Fairfield
Boys - Girls
2015 - 2016 - 2017
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State Rank #131
New Haven Semi-State Rank: #38
Elkhart Central Regional Rank: #13
Elkhart Central Sectional Rank #13
Most Likely Finish 6th place at Sectionals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 0.0%
Advance to Regional 5.1%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.



Season RatingPreseason Rating NIC Stomp Warsaw Classic DeKalb Classic Marion Invitational Elkhart/St. Joseph County Clash West Noble Invitational Culver Academies Invitational Northeast Corner Conference Elkhart Central Sectional Elkhart Central Regional
Date 8/20 8/23 8/27 9/3 9/10 9/17 9/24 10/1 10/8 10/15
Team Rating 1,095 1,200 1,227 1,179 1,078 1,104 895 984 1,123
Team Adjusted Rating 1,200 1,227 1,179 1,078 1,104 895 984 1,123
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating NIC Stomp Warsaw Classic DeKalb Classic Marion Invitational Elkhart/St. Joseph County Clash West Noble Invitational Culver Academies Invitational Northeast Corner Conference Elkhart Central Sectional Elkhart Central Regional
613  Carol Haldeman 9 21:43 21:39 21:39 22:06 21:38 21:47 21:08 21:36 22:01 21:57
888  Calyn Howell 12 22:26 21:51 22:43 22:32 22:03 22:56 22:00 22:20 22:10 22:15 22:32 23:02
1,058  Emily Yoder 9 22:46 23:41 24:02 23:41 22:54 22:31 21:59 22:15 22:51
1,323  Kenzie Bobeck 12 23:21 23:32 23:33 23:42 23:25 23:18 23:45 22:31 23:03 23:45
Winifred Sceniak 12 23:45 25:21 25:18 24:21 24:20 23:47 22:55 23:04 23:23
Madalynne Miller 10 23:58 22:09 24:25 24:39 25:05 23:57 23:50 23:38 23:38 24:01




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 0.0%
Regionals 5.1% 9.9 237 0.0 0.1 0.4 4.6
Sectionals 100% 7.1 190 0.1 5.0 34.3 24.7 18.2 12.1 5.6



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team made it.



Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Carol Haldeman 42.2% 104.9 42.2% 42.2%
Calyn Howell 0.2% 126.3 0.2% 0.2%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Carol Haldeman 100% 34.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 100.0% 100.0%
Calyn Howell 81.2% 55.2 80.2% 81.1%
Emily Yoder 30.7% 63.2 27.0% 29.3%
Kenzie Bobeck 5.2% 74.1 0.2% 0.3%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Carol Haldeman 19.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.6 1.4 7.7 11.2 12.9 12.9 12.0 10.0 8.6 6.6 5.0 3.5
Calyn Howell 31.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.8 1.1 2.3 2.7 3.3
Emily Yoder 38.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4
Kenzie Bobeck 46.4