Fishers
Boys - Girls
2015 - 2016 - 2017
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State Rank #8
Shelbyville Semi-State Rank: #5
Noblesville Regional Rank: #4
Noblesville Sectional Rank #4
Most Likely Finish 5th place at State Finals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 24.7%
Top 10 at State Finals 76.3%
Advance to State Finals 91.4%
Advance to Semi-State 91.5%
Advance to Regional 91.7%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.



Season RatingPreseason Rating Pendleton Heights Arabian Roundup Hamilton County Championships THSB State Preview Ben Davis Invitational Flashrock Invitational Delta Eagle Invitational Hoosier Crossroads Conference Noblesville Sectional Noblesville Regional Shelbyville Semi-State State Finals
Date 8/24 8/30 9/3 9/10 9/17 9/24 10/1 10/8 10/15 10/22 10/29
Team Rating 231 255 694 241 259 192 583 301 218 252 217 252
Team Adjusted Rating 250 231 225 253 192 231 279 218 230 217 226
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Pendleton Heights Arabian Roundup Hamilton County Championships THSB State Preview Ben Davis Invitational Flashrock Invitational Delta Eagle Invitational Hoosier Crossroads Conference Noblesville Sectional Noblesville Regional Shelbyville Semi-State State Finals
30  Miya Wai 10 19:00 19:18 19:24 18:59 19:17 18:28 18:59 19:06 18:57 19:00 19:00
89  Tessa Kraft 10 19:38 20:25 20:16 20:23 20:02 19:42 20:21 19:35 19:36 19:31 19:30
92  Abby Carter 9 19:39 20:27 19:34 19:47 19:54 20:38 19:43 19:42 19:44 19:31
123  Tori Kalman 9 19:53 19:54
141  Kamya Lapsley 11 19:58 20:32 19:30 19:56 19:32 20:07 19:48 20:32 19:45 20:36
148  Corinne Yorkman 9 20:00 19:34 20:21 19:52 19:36 20:00 19:39 19:58 20:18 20:48
156  Corinne O'Leary 11 20:03 20:03 20:05 21:14 20:48 20:10 20:37 20:29 19:56 19:48 20:07
195  Liz Rogers 11 20:18 19:36 19:52 20:04 20:26 19:39 20:38 20:26 20:16 20:32
206  Lilia Bodnar 9 20:22 20:22 20:17 20:09 19:58 20:26 20:52
391  Debbie Shera 10 20:59 20:10 21:11 20:47 21:11 20:39 21:11 20:57
435  Margaret Saul 10 21:08 21:04 20:57 20:33 20:45 21:33 21:49
543  Kara Natzel 10 21:32 21:06 21:22 21:27 21:56 21:27 21:53
544  Natalie Segura 10 21:33 22:12 24:03 21:39 21:32 21:24 21:16 20:53
564  Elinor Carmona 10 21:36 21:32 21:50 20:54 21:42 21:53 21:44 21:52 21:16
611  Emma Julien 9 21:43 21:34 22:11 21:58 22:21 22:02 21:20 21:07
618  Erin Johnson 10 21:45 21:30 22:16 22:18 22:01 21:19 21:33
622  Sawyer Osmun 11 21:46 21:17 22:00 21:41 21:37 21:17 22:01 22:12 21:44
635  Abby Celentano 11 21:48 21:41 21:24 21:20 21:32 22:04 23:22 21:40 21:50
637  Caroline Riebe 10 21:48 21:45 22:43 22:11 21:50 21:09 21:46
709  Mia Contino 9 21:59 21:35 21:51 22:19 22:16 22:21 21:59 21:44
718  Haley Thomas 11 22:00 22:08 22:04 21:43 21:50 22:27 22:05 21:57
847  Haley Jordan 9 22:22 22:18 21:37 21:58 22:52 23:31 22:09 22:28
950  Ellie Hevesy 9 22:33 21:57 22:44 22:42 22:15 22:40 22:45
1,092  Charis Greiwe 11 22:50 22:44 22:56 22:44 23:18 23:00 22:26
1,109  Arianna Kelley 9 22:52 23:15 23:24 23:09 22:47 22:51 22:03
1,249  Clarissa Ricks 11 23:13 21:30 23:35 24:56 22:15 23:58 22:01 23:18
1,272  Shannon Luce 9 23:16 23:04 23:14 23:09 23:45
1,291  Emily Sorg 9 23:19 23:36 23:27 22:52 24:20 22:29
1,319  Emily Pulos 11 23:21 23:13 23:04 24:16 23:14
McKeiyane Connors 11 23:33 23:37 23:19 23:47
Claire Schnefke 10 23:34 24:20 23:38 23:09 23:25 23:42
Neva Carter 10 23:36 23:48 23:41 23:50 23:16
Lily Betner 10 23:39 21:36 23:40
Cora Mizimakoski 10 23:49 24:03 23:02 23:28 23:55 23:28 26:15
Olivia Strobel 11 23:51 24:09 24:16 23:41 24:05 23:33 23:47
Arianna Noble 12 23:52 23:28 24:31 24:16 23:27
Kerrigan Rush 9 24:13 24:15 24:57 25:05 24:41 23:40 23:17
Natalia Turben 11 24:42 21:46 24:39 25:23 24:49 26:29 23:36 24:25




