3 7.7 8.3 8.5 8.8 7.9 6.6 5.9 4.6 3.2 100.0%
Julia Falcone 100% 18.4 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.9 1.4 2.4 2.9 3.9 5.1 6.0 6.7 7.7 8.3 8.8 9.1 8.2 7.6 5.8 4.5 3.6 100.0%
Steph Embree 100% 23.5 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.8 1.0 1.8 2.3 3.2 4.3 5.8 7.1 8.3 9.7 10.4 10.0 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Valerie Clark 2.1 5.7 41.6 44.0 6.8 1.4 0.4 0.0 0.0
Nina Fujii 7.7 0.1 3.0 6.4 10.9 16.8 17.9 15.0 12.1 7.4 5.0 3.1 1.3 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
Rachel Chan 8.6 0.1 1.6 3.5 7.2 12.9 15.2 15.8 14.4 11.3 7.7 4.9 3.0 1.5 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0
Tori Martin 10.3 0.0 0.6 1.3 2.6 5.7 9.1 12.6 14.1 15.2 13.9 10.5 7.7 4.1 1.8 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0
Madelyn Keeley 11.9 0.1 0.3 0.9 1.9 3.8 6.8 9.3 12.6 15.6 15.8 14.2 9.2 5.3 2.7 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0
Julia Falcone 12.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.8 3.5 6.2 9.3 11.7 14.5 16.2 14.8 10.5 6.3 2.6 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.1
Steph Embree 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.2 2.5 4.4 8.2 13.3 19.7 20.6 14.0 7.5 4.0 2.1 0.9 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1