Columbia City
Boys - Girls
2015 - 2016 - 2017
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State Rank #37
New Haven Semi-State Rank: #10
West Noble Regional Rank: #7
Northrop Sectional Rank #7
Most Likely Finish 7th place at Regionals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 11.8%
Advance to Semi-State 39.2%
Advance to Regional 100.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.



Season RatingPreseason Rating Huntington North Invitational Warsaw Classic DeKalb Classic Marion Invitational Tippecanoe Valley Invitational West Noble Invitational New Haven Invitational NE8 Conference Meet Northrop Sectional West Noble Regional New Haven Semi-State
Date 8/20 8/23 8/27 9/3 9/10 9/17 9/24 10/1 10/8 10/15 10/22
Team Rating 433 413 429 345 392 385 525 532 498 496 448 489
Team Adjusted Rating 413 429 345 392 385 404 441 498 496 448 489
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Huntington North Invitational Warsaw Classic DeKalb Classic Marion Invitational Tippecanoe Valley Invitational West Noble Invitational New Haven Invitational NE8 Conference Meet Northrop Sectional West Noble Regional New Haven Semi-State
121  Jasmine Early 9 19:52 20:02 19:33 19:31 19:04 19:34 18:54 20:01 20:22 19:51 20:22 20:17
160  Lillie Oddou 9 20:07 20:26 20:21 19:51 20:05 19:59 20:09 20:08 20:00 20:10 20:05 20:12
320  Lauren Keller 11 20:44 21:28 20:43 20:50 20:27 20:44 20:41 20:36 20:42 20:40 20:44 20:46 21:05
361  Bailie Brown 11 20:52 20:09 20:07 19:42 19:46 20:48 20:18 21:55 21:41 20:45 21:22
423  Eden Oddou 9 21:06 21:04 21:53 21:09 21:00 21:08 21:19 21:08 20:55 21:17 21:06 20:51
795  Isabel Hunter 11 22:14 22:16 22:14 21:47 21:41 22:05 23:04 22:23 22:12 22:02 22:13 22:40
1,071  Jaslyn Cook 9 22:47 22:46 23:25 22:35 23:11 22:29 22:37
1,073  Gabby Fry 9 22:47 23:05 22:58 22:33
1,096  Emma Coy 10 22:50 22:03 22:21 23:34 22:31 23:12 22:52 22:29 22:47 22:44 23:01 22:59




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 11.8% 21.6 493 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.7 1.1 1.8 2.7 2.7 2.0
Semi-State 39.2% 7.1 218 0.1 1.3 3.6 6.9 9.8 13.5 3.4 0.7 0.0
Regionals 100% 5.7 135 8.7 12.7 17.7 25.7 35.1
Sectionals 100% 4.1 114 26.1 32.9 41.0



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jasmine Early 28.3% 89.8 18.7% 23.2%
Lillie Oddou 14.3% 105.7 2.9% 4.7%
Lauren Keller 11.8% 153.3 0.0% 0.0%
Bailie Brown 11.8% 162.0 0.0% 0.0%
Eden Oddou 11.8% 178.3 0.0% 0.0%
Isabel Hunter 11.8% 202.0 0.0% 0.0%
Jaslyn Cook 11.8% 206.2 0.0% 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jasmine Early 100% 31.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.9 1.1 1.8 1.6 2.1 2.3 2.2 2.5 2.8 3.1 3.3 100.0% 100.0%
Lillie Oddou 99.8% 41.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.6 0.6 0.8 0.9 1.3 99.7% 99.8%
Lauren Keller 69.6% 65.0 0.0 50.0% 64.3%
Bailie Brown 53.7% 69.8 23.8% 41.6%
Eden Oddou 40.7% 80.9 2.5% 12.3%
Isabel Hunter 39.2% 125.0 0.0% 0.0%
Jaslyn Cook 39.2% 147.5 0.0% 0.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jasmine Early 100% 19.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.1 2.1 3.3 3.8 4.8 5.7 6.4 6.4 6.8 7.6 7.8 8.5 8.1 7.5 6.8 6.5 100.0%
Lillie Oddou 100% 23.6 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.7 1.0 1.6 2.0 2.7 3.3 3.6 4.4 6.1 7.6 9.3 10.9 13.6 100.0%
Lauren Keller 100% 31.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.1 100.0%
Bailie Brown 100% 34.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 99.9%
Eden Oddou 100% 42.0 0.0 0.0 99.0%
Isabel Hunter 100% 65.7 8.7%
Jaslyn Cook 100% 72.1 0.1%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jasmine Early 14.4 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.7 4.2 6.6 7.7 8.0 8.2 8.9 9.7 9.9 9.4 9.3 9.2 4.4 1.3 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0
Lillie Oddou 18.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.2 2.1 2.7 3.7 4.3 5.8 7.0 10.0 11.9 15.0 23.2 6.7 3.0 1.6 0.7 0.3
Lauren Keller 23.6 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 1.1 2.7 13.5 12.8 12.4 11.9 11.2
Bailie Brown 25.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 4.7 7.8 8.9 9.9 11.0
Eden Oddou 29.9 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 1.9 3.0 4.1
Isabel Hunter 45.4
Jaslyn Cook 50.4