Clinton Prairie
Boys - Girls
2015 - 2016 - 2017
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State Rank #116
New Prairie Semi-State Rank: #31
Harrison (WL) Regional Rank: #7
Harrison (WL) Sectional Rank #7
Most Likely Finish 6th place at Regionals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 0.3%
Advance to Regional 79.7%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.



Season RatingPreseason Rating THSB State Preview Tri-County Invitational New Prairie Invitational Hoosier Heartland Conference Harrison Sectional Harrison (WL) Regional New Prairie Semi-State
Date 9/3 9/13 9/17 10/1 10/8 10/15 10/22
Team Rating 1,022 1,111 1,154 1,083 1,080 982 954
Team Adjusted Rating 1,111 1,054 1,083 1,080 982 954
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating THSB State Preview Tri-County Invitational New Prairie Invitational Hoosier Heartland Conference Harrison Sectional Harrison (WL) Regional New Prairie Semi-State
367  Rebekah Lloyd 9 20:54 21:24 21:47 20:30 20:55 20:42 20:45 21:03
932  Rosie Tolley 12 22:31 22:14 22:09 22:40 22:42 22:59 22:38 22:08
1,066  Melody Tolley 9 22:47 23:39 23:34 23:05 22:16 22:23
1,269  Nicole Burke 10 23:16 23:31 23:18 23:29 23:22 23:08 23:04
1,337  Hailey Law 11 23:23 23:35 22:51 23:36 23:25 23:23 23:21
Mallory Robertson 10 25:36 24:52 25:17 25:58 25:29 26:11




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 0.3% 19.9 517 0.0 0.2
Regionals 79.7% 6.9 172 0.3 31.4 25.3 22.6 0.1
Sectionals 100% 4.7 140 0.0 0.3 52.6 26.8 19.4 0.9



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team made it.



Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Rebekah Lloyd 100.0% 85.2 100.0% 100.0%
Rosie Tolley 0.8% 148.6 0.5% 0.5%
Melody Tolley 0.3% 154.0 0.0% 0.0%
Nicole Burke 0.3% 162.0 0.0% 0.0%
Hailey Law 0.3% 163.5 0.0% 0.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Rebekah Lloyd 100% 18.4 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.0 1.6 1.7 2.2 3.1 4.0 4.4 5.2 6.3 7.1 8.8 10.0 9.7 9.4 7.4 5.8 4.0 3.1 100.0% 100.0%
Rosie Tolley 99.8% 41.9 98.9% 98.8%
Melody Tolley 96.1% 48.8 80.8% 83.2%
Nicole Burke 81.6% 56.2 9.3% 31.0%
Hailey Law 80.4% 58.5 3.4% 19.6%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Rebekah Lloyd 12.1 0.0 0.4 0.7 1.5 2.2 3.2 3.9 5.5 7.0 9.6 14.5 24.4 16.6 6.4 2.5 1.1 0.3 0.1 0.0
Rosie Tolley 25.3 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.8 2.2 4.0 6.2 9.2 10.7 12.7
Melody Tolley 29.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.6 1.3 2.4 3.9
Nicole Burke 34.9 0.1 0.2
Hailey Law 36.4 0.0