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 91.4% 7.6 267 0.4 3.0 7.7 13.6 13.5 12.5 10.2 8.7 6.7 5.4 3.8 2.3 1.5 0.9 0.6 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
Semi-State 91.5% 4.1 134 6.3 26.3 24.2 22.3 12.4 0.1
Regionals 91.7% 3.0 86 35.9 26.6 19.4 9.6 0.2
Sectionals 100% 3.4 90 31.5 25.2 22.7 12.3 8.3



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Miya Wai 99.3% 32.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.7 0.6 0.8 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.6 1.7 2.1 2.0 2.1 2.3 2.3 2.5 2.7 2.6 92.2% 97.9%
Tessa Kraft 91.9% 80.9 0.0 0.0 5.4% 32.9%
Abby Carter 91.8% 82.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.4% 32.9%
Tori Kalman 91.4% 104.0 0.2% 10.0%
Kamya Lapsley 91.4% 113.0 0.1% 5.0%
Corinne Yorkman 91.4% 115.7 0.0% 3.6%
Corinne O'Leary 91.4% 124.1 0.0% 1.8%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Miya Wai 100% 13.4 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.9 1.1 2.3 2.9 4.0 5.4 6.5 7.1 7.8 8.3 8.4 7.5 7.2 5.9 5.3 4.5 3.1 2.7 2.1 1.6 1.1 0.9 100.0% 100.0%
Tessa Kraft 99.4% 31.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.6 1.0 1.5 1.7 2.3 2.5 2.9 3.4 3.5 3.8 93.4% 98.8%
Abby Carter 99.4% 31.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.8 1.0 1.4 1.8 2.1 2.4 3.2 3.4 3.7 3.8 93.1% 98.7%
Tori Kalman 96.9% 42.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.7 0.6 0.9 0.9 63.1% 90.6%
Kamya Lapsley 95.1% 46.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.5 41.9% 83.2%
Corinne Yorkman 94.4% 48.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.4 33.9% 80.4%
Corinne O'Leary 93.3% 53.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 20.7% 69.7%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Miya Wai 100% 9.1 0.1 0.4 1.0 1.8 3.1 6.6 9.0 11.4 15.1 16.5 15.7 8.8 4.9 2.5 1.4 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0% 100.0%
Tessa Kraft 100% 17.5 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.0 2.1 4.5 6.8 7.6 8.0 8.0 7.5 8.0 6.7 6.0 5.3 4.5 4.2 3.5 3.2 100.0% 100.0%
Abby Carter 100% 17.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 2.0 3.9 6.6 7.6 8.6 8.2 7.4 7.2 6.0 6.0 5.0 4.9 4.4 3.9 3.0 100.0% 100.0%
Tori Kalman 100% 24.3 0.1 0.2 0.7 0.9 1.7 2.7 3.3 3.7 4.2 5.0 5.3 5.0 5.3 5.4 5.4 5.1 100.0% 100.0%
Kamya Lapsley 100% 27.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.8 1.2 1.6 2.0 2.6 2.9 3.8 4.0 4.1 4.4 4.4 4.6 100.0% 100.0%
Corinne Yorkman 100% 28.6 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.9 1.3 1.5 2.1 2.5 2.9 3.4 3.8 4.3 4.4 4.5 100.0% 100.0%
Corinne O'Leary 100% 32.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.9 1.4 1.5 1.9 2.4 2.8 3.2 3.2 100.0% 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Miya Wai 9.1 0.0 0.4 1.0 1.7 3.4 6.4 9.2 11.9 14.7 16.9 15.3 9.3 4.9 2.4 1.2 0.6 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
Tessa Kraft 16.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.7 1.9 5.0 6.7 8.4 9.4 9.3 9.0 8.2 7.9 6.9 5.3 4.9 4.0 3.0 2.3
Abby Carter 17.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.8 1.9 4.2 6.4 8.3 8.9 9.1 8.4 8.2 7.5 6.8 6.4 4.9 4.4 3.7 2.6
Tori Kalman 22.3 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.2 1.9 3.0 3.9 4.6 5.2 6.2 6.7 6.8 7.5 7.2 6.8 6.6
Kamya Lapsley 24.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.8 1.3 2.2 2.9 3.4 4.1 4.6 5.4 6.2 6.5 6.8 7.1
Corinne Yorkman 25.6 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.0 1.5 1.9 2.6 3.2 4.1 5.0 5.0 6.1 7.0 7.4
Corinne O'Leary 27.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.6 0.8 1.4 1.7 2.5 3.2 3.6 4.4 5.2 6.2